| 单词 | overconfidence |
| 例句 | But that night she was like the little tottering, stumbling, clutching child, who of a sudden realizes its powers, and walks for the first time alone, boldly and with overconfidence. The Awakening 1899-01-01T00:00:00Z But we must beware of overconfidence—we have had false dawns before! A Brief History of Time: And Other Essays 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z I’m not the kind of person who’s prone to premonitions or overconfidence, so I suspected that there was more to my flash than magical thinking. If I Stay 2009-01-01T00:00:00Z “Because if taken in excess, it causes giddiness, recklessness, and dangerous overconfidence,” said Slughorn. Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince 2005-07-16T00:00:00Z It was an error of a commander’s overconfidence, small in history, large in the lives of those men. The Poisonwood Bible 1998-01-01T00:00:00Z Grandand Rice, the preeminent sports- writer in the country, accused him of gross overconfidence. Seabiscuit: An American Legend 2001-01-01T00:00:00Z I believe the United States in general is suffering from a devastating, society-wide epidemic of overconfidence. Beyond “new atheism”: Where do people alienated by the movement’s obnoxious tendencies go from here? 2017-08-07T04:00:00Z "The quest for that balance… between the poles of overconfidence and introspection, is unending," he writes. Henry Kissinger's 'World Order' is a timely warning 2014-09-05T04:00:00Z While many men are style-savvy enough to play designer, overconfidence can be a problem. 2010-02-04T03:20:00Z To better understand the book’s approach, I recently sat down with Flannery and Werline to discuss the Bible, politics and the problem of overconfidence among certain believers. Faith in ignorance: Politicians who quote the Bible often don’t know anything about the Bible 2016-10-08T04:00:00Z "It reflects a national overconfidence that has been a consistent ingredient in financial bubbles," he wrote. Art market buzzes ahead of Basel, London sales 2011-06-14T13:22:25Z But his routine pokes fun at a popular alternative to the nepo baby route — the overconfidence of the mediocre white man. Review: At the Big Apple Circus, It’s a Family Affair 2022-11-25T05:00:00Z An overconfidence fueled by a faith in capitalism everlasting eventually undoes the dynasty. Review | ‘The Lehman Trilogy’ is so good, it expands your sense of what three actors on a stage can conjure 2019-03-28T04:00:00Z Much of what Lahr has to say is illuminating, though the cogency of his interpretations is marred by overconfidence. The shame and glory of Tennessee Williams in John Lahr's new book 2014-09-18T04:00:00Z At times like these, Drake sometimes seems to be trying too hard to compensate for his lack of gangsta credentials with bravura displays of priapic overconfidence. Streets takeover: Charting Drake's progress 2011-02-07T12:37:43Z There was always something familiar about J. R., the way he couched his overconfidence and malice in the relaxed, folksy wisdom of the country boy. Riff: When ‘Dallas’ Was the Capital of America 2012-06-02T04:00:06Z Polite and reserved, he preys on others’ overconfidence. ‘A Gambler’s Anatomy’: Meet the James Bond of backgammon 2016-10-10T04:00:00Z Nearly every syllable feels showy, pungent with urgency and overconfidence. No Grammys for old men! And don’t let these millennials win, either. 2017-02-09T05:00:00Z A particularly egregious form of overconfidence is the Dunning-Kruger effect, which describes how individuals of lower mental abilities are even more prone to overconfidence. Beyond “new atheism”: Where do people alienated by the movement’s obnoxious tendencies go from here? 2017-08-07T04:00:00Z It was a vivid testimony to the potent blend of insecurity and overconfidence that defines our teenage years. TV review: The Girl Who Became Three Boys; Lost Children 2012-08-07T22:05:01Z But when the phrase is used, it’s often as a shorthand for extreme assertion and overconfidence. Perspective | I walked ‘like a man’ for a week, and here’s what I realized. 2019-11-25T05:00:00Z And if I kept pursuing my ambitions as a broadcast journalist, what would be the unwitting cost of my own youthful overconfidence? Prince’s genius changed my life: How I quit my network job — and found religion — to his funky beat 2016-06-07T04:00:00Z Similarly, what’s disheartening about familiar methods employed in familiar ways is the sense of routine, the overconfidence that arises from directors doing what they seem, presumptuously, to know how to do. The Moralizing Pseudo-Realism of Cristian Mungiu’s “Graduation” 2017-04-10T04:00:00Z It felt as if the cellmate was there only to give Mr. Sorkin a chance to acknowledge Will’s flaws: his presumptuous overconfidence, his unconscious elitism. 'The Newsroom' Recap: Technology's Latest Victim 2014-12-07T05:00:00Z He is cunning, though not always smart, and like many adolescents he vacillates between wild overconfidence and childlike naïveté. Review: In ‘A Ciambra,’ a Young Roma Boy Comes of Age 2018-01-18T05:00:00Z Carter found President Obama would “sometimes exhibit a bit of the overconfidence, even arrogance, that can come from being both very smart and comparatively young.” Battlefields: Recent Books in Military History 2019-11-05T05:00:00Z “Kahneman says overconfidence is the most destructive of human biases. We think we’re right, that other people are the ones who are wrong. We see the world through rose-tinted glasses.” Donald Trump, Harvey Weinstein and all: have we reached ‘peak asshole’? 