| 单词 | pollster |
| 例句 | The theory was that when it came to minority candidates, voters often hid their prejudice from pollsters, expressing it only from the privacy of the voting booth. Becoming 2018-11-13T00:00:00Z Obtaining random samples is a difficult art, and the pollster doesn’t always succeed. Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z He spoke the kind of American English that she had just given up, the kind that made race pollsters on the telephone assume that you were white and educated. Americanah 2013-05-14T00:00:00Z Most pollsters agree that people who identify themselves as white evangelical Christians make up about a quarter of the population, just as they have for decades. Class Matters 2005-09-02T00:00:00Z And have your white friend say how funny it is, that American pollsters ask white and black people if racism is over. Americanah 2013-05-14T00:00:00Z Many people are surprised at how few individuals pollsters survey to get their results. Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z A canvas is to an artist what a canvass is to a pollster. Woe Is I 1996-01-01T00:00:00Z Saying that colorblindness is the problem may alarm some in the civil rights community, especially the pollsters and political consultants who have become increasingly influential in civil rights advocacy. The New Jim Crow 2010-01-05T00:00:00Z Might white voters lie to pollsters, claiming they will vote for the black candidate in order to appear more color-blind than they actually are? Freakonomics: A Rogue Economist Explores the Hidden Side of Everything 2005-04-12T00:00:00Z Arguably some respondents may have been telling pollsters what they thought was appropriate rather than what they actually believed, but there is no reason to believe that most of them were lying. The New Jim Crow 2010-01-05T00:00:00Z They told pollsters that their primary interest was in making higher salaries. Escape from Camp 14: One Man's Remarkable Odyssey from North Korea to Freedom in the West 2013-03-26T00:00:00Z What percentage of people refuse to respond, or hang up when they learn a pollster is calling? Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z How do you describe your work: public opinion guru, pollster … ? A communication consultant and pollster reflects on angry times 2016-01-06T05:00:00Z The way questions are framed can do that, too, as pollster Matt McDermott noted on Twitter. Perspective | The debate format is an embarrassment. Here’s how to make it better. 2019-07-31T04:00:00Z “There is no backlash at all when she campaigns for you,” said Celinda Lake, a longtime Democratic party pollster. Michelle Obama out in full force for ‘Barack’s last campaign’ Newhouse has twice been named the pollster of the year by the American Association of Political Consultants, most recently for the work he did on Scott Brown’s winning 2010 Senate campaign in Massachusetts. A question for Washington pollsters: How wrong must you be to never work again? In a survey of 1,000 single South Koreans aged between 19 and 44 by pollster Realmeter in September, 81.2% of respondents said gender conflict was a serious issue in South Korea. Movie based on popular novel puts South Korean gender divide back in focus 2019-10-30T04:00:00Z "All of the candidates behind Romney have a good chance finishing anywhere between second and fifth place," said UNH pollster Andrew Smith. Poll: Romney maintains big lead in N.H. 2012-01-09T14:27:00Z She enjoys an enduring popularity politicians would die for — a 72 percent approval rating, according to pollsters YouGov, compared with 35 percent for Prime Minister Boris Johnson. The British royal family is struggling through scandals. Can ‘The Crown’ help? 2019-12-26T05:00:00Z The pollsters at FiveThirtyEight analyzed the Super Tuesday results and found that Biden did well among black voters and also white voters, especially those who decided late. Jim Clyburn changed everything for Joe Biden’s campaign. He’s been a political force for a long time. 2020-03-30T04:00:00Z They formed the deeper part of the minds that our pollsters seek to measure and quantify in the frenzied haste of the news cycle. Perspective | Obituaries are the only redemptive news anymore 2019-08-06T04:00:00Z “There are lots of Republican leaders who will whisper about how they miss Bush,” said Frank Luntz, a pollster who recently renounced his affiliation with the GOP. Perspective | George W. Bush’s wars are now over. He retreated a while ago. 2021-08-31T04:00:00Z In the Brexit referendum they voted in unexpectedly large numbers, a big reason why many pollsters got the result wrong. How and why Brexit triumphed 2017-01-05T05:00:00Z Cummings of pollsters: rendering the name of a firm she founded, the Polling Company, in all lowercase on business cards before it was a “hipster cliché.” Kellyanne Conway Toggles Between the West Wing and the Home Front 2022-05-26T04:00:00Z “How will they vote on Election Day?” the pollster George Gallup said of 1940 women. Perspective | Donald Trump keeps begging women to like him. They keep saying no. 2020-10-20T04:00:00Z Frank I. Luntz, 53, is a political and communications consultant, pollster and pundit. A communication consultant and pollster reflects on angry times 2016-01-06T05:00:00Z While they ate dinner, Indian food for him and pizza for her, Jason revealed he was a Democratic pollster and asked her if that was a problem. Date Lab: Was a mutual love of TikTok a blessing or a curse? 2021-05-20T04:00:00Z The book also claims that while New Labour was seen to rely to heavily on political pollsters, Cameron has a predilection for political betting websites. David Cameron's 'chillaxing' hobbies revealed in new biography 2012-05-19T10:46:51Z Many clearly do care, as the movement of public opinion favoring impeachment suggests, but there’s a whole category that pollsters and pundits call “low-information voters.” Perspective | ‘I don’t know what to believe’ is an unpatriotic cop-out. Do better, Americans. 2019-11-19T05:00:00Z “I like that he’s got a fat wife,” a woman in a focus group told an Edwards pollster in his 1998 Senate race, as recounted in “Game Change.” 2010-01-16T04:00:00Z And don’t forget: Americans may tell pollsters that they are really religious, but they’re often exaggerating. Eight of the best countries to be an atheist 2012-08-29T14:55:00Z In theory, pollsters should be some of the most accountable people in politics. A question for Washington pollsters: How wrong must you be to never work again? It also found that voters who favored a third-party candidate were even more reluctant than Trump voters to say so when asked by a pollster. Pollsters and data gurus look over the wreckage of their election failures 2016-11-09T05:00:00Z During the legal white supremacy of American Apartheid and Jim and Jane Crow, white Americans, by large and consistent margins, told pollsters that black Americans had an equal opportunity to succeed in America. What fuels “white anxiety”? The baffling hypocrisies behind white paranoia politics 2018-06-26T04:00:00Z “That is not just wrong, that is holy s--- wrong,” said Frank Luntz, a Republican pollster. It’s not you, Nate. It’s us. (And maybe a little you.) 2020-11-05T05:00:00Z Around a third of respondents to the survey by pollsters gfs.bern said the limits on immigration stipulated by the February vote were not sufficient. Swiss shrink from radical limits on immigration in November vote 2014-11-04T05:00:00Z Likewise, Guillory says that voters may explain a vote to pollsters by saying, “‘I picked him because he’s more conservative” rather than “because he’s white.” Zombie state 2012-06-08T14:45:00Z London 2012 not only brought the corporation huge audiences on TV, mobile and the web, but also the highest public appreciation levels ever seen by the pollsters Ipsos-Mori. Mark Thompson: A hard act to follow 2012-09-15T01:03:43Z "Oscar is on his way to being more accessible, fresh and cool," said lead pollster Jon Penn. "Hurt Locker" best picture Oscar fades in memory: poll 2010-12-11T00:59:00Z That’s perfect for a society of people who tell pollsters that Christmas has become too commercial yet spend north of a grand on it on average. Generation X-Mas: The Rise of A Christmas Story 2011-12-24T14:59:14Z What does your new poll reveal about people's private thoughts and behavior, versus what they would admit to pollsters or other researchers? Donald Trump and the “N-word”: Many voters would still support him — but not enough 2018-09-11T04:00:00Z This is one of the cases for why pollsters should keep their jobs after getting things wrong: They are the most likely to be able to learn from those mistakes. A question for Washington pollsters: How wrong must you be to never work again? “The original idea for the film,” Cleese said, “was that we realized that if you were a pollster, you could manipulate public opinion and achieve phenomenal power as a result.” From All-Star Flop to Astute Satire in Just 50 Years 2020-09-25T04:00:00Z “Never mind that the losers, and their passions, told you a great deal more about American political life in 1996 than the winners with their pollsters,” he wrote in an afterword. Jason Kander lost a big Senate race. In today’s Democratic Party, he’s still a rising star. 2017-07-09T04:00:00Z Spoiler alert: it looks an overwhelming victory may be ahead - but it's not for the candidate the pollsters are expecting. How Your Favorite British Celebs are Voting in the U.K.'s General Election 2017-06-07T04:00:00Z One hundred percent of pollsters, with a margin of error of zero percent, would probably agree. A question for Washington pollsters: How wrong must you be to never work again? "This is a big moment," said Democratic strategist Stanley Greenberg, who was Clinton's pollster. House GOP leaders yield on payroll tax 2011-12-23T02:49:00Z Every four years, in the weeks before the general election, the media and pollsters spend an inordinate amount of time talking with “undecided voters.” 11 of “Saturday Night Live’s” most hilarious election-year sketches 2015-10-05T04:00:00Z Jérôme Fourquet of pollsters Ifop said a survey last week showed that the French public was divided over whether Depardieu was a victim or a villain, but that reactions were "complex". Gérard Depardieu's tax move to Belgium divides France 2012-12-22T12:05:39Z In the 1980s, pollster Bob Teeter always told us the issues of the future are health care and education. How the Clinton-Gingrich years became ‘the good old days’: Republicans revisit 1994 2018-01-02T05:00:00Z Some of the pollsters are good friends, and good people, but during the next election, I hope we send them to a very nice Pacific Island for a very nice vacation. Yes, He Thought Trump Would Win. No, He Didn’t Use Hard Data. 2016-11-09T05:00:00Z Or you could tackle the super-weird replica of the Oval Office that the Republican pollster Frank Luntz has built in his Los Angeles house. Mr. Smith Went to Washington … With Dimmers 2020-08-26T04:00:00Z It has, pollsters will tell you, gotten harder and harder to poll in general. It’s not you, Nate. It’s us. (And maybe a little you.) 2020-11-05T05:00:00Z “It’s a pollster cop-out to say, ‘I can’t help it if my model didn’t work because people wouldn’t tell me who they were voting for.’ Pollsters and data gurus look over the wreckage of their election failures 2016-11-09T05:00:00Z Both were surveyed in March by two organizations, Quinnipiac University, which does traditional telephone polls, which does computer-dialed surveys and which assumes a more Republican electorate than many other pollsters. Obama starts general election contest with steady lead in polls 2012-04-05T10:05:00Z Mr. Weaver was crouched over a different computer with the campaign’s pollster Ben Tulchin, staring at early returns. Will This Guy Shut Off the Lights in the Sanders Campaign? 2016-06-11T04:00:00Z Live witness testimony during the impeachment investigation into President Bill Clinton did little to shift public opinion, said Republican pollster Whit Ayers. Americans tune in to Trump’s impeachment hearings 2019-11-13T05:00:00Z In the wake of the election, however, it wasn’t shock based on pollsters’ errors that got to me. The real face of Washington (and America): It can happen here — in fact, it did 2017-01-05T05:00:00Z In that sense, 2012 was a banner year for Republican pollsters. A question for Washington pollsters: How wrong must you be to never work again? The mechanism Ms. Didion described — kept moving by interlocking cadres of consultants, pollsters, spin doctors and journalists — continues to distract and perhaps also to alienate the public from the substance of democracy. ?Moneyball,? ?Ides of March? Contain Inside Information 2011-10-09T03:17:20Z Philip Gould: An Unfinished Life But Gould, as Tony Blair is quoted as saying on the cover, was not simply a pollster: "he was my pathfinder." Philip Gould: An Unfinished Life, edited by Dennis Kavanagh - review 2012-09-26T07:30:04Z Earlier this month, Salon spoke with leading Democratic Party pollster Stan Greenberg about what he learned from conducting focus groups with millennials. “Something bold needs to happen”: An in-depth look at millennial America 2016-02-20T05:00:00Z Ballot initiative contests rely on very expensive campaigns that pay pollsters, advertising and publicity experts, signature gatherers, and direct mail specialists. The Tea Party’s inspiration: A tax revolt that destroyed California 2013-09-15T13:30:00Z But CNN had independents favoring Obama 48% to 43%.Tracking just who is an undecided or persuadable voter is one of pollsters’ biggest challenges, and the varied results bear that out. 5 things the early polls tell us about the Obama-Romney matchup 2012-04-20T10:15:00Z After nearly 10 years of rule by Harper and his party, a majority of surveyed voters have told pollsters that they want a change. 11 weeks of campaigning is too long? Oh, Canada! 