2017-12-27T05:00:00Z “This is where overconfidence started,” Vsevolod Kukushkin, a journalist, recalls in the film, which also draws on the reminiscences of a number of the Soviet players. ‘30 for 30’ Re-examines the Miracle on Ice 2015-02-06T05:00:00Z Or maybe all those things have to come attached to Tom Cruise's demented, cult-leader overconfidence and sense of purpose. Tom Cruise's crazy, clever comeback attempt 2010-06-23T13:01:00Z Marshall excelled at Ball’s type of physical comedy, ensuring Laverne would endure eight seasons of ludicrous bouts of overconfidence leading to humorous humiliation. Perspective | As Laverne DeFazio, Penny Marshall helped push a Lucy-like hilarity down comedy’s conveyor belt 2018-12-18T05:00:00Z Tony used to try to throw me off the plane and send me back to Downing Street, saying I was a curious mixture of self-doubt and overconfidence, and he and Alastair would tease me mercilessly. 'Tony Blair called back to see if I had blown myself up' 2010-10-09T23:06:00Z As it happens, that last one is the only case in which overconfidence becomes a problem. 'Fargo' Season 2 Premiere Recap: 'Waiting for Dutch' 2015-10-12T04:00:00Z It trains us in self-doubt and self-limitation just as it exercises men’s unsupported overconfidence. The problem with “mansplaining” 2012-08-20T16:38:00Z True, Lucille Ball’s beloved 1950s klutz might not recognize much about Nora’s world in 2020, but she would notice the same sort of eternal optimism and overconfidence that gets Nora into episodic jams. Review | Awkwafina’s TV show doesn’t bring the big laughs, but it does know how to chill 2020-01-21T05:00:00Z Somewhere in between the unearned overconfidence of the young men, and the unwarranted self-censorship of the young women, the truth lies. Samantha Bee Prepares to Break Up Late-Night TV’s Boys Club 2016-01-06T05:00:00Z Rather than playing the game outwardly, Brenda wanted everyone to mirror her calm overconfidence and follow her lead. "Survivor's" stunning comeback 2010-11-21T00:01:00Z The second part of the series on risky financial activity shows how overconfidence and hubris created two recent crises at brokerage firm MF Global and JP Morgan – one of the better-managed banks, apparently. TV highlights 15/05/2013 2013-05-15T06:00:15Z It's suggested that the macho culture led to overconfidence in the early stages of the pandemic - which senior civil servant Helen MacNamara describes as a "de facto" assumption that "we were going to be great". What we learned from a shocking week of Covid testimony 2023-11-03T04:00:00Z It could easily be chalked up to overconfidence in the quality of the Mexican teams, although a misunderstanding of the travel conditions could easily be to blame. What can MLS and Liga MX learn from the Leagues Cup? 2023-08-21T04:00:00Z Her youthful overconfidence felt unfamiliar and a tad naïve. Opinion: Why did seeing a strong Black woman on 'The Bear' make me cry? 2023-07-07T04:00:00Z Still, that Trump is struggling to keep up his overconfidence act is a heartening sign. For the GOP frontrunner, Trump seems awfully low energy lately 2023-06-29T04:00:00Z That's a standard term for an important type of overconfidence, overconfidence in beliefs, overconfidence in how much we know. Undoing Undue Hate 2023-05-07T04:00:00Z “There’s something wonderful and funny about playing overconfidence and stupidity at the same time,” Theroux said, though he qualified his statement to concede their intellect. ‘White House Plumbers’ exploits absurdities of Watergate 2023-05-01T04:00:00Z “When you have overconfidence and low knowledge, that’s the worst situation. You’re more likely to get into high-risk behaviors such as overextending credit and overly risky investing,” says Delgadillo, who researches financial confidence. Kimberly Palmer: How to bolster your financial confidence 2023-04-24T04:00:00Z Last year, a study from the University of Waikato in New Zealand used a similar scenario to examine overconfidence. Think you can land a plane in an emergency? Pilots explain why you can’t. 2023-03-22T04:00:00Z "I think that he has an overconfidence in his ability to impact events by intimidation tactics, by pushing out headlines," she concluded. "Wonderful news!": Maggie Haberman reveals former Trump employees texted her to celebrate indictment 2023-03-31T04:00:00Z Lack of intellectual humility will lead to intellectual overconfidence and cause us to overestimate what we know, and also refuse to admit it when we're wrong or we should change your mind about something. Undoing Undue Hate 2023-05-07T04:00:00Z There's no scenario in which he would be president of the United States in 2016, without having a ludicrous amount of overconfidence in his own abilities and his ability to get to that job. MSNBC's Mehdi Hasan: You need "rhetorical judo" to challenge the far right 2023-02-28T05:00:00Z Those alarms are voiced by “Star Wars” actor Mark Hamill, and his Luke Skywalker voice urged people to take cover, warning: “Don’t be careless. Your overconfidence is your weakness.” Sneaking a president from DC to Kyiv without anyone noticing 2023-02-20T05:00:00Z If you believe that you would never fall for any of these tricks, your overconfidence plays right into the bad guys’ hands. Let’s bust these four myths of digital privacy and security 2023-02-17T05:00:00Z Russia’s initial campaign in Ukraine was marked by overconfidence in its own military ability and a crucial misjudgment of its