2015-10-18T04:00:00Z She rarely accompanied her husband on the campaign trail, but he referred to her as “his pollster.” The Trumps take their first official trip, and the world gets its first real look at the Trump marriage 2017-05-26T04:00:00Z Pundits, pollsters and the public thought Hillary Clinton was going to win. 11/8/16: the documentary that asks us to relive the day Trump shocked America 2017-10-30T04:00:00Z He believed that having “skin in the game” was a good way to keep pollsters and other political practitioners accountable to their predictions. This site bet big on political gambling. Regulators want it shut down. 2023-01-24T05:00:00Z In July, pollsters Gallup measured Clinton's favorability rating at 66 percent and found that he is popular among nearly all segments of the U.S. public. Martin Scorsese to direct Bill Clinton documentary 2012-12-17T20:15:44Z According to a recent poll by independent Russian pollster Levada Centre, 82 percent of Russian restaurateurs expect customer numbers to drop from Sunday. Despite opposition, Russia bans smoking in restaurants and bars 2014-05-30T04:00:00Z Clinton herself is relaxed, open and, well, just the sort of person pollsters and pundits kept saying she should be. Review | Hulu’s ‘Hillary’ turns a tale of defeat into a personal history of modern feminism 2020-03-04T05:00:00Z A scene in which she torments an earnest, robo-calling pollster is especially funny, and a nice respite from the mostly dour material. | 'Bridesburg': ?Bridesburg? at Gene Frankel Theater - Review 2012-01-23T22:55:31Z More Americans live alone than ever before and those who tell pollsters they are lonely have doubled since the 1980s. The Horror of Isolation 2020-07-29T04:00:00Z So ingrained was the connection that pollsters often lumped the two themes together, inviting people to express their concerns about "race/immigration" as though the two were inextricably linked. Home sweet home 2013-06-11T17:03:00Z “On the morning after the election disbelief prevailed, especially among the pollsters.” A Different Kind of Dystopian Novel 2017-02-19T05:00:00Z Let's dig into the statistics and how we as pollsters think about this puzzle. Donald Trump and the “N-word”: Many voters would still support him — but not enough 2018-09-11T04:00:00Z Still, food could soon become a more lucrative piece of political currency, some politicians, pollsters and convention veterans say. When Will Food Issues Be on Politicians Plates? 2016-07-26T04:00:00Z And I know firsthand as a pollster that Americans are much more interested in knowing what their tax returns will look like when he’s president than in seeing his tax returns. ‘They never saw this coming’: A Q&A with Kellyanne Conway 2017-01-26T05:00:00Z The back cover copy on the original Bantam paperback hypes “Simulacron-3” as “a shattering picture of our world in the very near future, when Madison Avenue and the public opinion pollsters take over!” Film: A Bold Vision, Still Ahead of Its Time 2010-04-04T03:02:00Z “There is no politician with his rhetorical skills or the ability he once had to connect with the common sense of the time,” James Morris, a pollster, wrote. The Return of Tony Blair 2017-05-12T04:00:00Z After Trump’s first presidential debate, a woman participating in a televised panel for undecided voters was asked by veteran GOP pollster Frank Luntz to sum up Trump’s performance. Perspective | Donald Trump keeps begging women to like him. They keep saying no. 2020-10-20T04:00:00Z You can also choose to take a partner; Albion, a pollster’s nightmare, even recognizes same-sex unions. Top 10 Fantasy RPG Video Games 2011-11-15T12:00:59Z Many new pollsters rely on automated voice recordings to interview people or turn to panels of professional poll-takers on the Internet. A question for Washington pollsters: How wrong must you be to never work again? Tonight’s crowd included a chief of staff for a moderate House member, a pollster for a major Democratic polling outfit, and an assortment of think tankers. The Washington gambler 2023-04-26T04:00:00Z In neighboring Peru, which will make its first World Cup appearance in 36 years, first-quarter TV sales rose 25 percent from a year earlier, according to pollster GfK. As World Cup approaches, soccer-mad Brazilians rush to buy TVs 2018-06-04T04:00:00Z Ruth Bernstein, a Democratic pollster in California, says polling has become “too much of the news.” It’s not you, Nate. It’s us. (And maybe a little you.) 2020-11-05T05:00:00Z Only three in four told exit pollsters they would definitely support the Republican nominee in the fall contest against President Obama. Romney averts disaster with Michigan win 2012-02-29T12:55:00Z Is it any wonder, then, why many Americans tell pollsters they have so little faith in their leaders and institutions? Column: Real or fake? It's hard to tell anymore 2013-02-11T11:01:06Z Mark Penn, a former pollster and adviser to President Bill Clinton. Best of this weekend’s TV: ‘Rent’ Live Sunday on Fox, and more 2019-01-25T05:00:00Z “I’m trying to think of anybody put to such desperate shame that they never worked again, but I can’t think of it,” says Edward Lazarus, a former Democratic pollster. A question for Washington pollsters: How wrong must you be to never work again? So does the quadrennial assault of pollsters sent to probe the likes and dislikes of the electorate the way judges size up livestock at the state fair. Iowa exudes a decency that even politics can’t undo 2016-03-15T04:00:00Z At the same time, pollsters have found a sharp and rapid increase in the percentage of people who doubt the Republican idea that America has no class divisions. Obama delivers confrontational address 2012-01-25T03:23:00Z A pollster is one of those jobs — like a football lineman or an oil-tanker captain — that normal people tend to notice only when one of these specialized professionals messes up. A question for Washington pollsters: How wrong must you be to never work again? I want to listen to poets instead of pollsters. Viet Thanh Nguyen on the Democrats' failure and our future 2016-11-17T05:00:00Z “To err is human, but in the political consulting world much relies on personal relationships, not just performance,” says Alan Secrest, a former Democratic pollster. A question for Washington pollsters: How wrong must you be to never work again? Frank Luntz, the Republican pollster, asked recently, referring to Mrs. Trump’s near invisibility on the campaign trail, her sole appearance a wordless photo op for which she smiled prettily as her husband announced his candidacy. Melania Trump, the Silent Partner 2015-09-30T04:00:00Z "He's a little bit of everybody in that film," says pollster Frank Luntz. Is CNN's "Giuliani: What Happened to America’s Mayor?" a matter worth pondering right now? 2023-01-08T05:00:00Z “It’s true that sometimes it can feel a little like we are flying blind,” Wysong said about the decision to go without pollsters. Beto O’Rourke gets more attention than any other 2018 candidate. Will it translate to votes? 2018-09-03T04:00:00Z They also could have said that the pollsters didn’t take a wide number of demographic factors into account. Under the “circle of doom”: Fox News gives us the season finale of its Trump boosting coverage 2016-11-09T05:00:00Z According to the New Yorker magazine, pollster Frank Luntz tested the phrase with a focus group in 2001; he found that only “highly partisan Democrats” were upset by it. ‘The Democrat Party’: Trump needles the opposition by truncating its name 2019-03-06T05:00:00Z But was it a death knell for the pollster, who worked closely with the DCCC? A question for Washington pollsters: How wrong must you be to never work again? The story of the 2016 election is one of a stunning defeat, not just for Hillary Clinton, but also for the pollsters, pundits and data-driven journalists who overwhelmingly predicted her victory. Yes, He Thought Trump Would Win. No, He Didn’t Use Hard Data. 2016-11-09T05:00:00Z In an editorial Mellman wrote for the Hill after Cantor’s loss, he said the key lesson wasn’t that the pollster was wrong but that you can never assume a lead will hold in a primary. A question for Washington pollsters: How wrong must you be to never work again? Interviewing people on cellphones is more costly, and many pollsters can cut expenses by compromising on the quality of their methods. A question for Washington pollsters: How wrong must you be to never work again? The unexpected electoral victory of Donald Trump last November was a political surprise of seismic proportions, shocking pollsters and pundits alike. Tolstoy’s “War and Peace” can inspire those who fear Trump’s America 2017-02-03T05:00:00Z “We don’t have pollsters, we don’t have handlers,” Glassner chimed in. Inside Trump’s inner circle, his staffers are willing to fight for him. Literally. 2016-03-10T05:00:00Z In Virginia, 63 percent of Republican primary voters told exit pollsters they supported a temporary ban on Muslims entering the country. Muslim Scouts pursue an American tradition — in an America wary of Muslims 2016-05-25T04:00:00Z Two days later, his pollster presented Bush with the grim reality — what Americans really cared about was the economy and most thought he was doing nothing about it. 'Destiny and Power' sheds light on George H.W. Bush and the country we've become 2015-12-09T05:00:00Z Influential pollster Frank Luntz, author of this year's "Win: The Key Principles to Take Your Business From Ordinary to Extraordinary," argued that the critics are but a drop in the ocean of Oprah admiration. For some, Oprah's exit is good riddance 2011-05-23T13:01:00Z Amid a roomful of pollsters and operatives and politicians, it is Sue, the president’s unflappable executive assistant, who quickly and calmly calculates that if Virginia goes to O’Brien, then he wins. 'Veep' Season 4 Finale Recap: Ma'am Up 2015-06-14T04:00:00Z They did so by using the same principles that political pollsters use when they call a representative sample of voters and use their responses to extrapolate to the general population. The human nose can distinguish between 1 trillion different scents 2014-03-23T21:00:00Z Back then, Kellyanne was just finding her footing as a sought-after pollster in Washington. She works for Trump. He can’t stand him. This is life with Kellyanne and George Conway. 2018-08-15T04:00:00Z But even some partisan pollsters say there isn’t enough oversight in the business. A question for Washington pollsters: How wrong must you be to never work again? Theron’s pollsters tell her she is perceived as lacking of a sense of humour, so in steps Rogen to change that, pepping up her speeches with pop-culture references and introducing her to MDMA. Wrongcom: why is Hollywood smitten with the Woody Allen Type? 2019-04-29T04:00:00Z And they're off – the politicians, the party workers, the political journalists, the news broadcasters, the sketch writers, the pollsters, the statisticians – and the comedians. Why radio won't stop joking for the election 2010-04-13T13:26:00Z Both factors led a respected Michigan pollster to poll state residents on privatized prison kitchens. Michigan’s failed effort to privatize prison kitchens and the future of institutional food 2018-08-29T04:00:00Z Contemporary pollsters may use a much more sophisticated definition of occupational class than the old Marxist historians, but they would never question that occupation is a central factor in shaping our attitudes. The Undivided Past: History Beyond Our Differences by David Cannadine – review 2013-04-11T09:00:01Z When pollsters asked a similar question this year, the share was 68 percent. Chasten Buttigieg has been a homeless community college student and a Starbucks barista. Now, he could be ‘first gentleman.’ 2019-05-01T04:00:00Z Polls by six different pollsters indicated the only two parties supporting an EU/IMF bailout that is keeping Greece from bankruptcy would likely fall short of enough support to form a stable coalition government. Greeks maul pro-bailout parties: exit polls 2012-05-06T16:19:02Z “Some pollsters are just too busy,” says Kellyanne Conway, a Republican pollster who has been at it for nearly three decades. A question for Washington pollsters: How wrong must you be to never work again? Polling for the general election shows Clinton’s candidacy is flagging with important parts of the Democratic base, said Cornell Belcher, a Democratic pollster. Team Clinton has found its secret weapon for the fall campaign: Michelle Obama 2016-07-27T04:00:00Z In Britain, a recent survey by pollsters YouGov found that only 11 percent of respondents agreed that immigration had been good for the country, compared to 67 percent who viewed it as bad. British xenophobia on the rise 2013-01-03T21:17:00Z “I’m not a celebrity, I’m just a pollster and campaign manger,” she said. Inside Kellyanne Conway’s world: Says she’s in it for the public service, not celebrity 2017-03-05T05:00:00Z According to HuffPost pollster, which tracks all major polling results, Clinton and Trump are nearly tied nationally — with the former leading by a paltry 1.6 points on average. The worst mistake Hillary can make: Clinton can’t afford to alienate Sanders supporters 2016-05-25T04:00:00Z "She had everything to gain from being at the march," Jean-Daniel Levy, a political analyst from pollster Harris Interactive, told Reuters. Europe's far right joins rallying cry against antisemitism, unsettling some Jews 2023-11-15T05:00:00Z In July, a survey by independent pollster the Levada Centre suggested that 63% of Russians had a favourable attitude towards the Soviet leader - his highest approval rating in 13 years. Russian memorials to victims of Stalin vanish 2023-11-14T05:00:00Z Why do so many people tell pollsters that they think Trump and the Republicans would do a better job with the economy when that has literally never been true in my lifetime? Joe Biden's economy is, honestly, pretty amazing: How come he doesn't get credit? 2023-11-13T05:00:00Z One pollster suggests Mrs Braverman's style could "peel back some Reform UK's voters, but the combination of alienating more Cameronite Tories and a total sense of government chaos and disunity far outweighs" that appeal. Suella Braverman row: Who's scared of Rishi Sunak? 2023-11-11T05:00:00Z The pollster didn’t mention the other problems, but most people are quite familiar with the list: Column: Gov. Gavin Newsom needs to focus on his day job 2023-11-09T05:00:00Z Then pollsters might further adjust those results to reflect what percentage of each group they believe will turn out for a given election. Column: Overwhelmed? Confused? Here's what to make of all those presidential polls 2023-11-08T05:00:00Z “He’s kind of taking on a new persona,” said Mark DiCamillo, director of the Berkeley poll and a longtime California pollster. New poll finds that California voters disapprove of Newsom's performance as governor 2023-11-07T05:00:00Z Why do so many people tell pollsters that they think Trump and the Republicans would do a better job with the economy when that has literally never been true in my lifetime? Joe Biden's economy is, honestly, pretty amazing: How come he doesn't get credit? 2023-11-13T05:00:00Z With unemployment at historic lows and economic growth brisk, why do so many people tell pollsters the economy is bad? Column: Biden and Blinken are planning for 'the day after' war in Gaza ends. Make that years after 2023-11-05T04:00:00Z “Arizona is a microcosm of the country right now,” said Paul Bentz, a GOP pollster in Phoenix, citing its solidly Democratic cities and staunchly Republican rural areas. How suburbanites, Latinos and the ghost of John McCain turned Arizona into a presidential battleground 2023-11-01T04:00:00Z “There’s no barriers to being a pollster anymore,” Kennedy said. Column: Overwhelmed? Confused? Here's what to make of all those presidential polls 2023-11-08T05:00:00Z The survey conducted by GAD3, a well-known opinion pollster in Spain, had a margin of sampling error for all respondents of plus or minus 1.1 percentage points. Spain’s report on Catholic Church sex abuse estimates victims could number in hundreds of thousands 2023-10-27T04:00:00Z Despite all, Netanyahu still has his unyielding partisans, said Israeli pollster Dahlia Scheindlin, who foresees a long-term hardening of far-right sentiment that could favor the prime minister. 'He isn't Churchill.' Despite anger and blame, war buys time for Israel's unpopular leader 2023-10-27T04:00:00Z Once again the country's pollsters and pundits were caught cold by the result. Explainer: Argentina presidential election: Key takeaways from first-round vote 2023-10-23T04:00:00Z Rather, Arizona is something like a Dr. Seuss character, as Paul Bentz, the GOP pollster, put it. How suburbanites, Latinos and the ghost of John McCain turned Arizona into a presidential battleground 2023-11-01T04:00:00Z Is the pollster willing to show his or her work, revealing how many interviews were conducted over what period of time and in which languages? Column: Overwhelmed? Confused? Here's what to make of all those presidential polls 2023-11-08T05:00:00Z The survey, conducted by GAD3, a well-known opinion pollster in Spain, had a margin of sampling error for all respondents of plus or minus 1.1 percentage points. Spain’s report on Catholic Church sex abuse estimates victims could number in hundreds of thousands 2023-10-27T04:00:00Z The outcome has surprised most pollsters, who thought voters would punish Mr Massa for presiding over a major crisis as economy minister. Argentina presidential election: Javier Milei and Sergio Massa head for run-off vote 2023-10-22T04:00:00Z That comes after pollsters also failed to spot the rise of Milei in the August primaries, when he won a shock first place, and a major forecasting miss at the last election in 2019. Explainer: Argentina presidential election: Key takeaways from first-round vote 2023-10-23T04:00:00Z Milei is the man to beat after a shock win in an August primary, though pollsters expected a runoff vote will be needed. Argentina election: vote count starts as chance of run-off rises 2023-10-22T04:00:00Z "The result means it will be more difficult for progressive issues or issues like the environment and sustainability," said Cloe Jans from pollsters GFS Bern. Swiss turn to right at election as immigration fears weigh 2023-10-22T04:00:00Z Their chances to stay in Washington will heavily depend on their messaging, said Whit Ayers, a longtime Republican pollster. California Republicans in swing districts backed Trump ally Jordan for speaker 2023-10-21T04:00:00Z Polls suggest Massa is ahead of Bullrich to claim the second run-off spot, though pollsters failed to predict the result of an August open primary, leaving plenty of room for doubt. 'I'm 50-50 until Sunday': Argentina's voters on a knife-edge as election nears 2023-10-21T04:00:00Z In early May, as Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida prepared to run for president, about a dozen right-wing social media influencers gathered at his pollster’s home for cocktails and a poolside buffet. How Ron DeSantis Lost the Internet 2023-10-21T04:00:00Z In the end, despite a stream of Republican pollsters and pundits claiming Murray might be in danger, the election was not close. Bankman-Fried brothers discussed ‘dark money’ support ‘to help Murray’ after fundraiser 2023-10-20T04:00:00Z However, Argentina's pollsters have failed to reliably predict the results of the 2019 presidential elections and recent primaries, when the majority of analysts placed Milei in third place. Argentina election 2023: what you need to know 2023-10-16T04:00:00Z Jordan’s deep ties to former President Trump’s attempts to overturn the 2020 presidential election may not sit well with key voters in swing districts, Democratic strategist and pollster Cornell Belcher told The Times Friday. California Republicans in swing districts backed Trump ally Jordan for speaker 2023-10-21T04:00:00Z “It’s a matter of the alternative for Democrats,” says Mark Baldassare, lead pollster for the nonpartisan Public Policy Institute of California. Column: Californians are in a sour mood, which should be good news for Republicans. It's not 2023-10-16T04:00:00Z Many voters were still undecided in the final days of the campaign, according to pollsters. Ecuadoreans weigh economic, security pledges in presidential ballot 2023-10-15T04:00:00Z That's not a huge surprise; Jewish voters have generally supported Democrats ever since pollsters first started tracking their votes in 1916. Trump, Netanyahu and Israel: Orange man-child embarrasses us all over again 2023-10-13T04:00:00Z Yet, it rarely comes up when pollsters ask voters to name the most important issues in the country today. Joe Biden keeps focus on junk fees despite crises in Middle East 2023-10-11T04:00:00Z But none are perceived to be as scrappy and determined at retail politics as Trudeau is, Liberal insiders and pollsters say. Analysis: Canada's Trudeau, far behind in polls, remains the Liberals' best chance 2023-10-11T04:00:00Z The kind that checks “none” when pollsters ask “What’s your religion?” America’s nonreligious are a growing, diverse phenomenon. They really don’t like organized religion 2023-10-04T04:00:00Z The Republican Party has managed to sneak by Democratic Party rivals however, so says a major pollster. Public trusts Republicans more on key issues, Gallup survey shows 2023-10-03T04:00:00Z Democrats say the GOP is suddenly moderating only because of recent election results and advice from pollsters. DeSantis said he would support a 15-week abortion ban, after avoiding a direct answer for months 2023-10-02T04:00:00Z The battle for autoworkers’ hearts is a microcosm of a larger struggle for working-class voters, a category typically defined by pollsters as voters without a college degree. Column: Biden and Trump want working-class votes. The economy may decide who gets them 2023-10-01T04:00:00Z However, 81% of Catalans told the same pollster in 2022 that it was their right to vote on independence in a referendum. Explainer: Who are Catalonia's separatist parties and why do they matter? 2023-09-29T04:00:00Z Republicans, in particular, tell pollsters they are anxious about the country’s future. 5 takeaways from last night's Republican presidential debate 2023-09-28T04:00:00Z Republicans are suddenly moderating their rhetoric and long-standing opposition to abortion access at the advice of pollsters, House Democratic Leader Don Scott argued in an interview Wednesday. Virginia Democrats warn Republicans will ban abortion; GOP says their rhetoric is fearmongering 2023-09-27T04:00:00Z “If this were a traditional presidential race, it would be a referendum on Biden,” said Anna Greenberg, a prominent Democratic pollster. Why Biden may need to defy history to beat Trump 2023-09-27T04:00:00Z But even though real wages have grown faster than prices in recent months, most working-class families tell pollsters they still don’t feel better off. Column: Biden and Trump want working-class votes. The economy may decide who gets them 2023-10-01T04:00:00Z “It’s too late for just a fine performance,” said Christine Matthews, a national Republican pollster. Republicans face growing urgency to stop Trump as they enter the second presidential debate 2023-09-26T04:00:00Z But pollsters found that distaste for Mr. Trump is driving the New Hampshire polling gap between the two men. Biden enjoys a 12-point lead over Trump in New Hampshire poll of a possible rematch 2023-09-22T04:00:00Z And this, ultimately, is what a lot of pollsters and commentators are saying. Will Rishi Sunak's green rethink transform Tory fortunes? 2023-09-21T04:00:00Z The pollsters settled on three primary methods: The largest group of potential survey takers received mailed invitations, often with multiple mailings. Ten languages, thousands of phone calls: Accurately polling immigrants posed unprecedented challenges 2023-09-17T04:00:00Z Scholars and pollsters have charted a striking rise in national pessimism. In an increasingly pessimistic era, immigrants espouse a hallmark American trait — optimism 2023-09-17T04:00:00Z This year saw even more scandals, pollsters said. Constitution Day survey finds most Americans lack basic civics knowledge 2023-09-14T04:00:00Z The pollsters surveyed 1,000 U.S. adults by mobile and landline phones from Sept. 6 to Sept. 11. More Americans trust Trump to fix the economy than Biden 2023-09-14T04:00:00Z "It's just an overwhelming perception that the Palestinian leadership made a huge mistake some 30 years ago," says veteran Palestinian pollster, Khalil Shikaki. Oslo Accords: 30 years of lost Palestinian hopes 2023-09-12T04:00:00Z A pollster takes the list, contacts a specified number of respondents and goes from there. Ten languages, thousands of phone calls: Accurately polling immigrants posed unprecedented challenges 2023-09-17T04:00:00Z If Republicans go down the impeachment road, they “better have some hard and compelling evidence of high crimes and misdemeanors,” Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster at North Star Opinion Research, told The Times. Biden impeachment push puts vulnerable California Republicans in a tough spot 2023-09-12T04:00:00Z Trump's own pollster was a partner in the poll so he should probably take it up with him. Trump's dementia challenge: Fear of Alzheimer's has him scrambling 2023-09-11T04:00:00Z Yes, some pollsters are interested in the sartorial decisions of the typical worker. Megyn Kelly to interview Donald Trump for first time since epic debate exchange 2023-09-10T04:00:00Z A big caveat, however, is that Argentina's pollsters got the primary vote badly wrong and misread the last general election in 2019, meaning the final result could shock once again. Milei leads polls in Argentina election after primary shock 2023-09-08T04:00:00Z It turns out, as the New Republic recently reported, that Trump's former pollster helped cook the books. Trump vs. Biden 2024 will be all-time ugly — and the media's making it worse 2023-09-07T04:00:00Z Guatemalans told pollsters that widespread corruption was one of their main concerns which prompted them to vote for a political outsider who campaigned on a promise to root out graft. Otto Pérez Molina: Guatemalan ex-leader pleads guilty to corruption 2023-09-07T04:00:00Z As pollsters, we need to design and analyze surveys with fresh eyes. Barack Obama's pollsters see "big red flags" for Donald Trump's re-election campaign 2023-09-06T04:00:00Z But pollsters say Mr. Kerr is a distinct minority within the GOP. Trump supporters dismiss electability challenges, see him as best hope against Biden 2023-09-05T04:00:00Z They are grappling with what they see as Pinochet’s complicated legacy at a time when a large number have told pollsters they are losing faith in democracy. A half-century after Gen. Augusto Pinochet’s coup, some in Chile remember the dictatorship fondly 2023-09-04T04:00:00Z The pollsters found that overall, 62% want to keep the monarchy. Generations split over value of monarchy 2023-09-04T04:00:00Z “He’s a Black man who rejects the idea of systemic racism, which is very popular in Republican circles,” said Christine Matthews, a national political pollster who has worked for Republican candidates. Tim Scott is the top Black Republican in the GOP presidential primary. Here’s how he discusses race 2023-09-03T04:00:00Z Data published by a Kremlin-controlled pollster in early August showed United Russia candidates drawing at least 80% of the vote across all four regions. Moscow stages local elections in occupied parts of Ukraine 2023-08-31T04:00:00Z We need to hear from more experts on authoritarian movements, and fewer pollsters and political strategists. Don't look away: It's a mistake to ignore Donald Trump's interview with Tucker Carlson 2023-08-30T04:00:00Z In a survey taken on Friday and Saturday by Emerson College Polling, Trump had the support of 50% of Republican primary voters, down six percentage points from a pre-debate survey by the same pollster. Trump’s standing drops in poll taken after debate and Georgia Booking 2023-08-28T04:00:00Z The pollsters say there has been a broadly consistent picture of "overall positivity towards the monarchy", but there is also a sizeable and rising minority who are opposed. Generations split over value of monarchy 2023-09-04T04:00:00Z The popular 42-year-old president has a large pool of devout voters, the pollster said, partly due to his controversial crackdown on crime, which has attracted international condemnation but won him domestic support. El Salvador's Bukele shows strong lead for 2024 vote -opinion poll 2023-08-28T04:00:00Z Basketball also cuts across all social classes in this developing nation, where nearly half the population consider themselves to be living in poverty, a recent survey by private pollster Social Weather Services showed. In FIBA World Cup host Philippines, basketball is life The group is difficult to quantify precisely, though GOP pollsters and Trump’s competitors believe it’s large enough to overcome Trump’s base. Donald Trump seems inescapable but many Republicans embrace a campaign discussion without him 2023-08-23T04:00:00Z The Gallup pollsters said “the creation of the autonomous zone in Seattle” in the summer of 2020 most likely had an enduring negative effect on overall views of crime here. Golden retriever or werewolf? The divide on Seattle’s image tops nation 2023-08-23T04:00:00Z When a MAGA-American picks up the phone and hears a pollster from the hated "liberal media" ask them questions about Trump's indictments and general trustworthiness, they aren't answering the question asked. Trump's polling surges prove the charges of "deplorable" and "bitter clingers" 2023-08-22T04:00:00Z Even so, J. Ann Selzer, the veteran Iowa pollster whose firm conducted the survey, said the race is not settled and might be "closer than it may first seem." Trump has commanding lead in Iowa ahead of 2024 Republican caucus - poll 2023-08-21T04:00:00Z But the economy is still deeply troubled and a pre-election survey by leading African pollster Afrobarometer said about two thirds of Zimbabweans think the country is going in the wrong direction. Zimbabwe’s president, a former guerrilla fighter known as ‘the crocodile,’ is seeking reelection 2023-08-20T04:00:00Z Trump’s rivals cannot win over that remaining faction by “going after him frontally,” the pollster argued. Trump’s 2024 GOP rivals converge on Atlanta just days after his latest indictment 2023-08-17T04:00:00Z Seattle pollster Stuart Elway, who wasn’t involved in the Gallup polling, found in his own surveys last year that there’s increasing tribalism in the land, just for its own sake. Golden retriever or werewolf? The divide on Seattle’s image tops nation 2023-08-23T04:00:00Z Plus, when pollsters word questions more carefully to avoid provoking Republican spite, Trump's indictment bump disappears. Trump's polling surges prove the charges of "deplorable" and "bitter clingers" 2023-08-22T04:00:00Z “Debating weeks is not where we want to be,” longtime Democrat pollster Celinda Lake said last year, according to the New York Times. Campaign walks back RFK’s support for three-month federal abortion limit 2023-08-14T04:00:00Z That potential challenge has done little to dampen spirits in Milei's camp, delighted at far exceeding pollster estimates of around one-fifth of the vote in the primary. Analysis: Could Argentine radical libertarian Javier Milei win the presidency? 