opponent. Vaunted Russian military overhaul fares poorly amid setbacks 2023-02-15T05:00:00Z “I was very confident we were going to win,” linebacker Johnny Hodges said, “just based on their overconfidence.” With a kiss from a (Horned) Frog, the CFP gets its first stunner 2022-12-31T05:00:00Z Sebastián Fabre, 48, woke up with an uneasy feeling Tuesday, worried about what he said was overconfidence on the side of Argentina fans. Argentines shocked, saddened by loss in World Cup debut 2022-11-22T05:00:00Z And some are cautioning against overconfidence in Ukraine with Russia still fielding a powerful force inside the country occupying strong defensive positions in parts of the south and east. Road to recovery long for newly liberated Kherson as CIA chief warns Russia of price to using nukes 2022-11-14T05:00:00Z Even that night, Gingrich's senior political director, Joe Gaylord, expresses confidence — which ultimately will be exposed as overconfidence — that "we would gain seats, it was only a matter of how many we gain." Ignore the polls, and remember to breathe: Nothing about the midterms is carved in stone 2022-11-04T04:00:00Z Traumann noted that the tone marked a departure from the party’s previous overconfidence. On Sunday, Brazil’s bitter presidential race comes to an end 2022-10-26T04:00:00Z For some, the greatest danger now facing Ukraine is overconfidence, outrunning supply lines and support in the counteroffensive in the east. Overrated: Bridge attack shows how Putin and his critics badly misjudged Russia’s strength 2022-10-10T04:00:00Z Our older son, who is almost 9, has narcissistic tendencies, gaslights his brother, rigs games in his favor and shows extreme overconfidence. Advice | A painful past clouds how this parent sees their young child’s behavior 2022-09-21T04:00:00Z His Kremlin-approved TV talking heads, brimming with Putin’s overconfidence, assured Russians this would be a cakewalk to victory. Xi to Putin on Ukraine: Crickets 2022-09-16T04:00:00Z “Of course it gives us a lot of confidence, probably even overconfidence,” receiver Gabe Davis said. Bills kick off NFL season playing up to high expectations 2022-09-09T04:00:00Z An even more pernicious form of epistemic overconfidence is revealed in the psychological phenomenon known as the Dunning-Kruger effect. Introduction to Philosophy 2022-06-15T00:00:00Z And in the context of the U.S.-China rivalry, this tendency toward overconfidence could also prove to be a weakness for Beijing, blinding it to its own challenges. Why China’s Confidence Could Turn Out to Be a Weakness 2022-08-09T04:00:00Z “On the other hand, his impetuosity makes him a lawyer’s nightmare and his overconfidence may lead him astray. Whoever questions him will encourage that,” the professor added. Trump testimony expected soon in NY civil investigation 2022-08-04T04:00:00Z Yet instead of deploying all these tools with urgency in early June, we succumbed to overconfidence. Opinion | The Biden administration’s monkeypox response has been a mess 2022-07-21T04:00:00Z The simplicity of the plot gives away the disastrous overconfidence in stretching the story out to 12 half-hour chapters. Review | ‘Conversations With Friends’: So snoozy you’re better off taking a nap 2022-05-14T04:00:00Z His error may be overconfidence about maintaining a Twitterverse that consistently practices the free speech absolutism he preaches but still makes money — whether through selling ads, selling subscriptions or some other means. Opinion | Truth and politics don’t necessarily go together. Good luck fixing that. 2022-04-27T04:00:00Z The chart — basically codified gut — is seen as a symptom of a general illness plaguing front offices: overconfidence. The enduring value of the NFL draft’s most famous and misunderstood chart 2022-04-25T04:00:00Z India’s work on vaccination has won praise from experts globally, but its public health response to COVID-19 has been criticized for overconfidence. India is stalling WHO’s efforts to make global COVID death toll public 2022-04-16T04:00:00Z Compounding these dangers is the overconfidence of India’s officials, who displayed no recognition of the gravity of the Brahmos accident. India’s Inadvertent Missile Launch Underscores the Risk of Accidental Nuclear Warfare 2022-04-08T04:00:00Z In the joyous aftermath, devout converts still worried about overconfidence, and tested their own perceptions by constantly grilling their consciences and struggling to live righteous lives. Building the American Republic, Volume 2 2018-01-18T00:00:00Z Russia’s far stronger, bigger military has many Western military experts warning against overconfidence in Ukraine’s long-term odds. Ukraine says Russia seized relief workers in Mariupol convoy 2022-03-22T04:00:00Z Albanese cautioned against overconfidence based on polls, noting Labor had only won an election from opposition three times since World War Two. Australian government under pressure to cut fuel excise as election nears 2022-03-14T04:00:00Z Jumpers also had problems with overconfidence: on a quiz about U.S. civics, they overestimated the chance that their answers were right significantly more than other participants did—even when their answers were wrong. People Who Jump to Conclusions Show Other Kinds of Thinking Errors 2022-02-23T05:00:00Z It's a fine line between belief and overconfidence for the youngest team in the tournament. US, Canada in different spots in men's hockey at Olympics 2022-02-12T05:00:00Z It’s a fine line between belief and overconfidence for the youngest team in the tournament. US, Canada in different spots in men’s hockey at Olympics 2022-02-12T05:00:00Z Also, raptors can’t read Some might say that this is sheer overconfidence. No one should fear Jurassic World Dominion’s dinosaurs or its raptor infested future 2022-02-11T05:00:00Z All of which makes overconfidence, indifference or weariness, after two years of battling the virus — and one another — a danger now. Opinion | What We Can Learn From How the 1918 Pandemic Ended 2022-01-31T05:00:00Z This intervention helps to chip away at participants’ overconfidence. People Who Jump to Conclusions Show Other Kinds of Thinking Errors 2022-02-23T05:00:00Z The danger is that confusion between what does and doesn’t require supervision will inevitably lead to overconfidence, misuse, and possibly death. This is not a self-driving car 2022-02-04T05:00:00Z “I don’t want to do anything to deprive them of the overconfidence that will lead them to take a nap while we go slowly chugging by them.” ‘A hell of a year’: GOP eyes big 2022, but weaknesses remain 2021-12-31T05:00:00Z Vaccines have started to reopen the world, but the delta variant checked our overconfidence and, if that wasn’t enough, the omicron variant had families again adding risk calculation to their holiday prep activities. Headlines readers would like to see in 2022 2021-12-30T05:00:00Z In other words, he's a perfect representation of the overconfidence that characterizes our age of misinformation. Pennsylvania deserves better than Dr. Oz 2021-12-11T05:00:00Z Many of those who voted for Argenis Chávez blame the annulled outcome on a mix of overconfidence and divisions during internal elections. Vote shock in Chávez homeland underscores Venezuela’s divide 2021-12-09T05:00:00Z If Fred was guilty of anything, overconfidence in democracy might have been it. Opinion | Fred Hiatt deserves to be remembered long after he is gone 2021-12-07T05:00:00Z Central Command issued a lengthy report, citing “fatigue, frustration, distraction and overconfidence” as factors leading to the tragedy. A bomb, a death, a war's painful legacy: Remembering the first Californian killed in Afghanistan 2021-12-05T05:00:00Z Cincinnati will go to East Carolina on Friday night hoping to ply its usual resistance to overconfidence. Analysis | Farewell to Oregon, the Pac-12 and an alluring possibility for the College Football Playoff 2021-11-21T05:00:00Z “There was an unfortunate sense of overconfidence that the pandemic had ended with India,” said Dr. K. Srinath Reddy, president of the Public Health Foundation of India. India Eased Its Covid-19 Disaster. Fears of Complacency Remain. 2021-11-09T05:00:00Z The hormone causes three problems for investors: It decreases fear, increases greed and very much contributes to overconfidence. Women May Be Better Investors Than Men. Let Me Mansplain Why. 2021-10-29T04:00:00Z This intervention helps chip away at participants’ overconfidence. People Who Jump to Conclusions Show Other Kinds of Thinking Errors 2021-10-15T04:00:00Z So there’s an element of overconfidence to consider. Boxing experts predict the winner of Tyson Fury vs. Deontay Wilder III 2021-10-09T04:00:00Z The belief that one’s ethical standards are above average illustrates an overconfidence bias. Only 35% Pass Wall St.’s Toughest Test. How Much Does That Matter? 2021-09-30T04:00:00Z It does, but it better not give them overconfidence because humility is one week away.” SEC beefing up schedules, moving away from early cupcakes 2021-09-08T04:00:00Z As for overconfidence, Mr. Bernstein, who is the author of books, including “The Investor’s Manifesto,” suggests a self-administered test question: How certain am I of what I’m doing? Women May Be Better Investors Than Men. Let Me Mansplain Why. 2021-10-29T04:00:00Z Jumpers also had problems with overconfidence: on a quiz about American civics, they overrated the chance that their answers were right more significantly than other participants—even when their answers were wrong. People Who Jump to Conclusions Show Other Kinds of Thinking Errors 2021-10-15T04:00:00Z Which may sound paradoxical, but can be easily explained: Complacency and overconfidence among Democrats almost cost Davis a second term. Column: Could Gavin Newsom lose even if he beats the recall? 2021-08-19T04:00:00Z An overconfidence bias will most likely lead individuals to overestimate the morality of their own behavior and can lead to a failure to consider important inputs and variables needed to make the best ethical decisions. Only 35% Pass Wall St.’s Toughest Test. How Much Does That Matter? 2021-09-30T04:00:00Z In early 2020, the National Transportation Board found that the design of Autopilot and overconfidence in its abilities were what led to a fatal crash in Mountain View, California. Senators ask FTC to investigate Tesla’s ‘Full Self-Driving’ promises 2021-08-18T04:00:00Z Apart from Biles, these are all first-time Olympians, so Forster doesn’t think any sense of overconfidence crept into the gymnasts’ minds. Shaky qualification performances leave U.S. gymnasts with questions no one had considered 2021-07-25T04:00:00Z Skeptics often attack climate scientists for alleged overconfidence in their predictions about the disastrous impact of climate change. Opinion | We are fiddling while the world burns, floods and chokes 2021-07-22T04:00:00Z Perhaps, though, the easy set of games spurred overconfidence and shrouded the team’s reality. Analysis | The U.S. women’s soccer team was absolutely