2023-08-14T04:00:00Z People planning to turn in protest or blank ballots represented about 25% of voters, the pollster said. Murder of Ecuador presidential candidate spooks voters in unsettled election 2023-08-10T04:00:00Z The pollsters said respondents didn’t differ much based on gender, income or education level. Golden retriever or werewolf? The divide on Seattle’s image tops nation 2023-08-23T04:00:00Z Responsible pollsters kept trying to correct the narrative, pointing out that strong majorities of Americans believed it should be a right. In Ohio, Republicans lose on abortion again 2023-08-09T04:00:00Z “Gun violence is among the top issues for Democrats, but it barely registers for Republicans and independents are, as you would expect, in the middle of the road on the issue,” said pollster Whit Ayres. Biden sticking to his gun ban plans as the answer to America’s violent crime epidemic 2023-08-07T04:00:00Z Democratic pollster Anna Greenberg said Trump’s legal trouble “sucks the oxygen out of everything else” and limits the chances for Republicans to discuss other issues, such as the economy. Biden heads west for a policy victory lap, drawing an implicit contrast with Trump 2023-08-07T04:00:00Z “We saw the biggest overnight drop in support for Mr. Putin in 30 years of polling,” Denis Volkov, the director of Levada Center, the only major independent pollster in Russia, told me in Moscow. Putin’s Forever War 2023-08-06T04:00:00Z "That which helps in a primary might harm in a general election," said Adam Geller, a Republican pollster. How Trump used hush-money charges to rev up campaign 2023-08-03T04:00:00Z Wade, bringing a flood of state-level abortion bans, both Republicans and the press have quickly learned what the better pollsters had been trying to tell them: Americans do not like abortion bans. In Ohio, Republicans lose on abortion again 2023-08-09T04:00:00Z Richard Czuba, a veteran pollster who conducts surveys for Detroit’s media outlets, said opinions about Mr. Trump on both sides of the aisle had long been cased in cement. Trump 2024: Running for President, and to Beat the Rap 2023-08-03T04:00:00Z Trump pollster John McLaughlin told The Times that Mr. Pence is unlikely to pick up significant new support now that he’s positioned himself as a leading witness against the former president. Pence’s Revenge: VP turns star witness against Trump in Jan. 6 case 2023-08-02T04:00:00Z Anna Greenberg, a Democratic pollster, said she thought all the criminal cases will ultimately weigh down Trump even if his most dedicated supporters do not abandon him. Analysis: Trump’s indictment is a stress test of Biden’s focus on safeguarding democracy 2023-08-02T04:00:00Z But if the Florida governor does not work out a way to take on Trump directly, pollsters say he and the others are running out of time to stop Trump becoming the nominee. Trump criticizes DeSantis without pushback at Iowa event, even after new criminal charges 2023-07-29T04:00:00Z The veteran pollster said “the risk factor is important” during its deliberation. Leading Hong Kong pollster to stop releasing poll results on some sensitive topics 2023-07-27T04:00:00Z Polls have consistently shown most Republicans buying into Trump’s lie about a stolen election, or at least telling pollsters they do. Column: Trump's Big Lie and the Republican Etch A Sketch strategy 2023-07-27T04:00:00Z Six different Republican operatives, campaign officials, and pollsters described or shared with Rolling Stone internal data and surveys they'd conducted or reviewed last and this year. DeSantis hoped to outflank Trump in anti-vax insanity: Here's why it's not working 2023-07-24T04:00:00Z More than 70 percent of voters have told pollsters that the city is on the wrong track, and some 66 percent disapprove of the mayor’s job performance. In San Francisco, a Levi Strauss Heir and a Former Ally Prepare to Challenge London Breed 2023-07-23T04:00:00Z Penn was President Clinton's pollster and top advisor to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign. No Labels wants to “rescue” the 2024 election with a third-party candidate — but on whose dime? 2023-07-20T04:00:00Z An additional 69% of respondents this year said it’s essential for the U.S. to maintain its place as a world leader in space, the nonprofit pollster found. Most adults expect routine space tourism by 2073, support exploration, says poll 2023-07-20T04:00:00Z Some 54% of those polled said their current economic situation worsened in the last six months and 41% said it remained the same, in a survey conducted last week by local pollster CPI. Poll shows most Peruvians believe economy worse under Boluarte 2023-07-17T04:00:00Z Investors and pollsters said the tough times could force Pakistan and Argentina's leaders to reckon with needed fiscal reforms. Analysis: Pakistan and Argentina bonds' surge belies bigger reform hurdles 2023-07-17T04:00:00Z Former GOP pollster Frank Luntz, who has been running focus groups in Iowa, warned such messaging “makes it more likely that Trump wins because it turns him into a victim.” The Iowa caucuses are six months away. Some Republicans worry Trump may be unstoppable 2023-07-14T04:00:00Z With a highly successful polling cycle behind them, some pollsters believe a tactic that gained widespread adoption in 2022 may help carry them through the next presidential election. Polls Were Great in 2022. Can They Repeat Their Success in 2024? 2023-07-12T04:00:00Z The pollsters said it was still hard to predict where voters would shift as candidates drop off after the primaries or in an eventual run-off. Argentina election race narrows as libertarian Milei loses ground - pollsters 2023-07-05T04:00:00Z “It’s hard to paint an 80-year-old white man as a flaming woke warrior,” said Whit Ayres, a longtime pollster for Republican candidates. Biden Sidesteps Any Notion That He’s a ‘Flaming Woke Warrior’ 2023-07-04T04:00:00Z Poll director Charles Franklin has consistently been one of the most accurate public pollsters in the nation. Swing-state poll spells trouble for GOP 2023-06-29T04:00:00Z Yet the vast majority of the remaining pollsters showed varying degrees of Democratic bias — 10 of the 14 featured in 2016 by Mr. Panagopoulos skewed left, and that number was 11 of 14 in 2020. Today’s pollsters cannot be trusted to deliver accurate, unbiased results 2023-06-27T04:00:00Z Mr. Trump’s lead over Mr. DeSantis dropped by two points, and his advantage over the field of all GOP candidates fell from 22 points to 13 points, according to pollster Ron Faucheux. Trump, DeSantis throw punches ahead of clashing campaign events in New Hampshire 2023-06-26T04:00:00Z "The real truth is that this election will be very complicated," said pollster Saul Cabrera. Machado, Capriles, others to compete in Venezuela opposition primary 2023-06-23T04:00:00Z “People keep thinking and hypothesizing that the issue is going to diminish in its power. Well, not really,” said Celinda Lake, a pollster who has worked with the president. One year after the anti-abortion ruling, the White House keeps a spotlight on the issue 2023-06-22T04:00:00Z It’s a serious sign of something when as many as 20% of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents tell pollsters they support Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for the Democratic presidential nomination. Column: Why Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s presidential bid is the second coming of Donald Trump 2023-06-21T04:00:00Z Those defending the industry can cite a litany of hurdles today’s pollsters must jump. Today’s pollsters cannot be trusted to deliver accurate, unbiased results 2023-06-27T04:00:00Z According to Arab Barometer, a pollster, nearly half of all young Jordanians now want to leave, raising concerns that the kingdom could be pushing away the people it needs most. Young crown prince is meant to embody Jordan’s future, but his generation faces bleak prospects 2023-06-19T04:00:00Z Surveys have suggested that large numbers of Democratic voters are willing to tell pollsters they would take anyone over Mr. Biden. Why Robert Kennedy Jr.’s 2024 Bid Is a Headache for Biden 2023-06-19T04:00:00Z This approach, which has become more common among pollsters, is the one that YouGov used. How Democrats Can Win Workers 2023-06-13T04:00:00Z Democratic consultants and pollsters say people see her as someone they can relate to, maybe even reminding them of their favorite teacher. Jill Biden says ‘it’s a little shocking’ many Republicans support Trump after indictment 2023-06-12T04:00:00Z Even small changes in such assumptions can skew the results of a putatively honest pollster. Today’s pollsters cannot be trusted to deliver accurate, unbiased results 2023-06-27T04:00:00Z “There are few politicians on the Democratic side of the aisle that raise the ire of Republicans more than Hillary Clinton,” said Neil Newhouse, a veteran Republican pollster. Hillary Clinton’s Emails: A Nation Struggles to Unsubscribe 2023-06-12T04:00:00Z The next British general election might present Mr. Yousaf with a new opening if, as some pollsters predict, Labour emerges as the biggest party but without an overall majority. Scotland’s Independence Movement Is Down, but Not Out, Analysts Say 2023-06-12T04:00:00Z The unofficial results were based on pollster projections and on results from representative samples from individual polling stations. Pro-EU group projected to win Montenegro snap parliamentary election 2023-06-11T04:00:00Z A separate ABC News/Ipsos poll showed that 61 percent of Americans viewed the charges as serious, up from 52 percent in April when pollsters asked about the mishandling of classified documents. The 2024 G.O.P. Field Faces a Choice: Law and Order or Loyalty 2023-06-11T04:00:00Z Yet jiggering the assumptions can also allow an unscrupulous pollster to put two full thumbs on the scale. Today’s pollsters cannot be trusted to deliver accurate, unbiased results 2023-06-27T04:00:00Z Mr. Trump’s supporters continue to side with the former president and accuse the Justice Department of politically targeting him, while pollsters predict much of Mr. Trump’s loyal base won’t budge from their support. Trump confronts mountain of charges that threaten his liberty, his presidential run 2023-06-10T04:00:00Z The pollster noted that the percentage of Republicans and Democrats calling the nation’s moral values “poor” this year inched up by two points, to 74% and 38% of respondents, respectively. America’s moral values tumbling, say soaring number of adults 2023-06-09T04:00:00Z The pro-Serb coalition For the Future of Montenegro has emerged as a kingmaker in the formation of a future coalition government by winning some 15% of the vote Sunday, according to the independent pollsters. Pro-EU group projected to win Montenegro snap parliamentary election 2023-06-11T04:00:00Z More than 85% of the South Korean public oppose Japan’s plan, according to a survey last month by local pollster Research View. S.Korea sea salt demand grows ahead of Japan's Fukushima contaminated water release 2023-06-09T04:00:00Z Like Gresham’s law, which holds that bad money drives out good, today’s bad shyster pollsters are driving out good pollsters for partisan and pecuniary reasons. Today’s pollsters cannot be trusted to deliver accurate, unbiased results 2023-06-27T04:00:00Z A spike in “significant conservative media attention” to gender issues in recent years drove the shift, said political scientist Melissa Deckman, CEO of the D.C.-based pollster. Number of genders? Two, say most adults 2023-06-08T04:00:00Z Which generation is being more open and honest to the pollster? It’s not just Sammamish, we’re going back in time on LGBTQ+ equality 2023-06-07T04:00:00Z Republican pollsters and strategists have written him off. The G.O.P. Has Drifted, but Mike Pence Is as Conservative as Ever 2023-06-07T04:00:00Z That subject is already a source of interest to pollsters. Speculation and polling about Trump’s running mate 2023-06-06T04:00:00Z Here, when partisan or profit-motivated pollsters are able to place skewed results in putatively “respectable” media outlets, that’s a huge win for their bottom line and client relations. Today’s pollsters cannot be trusted to deliver accurate, unbiased results 2023-06-27T04:00:00Z Gay marriage has gained widespread acceptance - including among most Republicans, according to opinion pollster Gallup - since the US Supreme Court legalised same-sex unions in 2015. Parents clash in Pride protest at US primary school 2023-06-02T04:00:00Z But voters — especially the Democrats and independents that Biden needs in order to win reelection — do tend to tell pollsters that they want their leaders to compromise. Biden delivers first Oval Office speech, celebrates 'a crisis averted' 2023-06-02T04:00:00Z Voters overwhelmingly tell pollsters they want more of it. Everyone says they want compromise in politics, until it happens 2023-06-01T04:00:00Z Exactly how the Russian population views the war is unclear as few trust pollsters enough to tell them the truth and even then, emigre opponents of Putin say, any negative polls would never be published. As drone war comes to Russia, Muscovites shrug their shoulders and carry on 2023-05-30T04:00:00Z He read the electorate better than the pollsters and analysts, who suggested he could be beaten by the opposition. Turkey elections: What to expect from newly emboldened Erdogan 2023-05-28T04:00:00Z “Her constituents are finally weighing in,” said Mark DiCamillo, director of the Institute of Governmental Studies poll and a longtime California pollster. A majority of Californians say Feinstein is no longer fit for office, a new poll finds 2023-05-25T04:00:00Z Most Republican voters tell pollsters their top concerns are the economy and immigration, not gas stoves, corporate social responsibility or cryptocurrency named for a rare dog breed. Does announcing for president on Twitter prove Ron DeSantis is too online? 