clobbered. Don’t panic just yet. 2021-07-21T04:00:00Z The findings, published Wednesday in a report written by the Government Accountability Office, reveal that training inconsistencies and overconfidence contributed significantly to the loss of life and related injuries. Military’s effort to reduce deadly vehicle accidents deemed inadequate 2021-07-14T04:00:00Z The president continued his recent pandemic balancing act between congratulating Americans on their success and warning against overconfidence. Revised immunization campaign aims to weave vaccines into U.S. daily life 2021-07-06T04:00:00Z Whether you believe that the CCP’s aggression is rooted in insecurity or overconfidence, all signs point to it getting worse, not better. Opinion | The Chinese Communist Party’s anniversary is Hong Kong’s funeral 2021-07-01T04:00:00Z The Thorpes’ drive is not to be mistaken for overconfidence. A Brooklyn Ice Cream Shop and the Make-or-Break Summer Ahead 2021-06-25T04:00:00Z But independent health experts and political analysts say that Mr. Modi’s overconfidence and his domineering leadership style bear a huge share of the responsibility. India’s Covid-19 Crisis Shakes Modi’s Image of Strength 2021-05-01T04:00:00Z Taiwan is where Chinese overconfidence seems most likely to produce a dangerous miscalculation. Opinion | Biden faces the world’s most dangerous problems in North Korea and Taiwan 2021-03-25T04:00:00Z The confusion around the image reveals Americans’ overconfidence in what we think we know about Mrs. Parks and about the civil rights movement. Opinion | The Real Rosa Parks Story Is Better Than the Fairy Tale 2021-02-01T05:00:00Z But many investors, even those leery of growing signs of overconfidence in the market, say it’s reasonable to expect stocks to continue to climb. Market Edges Toward Euphoria, Despite Pandemic’s Toll 2020-12-26T05:00:00Z “I don’t think it was overconfidence, we just didn’t play collectively well as a team.” Giants Cannot Protect Win Streak Against the Cardinals 2020-12-13T05:00:00Z In the past, this team has been identified with lack of discipline, overconfidence after the least success, overestimations of its own talent and lots of “quit.” Perspective | Ron Rivera and Alex Smith never quit. Now their team won’t, either. 2020-12-08T05:00:00Z He cautioned against overconfidence despite the brief respite of the holiday season. France and Britain to loosen coronavirus lockdowns ahead of Christmas 2020-11-24T05:00:00Z Cronin refers to the game on occasion in an attempt to guard against overconfidence and keep his players grounded after they were ranked No. 22 nationally and picked to win the Pac-12. This could be a dream season for UCLA, if Bruins get to complete it 2020-11-24T05:00:00Z On the whole, Zimmer surmised there was some overconfidence in play after the recent improvement. Learning Vikings defense takes another lesson in defeat 2020-11-23T05:00:00Z This week the Dolphins talked about the hazard of overconfidence, which hasn’t been a problem in Miami for a long time. A rookie QB matchup: Miami’s Tua faces Chargers’ Herbert 2020-11-12T05:00:00Z And Saban, as always, remains on guard against complacency or overconfidence. Nick Saban: No. 1 ranking ‘even more meaningless this year’ 2020-11-09T05:00:00Z “You could almost feel the overconfidence from the other side,” said Mr. Ortt, who represents a Western New York district outside of Buffalo. Some Suburban Strongholds Swing Back to G.O.P. in N.Y. and Across U.S. 2020-11-04T05:00:00Z Though Democrats are wary of overconfidence, given Trump’s upset in 2016, party leaders see significant differences in this year’s election. After year of disruption, America set to choose a path ahead 2020-10-31T04:00:00Z But after that emphatic comeback win, when Alabama outscored the Bulldogs 21-0 in the second half, Saban wants to guard against any overconfidence. Saban wants Alabama’s focus on what’s ahead after big win 2020-10-20T04:00:00Z We also think we know more than we do, a cognitive bias known as overconfidence. Liz Weston: Playing the market is a bad idea, especially now 2020-10-19T04:00:00Z The reason you hear so much hesitance from analysts this time around compared to similar situations in 2008 or 1996 is precisely because their tongues are still smarting from overconfidence four years ago. When ‘Access Hollywood’ week starts to look good 2020-10-13T04:00:00Z Democrats enjoy a distinct advantage — if they can avoid the lax overconfidence that doomed Hillary Clinton’s 2016 campaign. Opinion | A storm is coming for Donald Trump 2020-09-25T04:00:00Z Some originated before the game started — lack of focus, increased pressure, overconfidence, physical exhaustion — and made in-game triggers such as the accumulation of unforced errors, an opponent’s scoring and decisions by officials, feel worse. The Clippers' playoff collapse was historic. Will it hurt their 2021 title chances? 2020-09-18T04:00:00Z But, he said, “overconfidence” occasionally set in, and his team was unprepared for a sudden attack by Germans who had discovered their location. Robert Kehoe, honored for valor in World War II, dies at 98 2020-09-01T04:00:00Z Blinded by overconfidence and mired in internecine divisions, liberals had no response to conservatism’s subterranean growth. Review | How Reagan captured the presidency, and the right captured politics 2020-08-27T04:00:00Z Didn't George W. Bush's character flaws — which were entirely different from LBJ's, to be sure, but produced the same level of overconfidence — lure him into the even more destructive foreign-policy catastrophes of Iraq and Afghanistan? Donald Trump, Joe Biden and the postal police: Is this election really about "decency"? 