2023-05-24T04:00:00Z ND’s margin of victory far outstripped pollsters’ forecasts and was the biggest since 1974, when Greece’s first democratic elections were held after the fall of the seven-year military dictatorship. Greece faces new ballot in weeks, after election triumph fails to deliver center-right majority 2023-05-22T04:00:00Z The outcome confounded the expectations of pollsters who had put Kilicdaroglu ahead. Factbox: Turkey election runoff 2023: what you need to know 2023-05-18T04:00:00Z "It's a generation of Greeks who grew up in difficult and unprecedented conditions, which does not allow them to take things too lightly," said George Arapoglou, head of Pulse pollsters. As Greek elections loom, parties vie for votes of 'lost generation' 2023-05-17T04:00:00Z While a number of pollsters including MAK had predicted a majority for the People’s Alliance in the parliamentary vote, the nationalist MHP - part of the governing alliance - did much better than forecast. Turkish pollsters failed to predict outcome, in shock for markets and voters alike 2023-05-15T04:00:00Z A reputable pollster who got the Karnataka results right backs the BJP's view. Analysis: India's opposition Congress gains key foothold with state election win 2023-05-14T04:00:00Z Democratic pollsters have dismissed those results, pointing to anomalies like the poll’s showing Mr. Trump winning young voters outright while dramatically closing the gap with Mr. Biden for Black and Hispanic votes. It’s Been a Week. What Does It Tell Us About 2024? 2023-05-14T04:00:00Z It’s also an issue that alarmed Mr. Biden’s lead pollster early in his presidency. Democrats Spar Over the ‘Prickly, Prickly Subject’ of Immigration 2023-05-13T04:00:00Z He did not endorse another candidate, but pollsters said voters who would have voted for him were more likely to choose Mr. Kilicdaroglu over Mr. Erdogan. Erdogan’s Election Prospects Take a Hit as a Challenger Drops Out 2023-05-11T04:00:00Z In late March, 23% of Americans told pollsters they had avoided large crowds to protect themselves over the past week. What you need to know to stay safe from COVID after the public health emergency ends 2023-05-11T04:00:00Z Nonetheless, they chime with the findings of some pollsters and academics who say the disaster has entrenched already polarized views for and against Erdogan and his ruling AK Party. Analysis: Erdogan again? Amid rubble of Turkey's quake, voters demand to be heard 2023-05-09T04:00:00Z Mr. Erdogan’s die-hard supporters, which pollsters estimate to be about one-third of the electorate, see no reason for Turkey to change course. As Turkish Vote Looms, Erdogan Loyalists Can’t Imagine Anyone Else in Charge 2023-05-09T04:00:00Z “The poll really is trash, and I don’t say that lightly because I’ve had respect for their polling in the past,” said Cornell Belcher, who was President Barack Obama’s pollster. Biden Casts Himself as the Trump Beater. Polls Suggest That’s No Sure Thing. 2023-05-08T04:00:00Z In 2020, 67 percent of Republicans told pollsters that more guns made the United States safer. After Mass Killings in Texas, Frustration but No Action on Guns 2023-05-07T04:00:00Z The pollster noted that many adults may forget that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., a government agency, guarantees $250,000 of insurance per depositor at each insured bank for every deposit category. Gallup: Half of adults anxious about money after bank collapses 2023-05-04T04:00:00Z “Anybody who has raised over $100 million and won reelection as governor of what used to be a swing state has a lot to sell,” said Whit Ayres, a veteran Republican pollster. Analysis: As DeSantis readies 2024 presidential bid, Florida lawmakers hand him fresh ammo 2023-05-03T04:00:00Z And only about a quarter of Brits tell pollsters that the monarchy is “not at all important” or is worthy of abolishing. ‘Not My King’ protests are now the norm at King Charles III’s events 2023-05-02T04:00:00Z “While the poll is not great news for Biden, it’s not great news for the Republicans either,” said Anna Greenberg, a Democratic pollster. Biden Casts Himself as the Trump Beater. Polls Suggest That’s No Sure Thing. 2023-05-08T04:00:00Z A major pollster has less than promising news for President Biden, and of interest to voters. Gallup says Biden enters 2024 race at ‘weakest point’ of his presidency 2023-04-30T04:00:00Z “Drill, baby, drill: Voters prioritize energy production over climate change concerns,” the pollster said, revealing the pesky truth. A Lone Star moment at rally for border security 2023-04-27T04:00:00Z A 2022 survey by pollster Don Anderson found that 56% of Jamaicans want to remove the monarch as head of state. Jamaica cool on Charles' coronation as it eyes break with monarchy 2023-04-26T04:00:00Z First, it is intended to provide assurance to the South Korean public, where pollsters have found consistent majorities in favor of building an independent South Korean nuclear force. U.S. and South Korea Agree to Cooperate on Nuclear Weapons 2023-04-26T04:00:00Z “I noticed more softness among Democrats, but I have no doubt that no matter what skepticism Democrats tell pollsters right now, they are going to vote for Joe Biden,” she said. Biden Casts Himself as the Trump Beater. Polls Suggest That’s No Sure Thing. 2023-05-08T04:00:00Z “But we don’t live in typical times,” said Republican pollster Bill McInturff. Analysis | Biden’s balance sheet: Weak numbers, but in Donald Trump, a valuable foil 2023-04-25T04:00:00Z Voters tell pollsters that Biden’s advanced age is a main concern. Biden announces 2024 reelection bid, saying he wants to ‘finish the job’ 2023-04-25T04:00:00Z Two-thirds of Americans consistently tell pollsters that they think abortion care should be legal and accessible. Biden v Trump: The sequel few Americans want to see 2023-04-25T04:00:00Z That will be quickly followed by Mr. Biden hiring a staff that can work outside the White House: a campaign manager, communication aides, state campaign directors, pollsters, finance managers, volunteers and more. Biden Plans an Election Bid That Will Be More Complicated the 2nd Time Around 2023-04-24T04:00:00Z GOP pollster Whit Ayres agreed and pointed to evidence that primary voters are open to other candidates. Column: Trump seems to have a firm grip on GOP polls — but his rivals think they can do better 2023-04-23T04:00:00Z George Barna, a longtime Christian pollster who now directs research activities at the Cultural Research Center, said the findings demonstrate the pandemic’s impact on personal identity. Pandemic sapped Americans’ sense of purpose, worldview survey reveals 2023-04-20T04:00:00Z Opposition parties have criticised CIS over what they see as possible bias as the pollster is state-owned and headed by a Socialist. Spanish PM's party dips in new poll, new leftist bloc gains traction 2023-04-20T04:00:00Z “It has sounded like an excuse to get conservative voters to support somebody they don’t really want, even though the argument may very well be true,” said Whit Ayres, a veteran Republican pollster. DeSantis’s Electability Pitch Wobbles, Despite G.O.P. Losses Under Trump 2023-04-20T04:00:00Z “It all depends on how you deal with her,” said Tony Fabrizio, a pollster who knew Ms. Wiles before both worked for Mr. Trump. DeSantis Tried to Bury Her. Now She’s Helping Trump Try to Bury Him. 2023-04-18T04:00:00Z Jacobson is married to shady pollster Mark Penn who was affiliated with the Clintons back in the day but has steadily become hostile to the Democratic Party over the years. The centrist plan to sabotage Joe Biden 2023-04-17T04:00:00Z A survey by French pollster Ifop found that 62 percent of French people supported or were sympathetic to this week’s demonstrations and strikes. French court approves the Macron retirement-age hike despite protests 2023-04-14T04:00:00Z But some pollsters note that other issues — such as the backlash against the Supreme Court’s repeal of Roe v. Inflation is falling. Why aren’t people noticing? 2023-04-12T04:00:00Z A third of respondents told the pollster the best course forward is to start from scratch and build a modern home for the head of government. Dead rodents litter PM's official home, but do Canadians care? 2023-04-12T04:00:00Z Mr. Kelly was a poor candidate who lost by an almost identical margin in another state Supreme Court race in 2020, noted David Winston, a longtime pollster and strategist for House Republican leaders. Pressured by Their Base on Abortion, Republicans Strain to Find a Way Forward 2023-04-11T04:00:00Z “As the race currently stands, it’s Trump’s race to lose, while DeSantis is the undisputed second-place choice,” the Victory Insight pollsters said. Ron DeSantis’s busy travel schedule stirs early presidential primary mudslinging 2023-04-10T04:00:00Z Forget the standard input from public relations professionals, pollsters and publicity counselors as the 2024 presidential race looms on the horizon. Biden team seeks to influence the influencers 2023-04-10T04:00:00Z Most pollsters expected him to be ousted from office after losing the support of nearly every elected Democrat in the county. Has L.A. D.A. George Gascón delivered on his police accountability promises? 2023-04-09T04:00:00Z “It guarantees that abortion is going to be on the ballot again in 2024,” Celinda Lake, a Democratic pollster, said of the Texas decision. Democrats blast Texas abortion pill ruling as Republicans are mostly quiet 2023-04-08T04:00:00Z There is no more reason to believe that will work this time around, said Ms. Longwell, the Republican pollster. Trump’s Charges Bring Doubts, Hopes and Uncertainty in Both Parties 2023-04-05T04:00:00Z “A lot of times you have a candidate who’s in trouble, you create a diversion,” said Trump campaign pollster John McLaughlin. Trump’s bravado tested as legal woes overlap with campaign 2023-04-05T04:00:00Z According to a Ukrainian pollster, the UOC, which recognised the Russian Orthodox Church as its parent organisation until last May, three months into Russia's full-scale invasion, has lost over three-quarters of its pre-invasion believers. Church accused of Moscow ties expelled from two parishes in western Ukraine 2023-04-05T04:00:00Z Trump pollster John McLaughlin said the former president would approach the day with “dignity.” Donald Trump to surrender to history-making criminal charges 2023-04-03T04:00:00Z “In the last days before an election, things have been set in motion for a long time,” said Franklin, the pollster. Trump indictment not expected to affect Wisconsin court race 2023-03-31T04:00:00Z Economic uncertainty is getting so bad that more Americans told Fox News pollsters that they’d rather stash a $10,000 windfall under their mattresses than invest it in the stock market. Consumers’ worries sky high as inflation recedes unevenly and slowly 2023-03-30T04:00:00Z McLaughlin, the Trump pollster, said he has found Republican primary voters, already angry, are rallying around the former president. Trump’s bravado tested as legal woes overlap with campaign 2023-04-05T04:00:00Z Christine Matthews, a Republican pollster and no fan of the ex-president, has conducted extensive research over the last several months among GOP primary voters, including some who supported Trump in 2016 and 2020. Column: Scandal after scandal, Trump has defied political physics. Will this time be different? 2023-03-29T04:00:00Z DeSantis' muddled messaging on Ukraine and the multiple legal investigations into Trump mean that this year’s primary race “is a vast sea of uncertainty,” said Whit Ayres, a Republican strategist and former DeSantis pollster. Early 2024 salvos foreshadow unpredictable Trump vs DeSantis fight 2023-03-29T04:00:00Z Charles Franklin, a pollster for the Marquette University Law School, said the indictment could spur a bump in turnout both among Trump’s most ardent supporters and his most fervent Democratic opponents. Trump indictment not expected to affect Wisconsin court race 2023-03-31T04:00:00Z Ayres, the Republican pollster, sees his party as divided among 10 percent “Never Trump” voters, 30 percent “Always Trump,” with the remaining 60 percent in a category he calls “Maybe Trump.” Opinion | Why we’re still stuck in Trump’s world 2023-03-26T04:00:00Z The party may be in trouble now but, with large majorities of younger voters telling pollsters that they support independence, the constitutional question which hangs over Scottish politics is not going away. Where next for Scotland as the Nicola Sturgeon era ends? 2023-03-25T04:00:00Z “I think her role in forging a coalition behind taking down the Confederate flag was one of her finest moments, and it showed her leadership chops,” said Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster. Nikki Haley walks fine line on race, gender in appeal to GOP base 2023-03-20T04:00:00Z While a pollster testified that the polling place problems disenfranchised enough voters to change the election’s outcome, the appeals court said his conclusion was baseless. Arizona court declines most of Lake’s appeal over gov’s race 2023-03-22T04:00:00Z A survey by pollsters YouGov for the BBC, published last year, suggested two-thirds of women did not feel safe walking alone at night, at least some of the time. MPs approve plans to make street sexual harassment a crime 2023-03-24T04:00:00Z And while a pollster testified that the polling place problems disenfranchised enough voters to change the election’s outcome, the appeals court said his conclusion was baseless. Arizona Supreme Court declines most of Kari Lake’s appeal, but revives previously dismissed claim 2023-03-22T04:00:00Z Even those few people may be exaggerating their tuning-out to the pollsters. "The customer's always right": Here's why the GOP loves conspiracy theories. 