2020-08-23T04:00:00Z “The last election, I think there was overconfidence among Democrats and ultimately Trump snaps victory from the jaws of defeat,” said Mike Noble, chief of research at OH Predictive Insights, a polling outfit in Arizona. Democrats riding high heading into home stretch — just like in 2016 2020-08-19T04:00:00Z He laughed telling the story, acknowledging his youthful overconfidence. Mills wants activism to be remembered more than gold medal 2020-08-05T04:00:00Z Then, millions of people suffering from overconfidence dropped their guard. Editorial Roundup: Ohio 2020-08-03T04:00:00Z No, I will not pause to listen to your sermon about "overconfidence," or your superstitious lamentations about the lingering trauma of 2016. Donald Trump is doomed, and he knows it: But will he go out with a whimper or a bang? 2020-08-02T04:00:00Z Now we may be paying a price for overconfidence. Editorial Roundup: West Virginia 2020-07-29T04:00:00Z And Democrats, laden with the searing memory of 2016's upset, are cautious about overconfidence no matter what the polls show. 100 Days Out: Trump looks for game change as Biden makes gains 2020-07-26T04:00:00Z Emboldened Democrats are trying to guard against overconfidence, even as they see real opportunities to expand Joe Biden’s path to the White House in states like Georgia, Iowa and Ohio. 2020 Watch: How many more Americans will die from COVID-19? 2020-07-13T04:00:00Z Mike Murphy, a longtime GOP strategist involved in the Republican Voters Against Trump super PAC, similarly advised against overconfidence. Trump’s drop in polls has confident Democrats sensing ‘a tsunami coming’ in November 2020-07-11T04:00:00Z Despite assurances that all is well, overconfidence isn’t helpful as the pandemic rages on. Editorial Roundup: Excerpts from recent Minnesota editorials 2020-07-07T04:00:00Z If we do not, we might be paying for that overconfidence in lives lost. Editorial Roundup: West Virginia 2020-07-29T04:00:00Z What she portrays is not his persona but his affect: the glib overconfidence, the lip curl of dismissiveness, the slow nods of fake understanding. Sarah Cooper Doesn’t Mimic Trump. She Exposes Him. 2020-06-25T04:00:00Z He said both the pilot and the co-pilot were extremely experienced but “due to overconfidence and lack of focus,” the tragedy took place. Pakistan finds ‘human error’ in deadly Karachi plane crash 2020-06-24T04:00:00Z As Trump’s chaotic presidency continues, Democrats are increasingly under pressure to guard against overconfidence. 2020 Watch: Trump navigates chaos after his Oklahoma rally 2020-06-22T04:00:00Z But Black used White’s own overconfidence against him with one last, amazing swindling idea: 49…Qd1! Flimflam and the art of the swindle at the chessboard 2020-06-16T04:00:00Z The other side of that coin is avoiding overconfidence. Editorial Roundup: Pennsylvania 2020-05-27T04:00:00Z The Trump administration's flamboyant display of overconfidence, lies, mixed messaging, buck-passing, goalpost-shifting, petulant blame games, incoherent policy reversals, conspiracy theories and anti-scientific balderdash has, in a certain sense, been wondrous to behold. Donald Trump's cosplay fascism, neoliberal capitalism and the pandemic: How did we get here? 2020-05-10T04:00:00Z “It is really a situation where caution is the order of the day, and not overconfidence.” Europe thinks it is past the peak of the first wave of the coronavirus 2020-04-17T04:00:00Z None of this, quite likely, adds up to anything more than a routine degree of Democratic Party internal self-dealing and a display of interwoven overconfidence and incompetence. First lesson of the Iowa meltdown: Don’t entrust democracy to the techies 2020-02-04T05:00:00Z “The U.S. is turning from overconfidence to fear and overreaction,” said Hua Chunying, citing the Trump administration’s decision to evacuate some U.S. Spread of coronavirus threatens to strain U.S.-China relations along with global health system 2020-02-03T05:00:00Z In what may come to look like wild overconfidence, the defence rested its case after using less than half its allotted 24 hours. 'Danger! Danger! Danger!' Is Trump team's alarm for their own case? 2020-01-28T05:00:00Z Whether it’s a question of overconfidence, a lack of fitness or just momentary lapses that cost the team dearly, the pressure is on coach Ernesto Valverde. Valverde questioned after another late collapse by Barcelona 2020-01-10T05:00:00Z Panthers 21, Seahawks 20 — I finally joined the chorus of Seattle Times homers in picking the Seahawks last week, which provided them with disastrous overconfidence. Seahawks-Panthers predictions: Seattle Times writers make their picks for Week 15 2019-12-13T05:00:00Z Lulled into overconfidence by the apparent ease of conquering Afghanistan, the Bush administration refused to sit down with defeated Taliban leaders to negotiate a lasting peace — a decision U.S. officials would later regret. U.S. ‘mission creep’ in Afghanistan led to unwinnable, never-ending war, confidential documents show 2019-12-10T05:00:00Z McGinley knows from beating the U.S. in team competitions, and believes the Americans must guard against overconfidence at Royal Melbourne. A warning from a former European Ryder Cup captain to the Americans as they head to Australia - Golf Digest 2019-12-07T05:00:00Z