2023-03-22T04:00:00Z First unofficial results by pollsters, based on a sample of the electorate, are expected about two hours later. Montenegro votes in presidential election 2023-03-19T04:00:00Z Frank Luntz, a pollster and communication analyst who said he “came of age in the days of Ronald Reagan,” said that in the current Republican Party, gone is the era of Reagan’s sanguine optimism. Much of the 2024 GOP field focuses on dark, apocalyptic themes 2023-03-16T04:00:00Z For decades pollsters have documented a decline in the public's trust of the federal government and in recent years there's been some slippage for state and local governments that historically fared much better than Washington. NJ governor wants to cut taxes for big corporations — while slashing aid to 157 school districts 2023-03-16T04:00:00Z However, many will be voting for personalities rather than policies, pollsters said. Analysis: DeSantis sharpens divide between Republican isolationists and hawks over Ukraine 2023-03-15T04:00:00Z A national survey by the Moscow-based pollster Russian Field in early February found that 41 percent of respondents approved of Mr. Prigozhin’s role in the war. Russia’s Mercenary Chief Prepares Ground for a Political Advance 2023-03-14T04:00:00Z The pollsters didn’t elaborate on where was the overlap of Americans who define woke as “informed, educated on or aware of social injustice” and also felt it was an insult. Woke: One word, different definitions that divide Americans 2023-03-13T04:00:00Z And that distrust, according to pollsters like Gallup and others, is now at an all-time low. It’s no secret: Transparency is key to good government 2023-03-12T05:00:00Z But Americans themselves have contradictory feelings on abortion, and generally support Second Amendment rights, but then, after mass shootings, tell pollsters they want more gun-control proposals. Opinion | Manchin for president? As Biden would say, Come on, man! 2023-03-08T05:00:00Z He vented about the pollsters who worked for him at Fox News. Murdoch confided Trump was going ‘increasingly mad’ as Fox pushed false claims 2023-03-07T05:00:00Z And while Americans tell pollsters they want higher taxes on the rich, hiking taxes is never a politically savvy move. Analysis: Biden's focus on deficit in budget is targeted at Republicans 2023-03-08T05:00:00Z Compared to Democrats and Republicans, independents were more divided on the definition with 51% saying it involves being informed and 45% saying it means being overly politically correct, according to the pollsters. Woke: One word, different definitions that divide Americans 2023-03-13T04:00:00Z Just under four in 10 persons — 39% — aligned themselves with the typical GOP definition, which is “to be overly politically correct and police others’ words,” the pollsters said. Americans can’t decide if ‘woke’ is an insult or compliment, poll shows 2023-03-08T05:00:00Z In late 2015, in stark contrast to seasoned pollsters, Adams said he was almost certain that Donald Trump would be the Republican presidential nominee, and later president, because of the New York businessman’s “persuasive talent.” The bewildering descent of Scott Adams and ‘Dilbert’ 2023-03-06T05:00:00Z The pollster says he regards independent voters as guideposts. Column: There's no home field advantage in California for Vice President Kamala Harris 2023-03-06T05:00:00Z A quarter of households regularly run out of money for essentials, pollster Survation found. In Britain, ‘warm hubs’ emerge to beat soaring energy costs 2023-03-04T05:00:00Z The Washington Post and Politico reinforce the conclusions reached by other leading publications, pollsters, and mainstream politics watchers about the current state of Trump and his 2024 prospects. Media plays a dangerous game with Trump 2023-03-03T05:00:00Z “Most Americans understand that to be woke is to be tuned in to injustices around us,” pollster Cliff Young, of Ipsos, told USA Today. Americans can’t decide if ‘woke’ is an insult or compliment, poll shows 2023-03-08T05:00:00Z A Yahoo News poll has plunged into that quandary, and here’s what the pollster found. Is Biden too old for second term? Most Americans say ‘yes’ 2023-03-02T05:00:00Z Yet a large majority of Republicans told pollsters that they didn’t believe Biden actually won. Conspiracy theorizing goes off the rails 2023-02-28T05:00:00Z In a video that Rasmussen posted on Twitter alongside the survey results, head pollster Mark Mitchell presented the question as a good-faith effort to capture public opinion — something he claimed Rasmussen is unique in doing. A poll asked if it’s ‘OK to be white.’ Here’s why the phrase is loaded. 2023-02-28T05:00:00Z A survey by South Korean pollster Realmeter last year found that nearly seven in 10 respondents said an anti-discrimination law was necessary. South Korean gay couple sees court win as breakthrough for equality 2023-02-27T05:00:00Z “It used to be adjacent to public service, to be the state party chair, and now it’s something where you get to dunk on Democrats on Twitter,” said Robert Jones, a Republican pollster in Idaho. Failing at polls, election deniers focus on state GOP posts 2023-02-26T05:00:00Z Democratic pollster Geoff Garin said his reading of public opinion is that most Americans view this through the lens of judgments about Putin rather than the amount of money the United States is spending. Analysis | Biden faces new pressures over U.S. support in Year 2 of Ukraine war 2023-02-25T05:00:00Z One question continues to draw the attention of the curious press, pollsters, analysts plus fans and enemies alike. Does Biden have the ‘mo-joe’ to run again? 2023-02-23T05:00:00Z The survey question was asked by the conservative-leaning Rasmussen Reports, whose head pollster described it as a “simple” and “uncontroversial” query. A poll asked if it’s ‘OK to be white.’ Here’s why the phrase is loaded. 2023-02-28T05:00:00Z Sociologists and pollsters have tried to gauge opinion, but there is no freedom of speech or information in Russia so it is impossible to tell if people are being honest. Russians in Putin's chokehold turn a blind eye to war 2023-02-21T05:00:00Z I'm going to indulge for a moment in told-ya-so: I've long written about my view that Republican voters don't really believe the Big Lie, even as they claim they do to pollsters. Fox News texts reveal the truth: The Big Lie was a con 2023-02-21T05:00:00Z Whit Ayres, a veteran Republican pollster, said a rematch between Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump would be the best scenario for the president. Biden Drawing Up a 2024 Playbook That Looks a Lot Like 2020’s 2023-02-19T05:00:00Z Volkov, the pollster, said the dominating sentiment among Russians is that the war is “somewhere far away, it is not affecting us directly.” Russia’s year of war: Purge of critics, surge of nationalism 2023-02-18T05:00:00Z And while a pollster who testified on behalf of Lake claimed the polling place problems had disenfranchised enough voters to change the outcome in Lake’s favor, the court said his conclusion were baseless. Kari Lake loses appeal of loss in Arizona governor’s race 2023-02-16T05:00:00Z One pattern identified by pollsters is that most Russians say they would support peace talks to end the fighting. Russians in Putin's chokehold turn a blind eye to war 2023-02-21T05:00:00Z YouGov, the pollster, says that for most of her leadership, the majority of Scots said she performed well. Scotland’s Nicola Sturgeon, flag-bearer for independence, to resign 2023-02-15T05:00:00Z Surveys and focus groups have consistently identified that as a major concern of voters, and even a majority of Democrats tell pollsters they would prefer the party nominate someone else. Biden Drawing Up a 2024 Playbook That Looks a Lot Like 2020’s 2023-02-19T05:00:00Z A survey this month by pollsters CID Gallup found that 92% of the population supports the state of exception. El Salvador vows gang crackdown will go on as citizens cheer safer streets 2023-02-15T05:00:00Z The thin margin stirred discussion of the far-right Republican’s electoral vulnerability after pollsters and pundits thought she was a lock for reelection in the district, which covers the largely rural, conservative-leaning western half the state. After nearly upsetting Boebert in 2022, Frisch to run again 2023-02-14T05:00:00Z Geoff Garin, a longtime pollster for Democratic candidates and progressive groups, wasn’t all that surprised by the Post/ABC poll finding. Column: Why don't Joe Biden's polls reflect his impressive record? 2023-02-09T05:00:00Z More than 69% of people in a recent survey by pollster Delphos said a change in leadership is needed to improve the economy. Voter apathy is hurdle for Venezuelan opposition as it seeks to unseat Maduro 2023-02-09T05:00:00Z Political consultants and pollsters say the message comes through even more clearly when they present the possibility to focus groups. Opinion | American politics needs to freshen up its menu 2023-02-08T05:00:00Z Frank Luntz, a Republican pollster who has been close with McCarthy and was in the chamber Tuesday, said Biden clearly provoked Republicans by raising the specter of sunsetting Social Security and Medicare. Biden-GOP exchanges at State of the Union forecast 2024 battle 2023-02-08T05:00:00Z Rasmussen Reports found similar concerns among voters, lead pollster Mark Mitchell said. Chinese spy balloon blows Biden’s prime-time speech off course 2023-02-06T05:00:00Z While Democrats view him as right wing and extreme politically, voters have not tagged him that way so far, pollsters say. Forget Trump, Democrats are preparing ways to beat a DeSantis campaign 2023-02-05T05:00:00Z To resist these efforts, the nonprofit group has enlisted prominent Democratic politicians and pollsters to help enhance gas’s reputation among liberal voters. The gas industry is under fire. It’s hiring Democratic politicians to help. 2023-02-02T05:00:00Z Mr. Ayres, the Republican pollster, said that “there’s no question there’s an opening” to run against Mr. Trump. Eager to Challenge Trump, Republicans Aren’t So Eager to Be the First 2023-02-01T05:00:00Z “A great many people on the center-right instinctively resist government mandates to do anything. Resistance to vaccine mandates is rooted in that fundamental resistance,” said Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster. For GOP base, battles over coronavirus vaccines, closures are still fiery 2023-01-31T05:00:00Z Congress, seen as corrupt and self-serving, has an approval rating of just 7%, according to a January survey by local pollster IEP. Explainer: Why are there protests in Peru and what comes next? 2023-01-31T05:00:00Z Understand that pollsters have never quite been able to predict the voting patterns of evangelicals. Are evangelicals breaking up with Trump? Don't get your hopes up 2023-01-28T05:00:00Z According to emails obtained by the Energy and Policy Institute, Waller told the organizers of a conference for state utility commissioners that the pollsters would share the results with the White House. The gas industry is under fire. It’s hiring Democratic politicians to help. 2023-02-02T05:00:00Z And in the months since the election, pollsters and operatives have found that the state saw depressed turnout among Democrats. ‘There is no plan. There’s nothing’: Florida Democrats in despair over future 2023-01-22T05:00:00Z For both Mr. Gallego and Ms. Sinema, the greatest factor will be the Republican nominee, said Mike Noble, a longtime nonpartisan pollster based in Phoenix. Democrat in Arizona Will Seek Kyrsten Sinema’s Senate Seat 2023-01-23T05:00:00Z “It’s pretty clear,” said Drew Lieberman, a pollster at Strategies 360, a national research firm with experience polling in Los Angeles that conducted the survey for The Times. Voters turn sharply against Kevin de León, favor recall, poll finds 2023-01-22T05:00:00Z These simply are not the type of people who will answer the phone or be honest with some pollster. Are evangelicals breaking up with Trump? Don't get your hopes up 2023-01-28T05:00:00Z Jokowi's announcement in December of the end of pandemic restrictions was well received, the pollster said, as the restrictions had been seen as hurting the economy. Indonesian President Jokowi's approval rating at all-time high, poll shows 2023-01-22T05:00:00Z “They’re going to go for a national ban,” Celinda Lake, a longtime Democratic strategist and pollster, said in an interview around Election Day. After Roe, Republicans Wrestle With What It Means to Be ‘Pro-Life’ 2023-01-20T05:00:00Z But on the other hand, pollsters have also identified a sense of resignation among many people, who no longer identify with "old-school" social movements such as the unions specialise in. France strikes bid to halt Macron's rise in retirement age 2023-01-18T05:00:00Z While most were found in a storage room, some were found in desk drawers in Trump’s office, mixed with post-presidential communications with a religious leader, a book author and a pollster, among others. Analysis | Biden, Trump and classified documents: An explainer 2023-01-11T05:00:00Z Fewer than 1 in 5 were able to pick which of the statements Vanderbilt provided that most closely described the current abortion law’s requirements, according to Vanderbilt pollsters. Tennessee GOP split over adding exceptions to abortion ban 2023-01-14T05:00:00Z “Nurses, medical doctors and pharmacists remain the most ethically revered professions of those measured by Gallup,” the pollsters said. Very low share of Americans think members of Congress have high ethical standards: poll 2023-01-10T05:00:00Z Robert Blizzard, a veteran Republican pollster, noted that several Republican candidates who generally opposed abortion rights won major statewide races in places including Florida, Georgia and Iowa. After Roe, Republicans Wrestle With What It Means to Be ‘Pro-Life’ 2023-01-20T05:00:00Z The New York Times recently published a report about how and why pollsters and analysts again dropped the ball, mostly because of an increase of "GOP-inflected" polling amplified by aggregation and pushed by conservative media. Michael Moore was right about the midterms — now he offers hope for progressives in red zones 2023-01-08T05:00:00Z It is expected to face a tough national election in 2024, with analysts and pollsters suggesting it will struggle to get more than 50% of the national vote. South Africa’s ruling ANC party fetes 111th anniversary 2023-01-08T05:00:00Z But now you have to replace ‘Democrat’ with ‘Republican.’” said Glen Bolger, a Republican pollster at Public Opinion Strategies, who has spent decades measuring the divides in his party. McCarthy speaker battle shows a party still incoherent, ungovernable 2023-01-06T05:00:00Z And the pollster has a wide-ranging poll on these matters. ‘Save the republic’ as a New Year’s resolution 2023-01-04T05:00:00Z “Democrats and Republicans have very different views on several major types of energy,” reports Linley Sanders, a senior data journalist for YouGov.com, a major pollster. Talk radio veteran issues warning about medium’s online existential threats 2023-01-03T05:00:00Z Ms. Murray’s own polling showed her with a comfortable lead, and a nonprofit regional news site, using an established local pollster, had her up by 13. The ‘Red Wave’ Washout: How Skewed Polls Fed a False Election Narrative 2022-12-31T05:00:00Z “We do not do the messaging for the candidates, right? They pick consultants, and their own pollsters. So what does the R.N.C. do? We build the infrastructure. We do the voter registration.” Race for G.O.P. Chair Obscures the Party’s Bigger Problems 2022-12-28T05:00:00Z Thompson, who was appointed by former Republican Gov. Jan Brewer, pointed to a statistical analysis by a pollster who had testified on behalf of Lake. Lake on hook for $33K in witness fees in failed challenge 2022-12-27T05:00:00Z For restive young voters who may have once gravitated toward the younger crop of Democrats, Biden pollster John Anzalone said the president is offering proof of “getting things done for the new generation.” First Congress revealed Biden’s generational ambition 2022-12-27T05:00:00Z When pollsters match Mr. Biden against