National leaders became overly reliant on the protections granted by a Democratic presidency under Mr. Obama and a relatively balanced Supreme Court, critics say, leading to overconfidence that their goals were not seriously threatened. How a Divided Left Is Losing the Battle on Abortion 2019-12-01T05:00:00Z We’re great at this,’ that gave us a little bit of overconfidence. Democrats have fallen behind Trump in digital campaigning, Obama aide warns 2019-11-02T04:00:00Z And he finds this “charisma of numbers” really troubling, because of the overconfidence employers might lend them while seeking to decide the path of applicants’ careers. Face-scanning algorithm increasingly decides whether you deserve the job 2019-10-28T04:00:00Z "It's part of the psychopath's overconfidence - the belief they can fool everyone through manipulation or charm." The 'backpacker killer' and unanswered questions 2019-10-26T04:00:00Z “I don’t think there can be overconfidence, not to me personally,” Smith said Wednesday. Bills confident but not under-estimating winless Dolphins 2019-10-16T04:00:00Z It will not spill into overconfidence with Klopp at the helm. Holy grail could be in sight as Jürgen Klopp toasts his Anfield anniversary | Andy Hunter 2019-10-09T04:00:00Z Unfortunately, because of a combination of overconfidence from that success and increasing pressure from the powerful fishing and shipping industries, the government became more complacent in its protection efforts during 2019. Japanese Whaling Is Not the Greatest Threat to Whale Conservation 2019-08-13T04:00:00Z Brooks neglects the psychology and behavioral economics literatures on overconfidence and motivated reasoning supporting such “intellectual humility.” How To Love Your Enemies 2019-08-12T04:00:00Z The foremost thought leader in decision-making, Daniel Kahneman, singles out overconfidence as the bias he would eliminate if he "had a magic wand." How to Resist the Lure of Overconfidence 2019-08-02T04:00:00Z Novices who don't bother to look under the hood might not recognize problems with their data sets or models, leading to overconfidence in biased or inaccurate results. No coding required: Companies make it easier than ever for scientists to use artificial intelligence 2019-07-31T04:00:00Z They shaped a collective overconfidence that Trump couldn't possibly be elected, and also a narrative of moral or ethical equivalence between two candidates where there was no possible equivalence. A conversation with "The Enemy of the People": CNN's Jim Acosta on the war on truth 2019-07-04T04:00:00Z That Iranian overconfidence is what makes this confrontation so dangerous. Opinion | Is the Iran-U.S. tinderbox about to ignite? 2019-06-13T04:00:00Z In fact, there is also evidence of a direct link between overconfidence and partisan contempt. How To Love Your Enemies 2019-08-12T04:00:00Z This is the most robust form of overconfidence with a wide reach: it is seen across cultures, professions, genders, ages and levels of expertise. How to Resist the Lure of Overconfidence 2019-08-02T04:00:00Z But despite Trump's economy faring far better than Hoover's, Rove said he believes Trump supporters should still "be cautious" heading into 2020 -- and warned against overconfidence. Trump 2020 victory depends on '3 critical things,' Karl Rove tells Sean Hannity 2019-05-28T04:00:00Z Yet this aura has led to an overconfidence about conservatism’s underlying health. ‘A zombie party’: the deepening crisis of conservatism 2019-05-28T04:00:00Z In an attempt to understand the implications of overconfidence, the researchers constructed a mock job interview. Why High-Class People Get Away With Incompetence 2019-05-20T04:00:00Z But overconfidence can keep reporters from seeing what’s in front of them. How to Cover 2020: Assume Nothing and Beware of Twitter 2019-04-16T04:00:00Z “That kind of overconfidence might be very wrong.” Trump moves to resist House inquiries, setting up fight over congressional subpoena powers 2019-04-16T04:00:00Z No one is brimming with overconfidence that all is well and always will be. What the Rest of the World Can Learn From the Australian Economic Miracle 2019-04-06T04:00:00Z In Britain, the movement’s growing carelessness and overconfidence showed itself in smaller ways at first. ‘A zombie party’: the deepening crisis of conservatism 2019-05-28T04:00:00Z “But what they do very consistently show is that social class is tied to overconfidence,” she said. Why High-Class People Get Away With Incompetence 2019-05-20T04:00:00Z It sank sooner than the United States Football League, which was doomed by the obtuse overconfidence of the real-estate tycoon who became the 45th President of the United States. The messy and quick death of the AAF, Silicon Valley's complement to the NFL 2019-04-03T04:00:00Z Unimpressed by scientific prizes or riches, Dr. Bengio stressed that complacency and overconfidence were the enemies of scientific progress. He Helped Create A.I. Now, He Worries About ‘Killer Robots.’ 2019-03-29T04:00:00Z One practical way to do so is to rename confidence intervals as ‘compatibility intervals’ and interpret them in a way that avoids overconfidence. Scientists rise up against statistical significance 2019-03-19T04:00:00Z Cameron called it, and expected, with characteristic overconfidence, to win it for remain, as if the decades of Eurosceptic journalism had never happened. ‘A zombie party’: the deepening crisis of conservatism 2019-05-28T04:00:00Z Dr. Kennedy said she had been encouraged to find that if you show people actual facts about a person, the elevated status that comes with overconfidence often fades away. Why High-Class People Get Away With Incompetence 2019-05-20T04:00:00Z But a recent poll by Public Opinion Strategies, a Republican firm, provides a warning against overconfidence on the part of Democrats. Democrats, facing a big candidate field, ask: Who is most electable over Trump? 