each of the Republicans, they find Mr. DeSantis and Mr. Trump share roughly similar numbers among minority voters, younger voters and those without college degrees. DeSantis coalition emerges for a run against Trump: Picks up more college-educated and women voters 2022-12-26T05:00:00Z Surveys showing strength for Republicans, often from the same partisan pollsters, set Democratic klaxons blaring in Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Colorado. The ‘Red Wave’ Washout: How Skewed Polls Fed a False Election Narrative 2022-12-31T05:00:00Z “You’ve got to tell them what you’re going to do,” said David Winston, a Republican pollster and senior adviser to House Republicans who had been critical of GOP candidates’ messaging strategy this year. GOP stumbles with independents contributed to midterm woes 2022-12-25T05:00:00Z Olsen relied heavily on the testimony of Rich Baris, a conservative author and pollster who goes by the name “The People’s Pundit” on Twitter. Judge rules against Kari Lake in bid to overturn Arizona election results 2022-12-24T05:00:00Z Arizonans who had heard of the so-called audit were almost evenly split between favorable and unfavorable views, the pollsters found, but independents had a negative view of it by a margin of 20 points. How the Worst Fears for Democracy Were Averted in 2022 2022-12-24T05:00:00Z “For the most part, people look to be going to a safe space for them, for their ideological identity,” Ipsos pollster and Senior Vice President Chris Jackson said at the time. Move over, Nevada: Florida claims top spot in 2022 as nation’s fastest-growing state 2022-12-23T05:00:00Z Indeed, some of the same Republican-leaning pollsters who erred in 2022 had built credibility with their contrarian, but accurate, polling triumphs in recent elections. The ‘Red Wave’ Washout: How Skewed Polls Fed a False Election Narrative 2022-12-31T05:00:00Z Lake's last witness was Richard Baris, a pollster who conducted exit polling in Arizona. “No data to support any of those claims”: Expert trial witness demolishes Kari Lake's case 2022-12-23T05:00:00Z Two-thirds of Germans told pollsters at the McKinsey consulting firm that they expected inflation to drive consumer goods prices higher, and nearly 60 percent said that increasing prices were currently their main worry. At German Christmas Markets, Smiles Shine Bright but Budgets Are Tight 2022-12-23T05:00:00Z “There is absolutely no evidence to support that conclusion,” Mayer said of the pollster’s argument for Lake, calling those “a series of assumptions and speculation.” Trial: Expert disputes Lake’s claim over her gov’s race loss 2022-12-22T05:00:00Z The pollster has boiled that down to four words: “Dissatisfaction with the government.” Headlines from El Paso as border crisis looms 2022-12-20T05:00:00Z Traditional nonpartisan pollsters, after years of trial and error and tweaking of their methodologies, produced polls that largely reflected reality. The ‘Red Wave’ Washout: How Skewed Polls Fed a False Election Narrative 2022-12-31T05:00:00Z Seen as corrupt and self-serving, the parliament has an approval rating of only 11%, according to pollster Datum. Peru's 'forgotten people' rage against political elite after Castillo arrest 2022-12-18T05:00:00Z “However, when things started to go bad from Afghanistan to back-to-school covid issues to the economy going into a tailspin, then his age and his approach and his demeanor become more sticky,” the pollster said. Not tired of winning —just tired: Americans dislike Biden despite his claims of big accomplishments 2022-12-15T05:00:00Z The last witness called by Lake was Richard Baris, a pollster who conducted exit polling in Arizona. Trial: Expert disputes Lake’s claim over her gov’s race loss 2022-12-22T05:00:00Z But fewer than 1 in 5 were able to pick which of the statements Vanderbilt provided that most closely described the current abortion law’s requirements, according to Vanderbilt pollsters. Tennesseans misunderstand abortion law, want exceptions 2022-12-14T05:00:00Z Both had gained notice in 2016 for seeing what mainstream pollsters did not: the true, and winning, strength of the Trump base. The ‘Red Wave’ Washout: How Skewed Polls Fed a False Election Narrative 2022-12-31T05:00:00Z Celinda Lake, a Democratic pollster and strategist, conducted focus groups throughout the midterm campaign seeking to gauge how voters were viewing the economy. Biden seeks political boost from slowing inflation 2022-12-13T05:00:00Z The heavily fragmented unicameral Congress is loathed - with an approval rating of just 11%, according to pollster Datum. Peru explodes into fiery protest as anger over political crises ignites 2022-12-13T05:00:00Z Arizona-based pollster Mike Noble, chief research and managing partner at OH Predictive Insights, told The Hill that "the fastest growing political party in the state is actually Independent voters." Momentum to "replace Sinema" already building after she ditches Dems 2022-12-12T05:00:00Z “She’s the first Arizona Senator in history to not fly the Democratic nor Republican Party banner,” said Mike Noble, an Arizona-based pollster. Kyrsten Sinema’s political curveball frustrates Biden, Democrats 2022-12-10T05:00:00Z He also relied heavily on a pollster named Richard Baris, whose polling firm was given an “F” rating and banned by FiveThirtyEight. The ‘Red Wave’ Washout: How Skewed Polls Fed a False Election Narrative 2022-12-31T05:00:00Z Wes Anderson, a Republican pollster, said he believed those two arguments could pose a “liability” for Democrats — though, he said, they were far from priorities for voters this year. Transgender Americans Feel Under Siege as Political Vitriol Rises 2022-12-10T05:00:00Z “The percentage of the population who are religious ‘nones’ has remained roughly the same now for six years,” Frank Newport, a senior pollster at Gallup, said in a blog post on Friday. And then there were ‘nones’: Americans identifying as non-religious plateaus in yearly Gallup survey 2022-12-09T05:00:00Z A survey by pollsters YouGov for the BBC, published in March, suggested two-thirds of women did not feel safe walking alone at night, at least some of the time. Street harassment: Wolf whistling to be banned in crackdown 2022-12-09T05:00:00Z These sorts of questions serve as proxies for the mainstreaming of white supremacist views, even as the vast majority of Americans do not actively identify with "white nationalism" when asked by pollsters. Jan. 6 as white supremacy: New research on the toxic spread of "great replacement" theory 2022-12-08T05:00:00Z In an interview, Mr. Bannon said that “all the outside pollsters were clearly off,” adding, “Clearly, you can’t depend on polling being a referendum anymore.” The ‘Red Wave’ Washout: How Skewed Polls Fed a False Election Narrative 2022-12-31T05:00:00Z Jim Hobart, a Republican pollster, said transgender sports participation simply wasn’t a priority for voters. Transgender Americans Feel Under Siege as Political Vitriol Rises 2022-12-10T05:00:00Z “Valid and legal same-sex marriage is especially popular among critical voting blocs, like suburban voters, as well as young and middle-aged voters,” said Alicia Downs, a Republican pollster who conducted state-by-state polling for Centerline. Prominent Gay Republicans Helped Smooth the Way for Marriage Bill 2022-12-08T05:00:00Z “The suburbs where you have upwardly mobile, college-educated White voters, those are where the opportunities are. Not the sacred cow of White working-class voters,” said Cornell Belcher, a Democratic pollster. Opinion | Values-based politics are winning politics for Democrats 2022-12-07T05:00:00Z This suggests that in this year's midterm elections many American voters in fact displayed greater sophistication than pollsters and other professional politics watchers assumed. A new day? Voters stood up for democracy — and now we have the data 2022-12-07T05:00:00Z Reputable pollsters like Gallup and Pew have phased out “horse-race” polling entirely; others have cut back. The ‘Red Wave’ Washout: How Skewed Polls Fed a False Election Narrative 2022-12-31T05:00:00Z Straightaway, there were early indicators that Americans would end up putting a higher value on democracy than they had told pollsters they would. High early turnout in Georgia Senate runoff: More evidence that saving democracy motivates voters 2022-12-06T05:00:00Z In case you wondered, this nonprofit group consists of political and media consultants, pollsters, campaign managers, corporate public affairs officers, academic professors, fund-raisers, lobbyists, congressional staffers and vendors. The press reacts to Herschel Walker and the Georgia election 2022-12-05T05:00:00Z While economic concerns were most prominent, social issues and values were a factor, pollsters said. Americans vote with their feet to find ideological safe spaces 2022-12-05T05:00:00Z “Candidate quality really did seem to matter a lot to these voters,” said Bryan Bennett, a lead pollster for Democratic-aligned Navigator Research. Final push for votes in Ga. runoff tests parties’ sway in battleground 2022-12-04T05:00:00Z To Mr. Rosenberg and Mr. Bonier, teenagers weren’t responsible for the false red-wave narrative — it was partisan pollsters, who flooded the market with outlier results and were abetted by the keepers of the polling averages. The ‘Red Wave’ Washout: How Skewed Polls Fed a False Election Narrative 2022-12-31T05:00:00Z “The early voting demographics suggest that the Democrats have done an exceptional job in getting their voters out early,” Matt Towery, a Georgia pollster, told the Washington Times. Don’t count Herschel Walker out: Dem’s big spending fails to move the needle in Georgia runoff 2022-12-03T05:00:00Z “No other public institution has seen as sharp a decline” in public confidence in recent years, the pollsters noted. Poll: U.S. military image plunging, as many cite ‘woke’ policies, extremism in the ranks 2022-12-01T05:00:00Z “For the most part, people look to be going to a safe space for them, for their ideological identity,” Ipsos pollster and senior vice president Chris Jackson said at the time. Americans vote with their feet to find ideological safe spaces 2022-12-05T05:00:00Z And Democrats held the Senate, even though some pollsters said they might lose as many as seven seats. Democrats’ hatred for Harris keeps Biden alive in 2024 2022-11-30T05:00:00Z My conclusion is that when the average American answers a pollster’s questions, he is relaxed. Biden’s Democratic Party of the ‘strange’ 2022-11-29T05:00:00Z Some people won’t even share a meal with those who support a political party other than their own — and a major pollster is tracking this trend. Socialists on the rise, winning 90% of their races 2022-11-29T05:00:00Z Stanley B. Greenberg, the veteran Democratic pollster, pointed to a postelection survey that highlighted Democratic vulnerabilities. Biden Helped Democrats Avert a ’22 Disaster. What About ’24? 2022-11-28T05:00:00Z “People in both major parties at least agree on the value of getting together,” wrote Michael Lipka, editorial manager of religious research for the pollster. Donald Trump tells supporters how he sees 2024 2022-11-27T05:00:00Z That’s good news for pollsters, who seem to have gotten it about right. GOP won 3 million more votes this year, but not where it counted 2022-11-24T05:00:00Z “This poses additional challenges to Republicans who instead should have been pushing for all 160 counties to offer Saturday voting,” Georgia pollster Matt Towery, said. Democrats score advantage with special voting rules in Georgia Senate runoff 2022-11-22T05:00:00Z “Concern about exposure to COVID-19 at work continues to be more pronounced among women, Democrats, education workers and healthcare workers, than it is among their counterparts,” the pollster said. Gallup poll: 1 in 4 workers still fears catching COVID at work 2022-11-22T05:00:00Z Levada Center independent pollster reported on Nov. 1 that 57 percent of Russians want peace talks while 36 percent want to keep fighting. Angry families say Russian conscripts thrown to front line unprepared 2022-11-20T05:00:00Z A survey by pollsters Opinium found that altogether nearly half of working fans will be allowed to watch the game during office hours. Will you be allowed to watch the World Cup at work? 2022-11-20T05:00:00Z In need of a shot of momentum, Bass’ campaign team had their pollster, David Binder, write a memo about the state of the race. How Karen Bass prevailed against Rick Caruso's $100-million campaign 2022-11-18T05:00:00Z Democrats are slapping themselves on the back because they didn't lose as badly as the pundits, pollsters and press thought they would. We won't get fooled again — I think. Trump's back, but let's hope it's a brief visit 2022-11-17T05:00:00Z Pundits and pollsters got the midterm outcome wrong. Opinion | The political machinations that motivated voters 2022-11-16T05:00:00Z "Young voters feel that it's an important election that they should not miss, particularly young people who are voting for the first time," said Ibrahim Suffian, the director of independent pollster Merdeka Centre. Young Malaysians urged to 'get mad' and vote to end political merry-go-round 2022-11-17T05:00:00Z Some 9% of workers told pollsters YouGov that they intend to watch the game when they should be working, without their employer's knowledge - which could leave them at risk of disciplinary action. Will you be allowed to watch the World Cup at work? 2022-11-20T05:00:00Z Major roles that have not been announced as filled include political director, communications director, lead pollster and data chief. Trump’s Candidacy Is in Motion, but His Campaign Is a Work in Progress 2022-11-16T05:00:00Z After all, a majority of Republicans tell pollsters they are more loyal to the party than the former president. Independents may not like Biden, but they abhor Trump 2022-11-16T05:00:00Z Defying pollsters and political strategists, voters backed candidates who promised to preserve the guardrails of democracy. A decisive vote for democracy in Arizona 2022-11-15T05:00:00Z “He’s obviously weaker today than he was a week ago,” said Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster. Trump, at a weak point, pitches a comeback 2022-11-15T05:00:00Z That argument was looking weaker when as many as four in 10 Americans were telling pollsters that they didn't believe he was legitimately elected president. Kari Lake defeat: Did democracy win in US midterms? 2022-11-15T05:00:00Z Another veteran adviser, the pollster Tony Fabrizio, will work for the super PAC supporting Mr. Trump rather than directly advising him or his campaign. Trump’s Candidacy Is in Motion, but His Campaign Is a Work in Progress 2022-11-16T05:00:00Z I also acknowledge that this surprise raises a very good question: How did pollsters, pundits and even most Democrats get the forecast so wrong? The question that matters most after the midterms 2022-11-15T05:00:00Z The working theory among pollsters is that the more conservative voters went to the polls, while younger and more liberal voters cast the majority of the remaining uncounted votes. Column: Karen Bass appears headed to victory. L.A. needs fixing, let's hope she can deliver 2022-11-15T05:00:00Z Other pollsters who have worked for Trump, including the McLaughlin Group, may continue to play a role, a person familiar with the situation said. Trump campaign operation takes shape ahead of expected 2024 announcement 2022-11-14T05:00:00Z Other documents found were dated after he left the White House, including three communications from a book author, a religious leader and a pollster. Ex-Mueller prosecutor: DOJ case against Trump “gets stronger and stronger” after latest filing 2022-11-14T05:00:00Z Several of the party’s pollsters have estimated it could be between one-third and 40 percent of their voters. Republicans Pushing to Move Past Trump Face One Big Obstacle: His Voters 2022-11-14T05:00:00Z The messages came from a book author, a religious leader and a pollster, the letter said. Justice Department and Trump Lawyers Clash Over Status of Seized Documents 2022-11-14T05:00:00Z At the beginning of November, Boric's approval fell to 25% and disapproval rose to 69%, according to the pollster, weighed down by a September plebiscite rejecting a proposal for a new constitution. Pension reform boosts Chilean president's approval rating 2022-11-14T05:00:00Z Other Minneapolis stars remembered fondly by the pollsters include Slater Martin, who was ranked 17th, and Clyde Lovellette and Jim Pollard, who finished tied for 22nd. If you're talking greatest Lakers players, No. 1 is pure Magic 2022-11-14T05:00:00Z And word clouds created by outside pollsters were showing terms like “age” and “Is he with it?” in large letters, an indication that such worries were among the most commonly voiced by Americans. Biden, turning 80, faces renewed age questions as he weighs reelection 2022-11-11T05:00:00Z Whit Ayres, a Republican pollster, says the party’s electorate can be divided into three key buckets. Republican rivals start planning a post-Trump future 2022-11-13T05:00:00Z “He just defied midterm political history, ” said Cornell Belcher, who was Mr. Obama’s pollster. An Emboldened Biden Now Faces a Tough Choice About His Own Future 2022-11-13T05:00:00Z Not long after, Kellyanne Conway, my pollster and a friend of the Republican nominee, told me that Trump had said, “How come everyone can’t criticize me the way Governor Pence does?” Pence book excerpt: Trump gave voice to Americans fed up with decades of government mismanagement 2022-11-13T05:00:00Z A Lake victory would be a boon to the “America First,” pro-Trump movement, which suffered significant losses on Tuesday when the “red wave” forecast by pundits and pollsters failed to materialize. In Arizona, election officials fight off torrent of conspiracy theories as vote count continues 2022-11-13T05:00:00Z In House races, 20 percent of Black voters and 15 percent of Latino voters told CNN pollsters that crime was the most important issue. Opinion | How Democrats can win back trust on the issue of crime 2022-11-10T05:00:00Z Mr. Trump may alienate Republicans with his attacks while damaging his own political future by announcing his presidential bid ahead of the Georgia election, Peach State pollster Matt Towery said. Trump meltdown sparks GOP worry that he will drag down the party, sabotage Senate runoff in Georgia 2022-11-11T05:00:00Z It turns out that the crimson tide was mostly an illusion created by pundits on Fox TV and conservative pollsters who were skewing the numbers their way. The Evergreen State remains blue 2022-11-11T05:00:00Z "I think there's going to be a huge appetite from the more normal wing of the Republican Party for Ron DeSantis to run," said Sarah Longwell, a Republican pollster and frequent Trump critic. Analysis: Ron DeSantis' big election night shakes 2024 White House field 2022-11-10T05:00:00Z Initially describing Tuesday evening as "a good night for pollsters," Barker quickly revised his language. Polling experts on the red trickle: "The death of polling has been greatly exaggerated" 2022-11-10T05:00:00Z “Debating weeks is not where we want to be,” said Celinda Lake, the longtime Democratic pollster who conducted some of the surveys. How Democrats Used the Abortion Debate to Hold Off a Red Wave 2022-11-10T05:00:00Z But in a call with conservative activists Wednesday, pollster Scott Rasmussen seemed to acknowledge that Republicans had pushed election denialism too far for their own political good. Key election deniers concede defeat after disputing Trump’s 2020 loss 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z “When you feel like things are unsteady and close to unraveling, you look for candidates who will provide a safe harbor,” said Republican pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson. GOP exuberance crashed into Democratic resistance to defy midterm expectations 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z “All the rules are thrown out,” said John Anzalone, a Democratic pollster who started the election cycle believing it would be the worst political cycle he’d ever seen for Democrats. Democrats celebrate surprise wins, but balance of power still in limbo 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z There are so many variables involved that even competent pollsters face a not-insignificant chance of being totally wrong after the ballots are counted. Polling experts on the red trickle: "The death of polling has been greatly exaggerated" 2022-11-10T05:00:00Z Whit Ayres, a longtime Republican pollster, said “there was a very substantial amount of ticket-splitting” including in Pennsylvania, Georgia and Ohio. Unwilling to Hold Their Nose and Vote, Ticket-Splitters Make Their Mark 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z Texans told pollsters they viewed him more unfavorably than favorably. Texas Democrats Look to a Future Beyond Beto 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z “It turns out that trying to overturn an election is not wildly popular with the American people,” said Whit Ayres, a veteran Republican pollster. Candidates who backed overturning Trump loss are rebuffed 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z Here are 12 races that strategists and pollsters from both parties are watching closely: Factbox: Democrats win several tight House districts; Republicans notch wins in Iowa, Arizona 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z Yet even if there had once again been noteworthy discrepancies between the polls and the results, that would not necessarily discredit the pollsters. Polling experts on the red trickle: "The death of polling has been greatly exaggerated" 2022-11-10T05:00:00Z But the majorities were still not determined by Wednesday afternoon and even a House victory for the GOP will be below the margins some pollsters expected. MSNBC's election coverage finishes ahead of CNN for the first time 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z That surprised Democratic Party strategists and pollsters, who had expected inflation would trump everything, including concerns about the loss of abortion rights. Analysis: Abortion, Trump dash Republican hopes for 'red wave' 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z Among voters interviewed by pollsters for CNN, 44 percent expressed approval of Mr. Biden compared with 39 percent who had a favorable view of Mr. Trump. For Biden, Beating the Odds but Facing a New Challenge 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z “It’s just a reality. There’s a universe of Latinos and African Americans who are voting Republican at a higher level for lots of reasons,” said Democratic pollster John Anzalone, whose clients include Biden. Analysis: A stunning draw as Democrats hold their own 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z “Nothing really worked this cycle,” said Ms. Greenberg, the Democratic pollster. Five Takeaways From a Red Wave That Didn’t Reach the Shore 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z Tributes have been paid by his admirers, including pollster Anthony Wells, who said being able to talk to Sir David was like "a physicist getting to meet Newton". Sir David Butler, pioneering election analyst, dies aged 98 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z Surveys by major nonpartisan pollsters afterward showed no statistical differences from pre-debate polls. Fetterman Wins Pennsylvania Senate Race as Democrats Notch Key Win 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z The pain of inflation ran deep, with roughly three-quarters of voters telling exit pollsters rising prices have affected them — particularly at the grocery store. Voters say view from White House is largely divorced from what’s happening in their lives 2022-11-08T05:00:00Z West's pollster had the congressman ahead by a comfortable five points, but the race ended with a recount favoring Democrat and first-time candidate Patrick Murphy, then 29. "These people are no longer fringe": Midterms likely to confirm MAGA’s staying power 2022-11-08T05:00:00Z Again and again, voters told pollsters that soaring prices for gasoline, groceries and housing were their No. 1 concern by far. Five Takeaways From a Red Wave That Didn’t Reach the Shore 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z David Butler identified Gravesend in Kent as the most representative constituency in Britain - and a team of pollsters was dispatched. Sir David Butler, pioneering election analyst, dies aged 98 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z If Democrats manage to turn out on Election Day as much as they did in 2020, things could look very different than Republican pollsters have indicated over the past few weeks. Democratic early voting trounces GOP in three states — analysts see something "different" 2022-11-08T05:00:00Z Voters also skewed slightly less Democratic, with just 33% reporting to the network exit pollsters that they identified as Democrats. Voters say view from White House is largely divorced from what’s happening in their lives 2022-11-08T05:00:00Z He is a Democratic pollster who is the real deal, and he's not trying to show for one side or the other. Former GOP chair Michael Steele: Democrats are "inept," media are "hypocrites and liars" 2022-11-08T05:00:00Z “I do think Dobbs transformed this election,” said Anna Greenberg, a Democratic pollster. Five Takeaways From a Red Wave That Didn’t Reach the Shore 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z “They intuitively understand it was his spending, his tax increases, his regulations, his attacks on the energy industry — that’s what’s causing this economy to collapse,” the pollster said. Big issues favor GOP as voters head to polls 2022-11-07T05:00:00Z All of this has been aided and betted by Republican pollsters flooding the zone this cycle and right-leaning aggregators like Real Clear Politics which have helped to set sky-high Republican expectations. From Karl Rove to the Big Lie: GOP loves to claim victory when they feel insecure 2022-11-07T05:00:00Z The pollsters who did poorly either adjust or drop out. Who Will Win the Battle for Congress? Four Scenarios. 2022-11-07T05:00:00Z “Union members are really important in this year’s midterms,” said Democratic pollster Celinda Lake, who advised Biden in 2020 and warned more than a year ago that inflation was hurting him politically. Democrats need union voters if they hope to keep control of Congress 2022-11-06T04:00:00Z A survey by independent pollster Merdeka Center showed that Anwar lags behind his two rivals in popularity by 8 to 12 percentage points despite a recent uptick. Once again, Malaysia's Anwar bids to become prime minister 2022-11-07T05:00:00Z The veteran pollster asked voters what they feared most about a Congress controlled by Democrats, versus one led by Republicans, then stacked them up against each other. Big issues favor GOP as voters head to polls 2022-11-07T05:00:00Z At this point in the race, with few undecided voters left, “it comes down to the intangibles, the character attributes of the candidates themselves,” said Robert Blizzard, a Republican pollster. For Fetterman, Campaign Trail Doubles as Road to Recovery 2022-11-06T04:00:00Z The pollsters who did well one year feel emboldened the next. Who Will Win the Battle for Congress? Four Scenarios. 2022-11-07T05:00:00Z Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt, who also worked on the poll, said it shows an increasing competitiveness that could help Democrats in some races. Democrats close voter enthusiasm gap in NBC pre-midterms poll 2022-11-06T04:00:00Z “If Democrats can’t win in Nevada,” one Democratic pollster told Politico, “we can complain about the white working class all you want, but we’re really confronting a much broader working-class problem.” Democrats’ working-class problem 2022-11-06T04:00:00Z And after several cycles of polling underestimating Trump voters, it’s unclear whether pollsters have correctly captured the electorate. Two Days Before the Midterms, G.O.P. Confidence Clashes With Democratic Anxiety 2022-11-06T04:00:00Z Democratic pollster Cornell Belcher said his research shows a small segment of Black men have supported Republicans for decades, and at a consistently higher rate than Black women. In Final Push for Votes, Both Parties Court Black Men 2022-11-06T04:00:00Z The traditional pollsters who underestimated Republicans the most in 2020 have significantly reduced their polling this cycle or stopped altogether. Who Will Win the Battle for Congress? Four Scenarios. 2022-11-07T05:00:00Z These “surge Democrats,” as pollster Celinda Lake calls them, would be necessary for her party to exceed expectations. Midterms test political law of gravity against volatility of the moment 2022-11-06T04:00:00Z Democratic pollster Stanley B. Greenberg, writing in the American Prospect a few days ago, said Republican ads focusing on crime, with Fox News amplifying that message, helped to stall the Democrats’ late summer momentum. Analysis | With the GOP on track to claim the House, how will Democrats respond? 2022-11-05T04:00:00Z "It's absolutely true that these women have shifted their gaze more on the economy than abortion," Democratic pollster Molly Murphy said in a quote to WSJ regarding the stats. Sarah Palin says "White suburban women want change" 2022-11-05T04:00:00Z And economic concerns are driving some Black men to consider the Republican Party, according to interviews with two dozen Black male voters, strategists and pollsters in the weeks leading up to the election. In Final Push for Votes, Both Parties Court Black Men 2022-11-06T04:00:00Z |
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