2019-03-01T05:00:00Z “The overconfidence we have on the climate issue in the climate community is incredibly large, and we need to pull back on that.” Scientist Who Rejects Warming Is Named to EPA Advisory Board 2019-02-01T05:00:00Z Pelosi is a compelling foil for Trump in many ways, bringing experience and intelligence to bear in a battle against a man whose overconfidence is only matched by his inexperience and incuriosity. Nancy Pelosi knows how to exploit Trump's sexism — and she's totally owning him 2019-01-24T05:00:00Z “That’s what the inspector is for, to look past the overconfidence or fatigue and see the defects.” Boeing overhauls quality controls: more high-tech tracking but fewer inspectors 2019-01-20T05:00:00Z The researchers suggest that part of the answer involves what they call “overconfidence.” Why High-Class People Get Away With Incompetence 2019-05-20T04:00:00Z But it can also lead to groupthink and overconfidence. Perspective | Corporate boards are diversifying. The C-suite isn’t. 2019-01-04T05:00:00Z Still, burned by Trump’s victory and their crushing disappointment in 2016, Democrats were wary of overconfidence. With Democrats well-positioned to take the House, Republicans scurry to save the Senate - Los Angeles Times 2018-11-04T04:00:00Z The way Vermeil sees it, the biggest pitfall for exceptional teams is overconfidence. Players from 'Greatest Show on Turf' era keeping track of these unbeaten Rams - Los Angeles Times 2018-10-25T04:00:00Z Wasteful and inefficient, they reflect executive overconfidence, ambition or self-interest. Opinion | Competition RIP? 2018-10-21T04:00:00Z This unmerited overconfidence, they found, was interpreted by strangers as competence. Why High-Class People Get Away With Incompetence 2019-05-20T04:00:00Z Before quitting, Mr. Collomb put his finger on what many consider Mr. Macron’s biggest blind spot: overconfidence. France’s Macron, Celebrated Abroad, Faces Isolation at Home 2018-10-09T04:00:00Z More generally, during booms, any aspects of risk management in financial institutions get corrupted by a kind of overconfidence in the skills of bankers. Anniversary of Lehman’s collapse reminds us — booms are often followed by busts 2018-09-29T04:00:00Z But overconfidence will be a key thing to avoid, starting Saturday at home against Colorado. Sounders begin final stretch of games against cellar dwellers hoping to avoid common foe — overconfidence 2018-09-28T04:00:00Z That's leaving some top Democrats warning their party of the dangers of overconfidence. Overconfident? Dem optimism surges as midterms approach 2018-09-22T04:00:00Z That’s leaving some top Democrats warning their party of the dangers of overconfidence. Overconfident? Dem optimism surges as midterms approach 2018-09-22T04:00:00Z Mr. Trump also posted a video of himself in the Rose Garden of the White House in which he vacillated between sober warnings and exhortations to flee the storm’s path, and reassurance bordering on overconfidence. Hurricane Florence Presents Test for FEMA and Trump After Last Year’s Harsh Lessons 2018-09-13T04:00:00Z Based on the divide of mixed martial arts and big-fight experience, it seems Shevchenko’s most imposing obstacle for Saturday’s fight is overconfidence. UFC's Valentina Shevchenko on the brink of a belt and the temptation to double down 2018-09-04T04:00:00Z Large risky asset holdings are also associated with poorer corporate governance, CEO overconfidence and risk-incentivizing executive compensation such as stock- and option-based pay. Opinion | Apple Is a Hedge Fund That Makes Phones 2018-08-23T04:00:00Z If the previous one was the result of overconfidence in free markets, the next might be triggered—as in Turkey today—by the behavior of an authoritarian leader. Ten Years After the Crash 2018-08-19T04:00:00Z The editorial was responding to claims the tough trade measures implemented by the United States were provoked by China’s “strategic overconfidence”. China paper says trade frictions caused by waning U.S. hegemony 2018-08-09T04:00:00Z Yet it seems far likelier that the FBI’s Trump investigation was a function of arrogance and overconfidence than some partisan plot. Brennan and the 2016 Spy Scandal 2018-07-19T04:00:00Z Becker is a hero to many in the field, but, for all the originality of his thinking, to outsiders he can stand for intellectual overconfidence. Can Economists and Humanists Ever Be Friends? 2018-07-16T04:00:00Z It’s been variously attributed to German overconfidence or arrogance; as the necessary outcome of something being fundamentally rotten with the champion’s entire campaign, and so forth. World Cup 2018: Germany reaction and England v Belgium buildup – live! 2018-06-28T04:00:00Z “It was a bit of overconfidence ahead of Mexico,” he said. Germany Crashes Out of World Cup With a Loss to South Korea 2018-06-27T04:00:00Z However, Ms. Savino warned Democrats against overconfidence, especially against Mr. Grimm, noting he had “cheerleaders with pompoms” at the start of his campaign in the fall. ‘It’s Gotten Personal’: Grimm-Donovan Race Nears a Bitter End 2018-06-24T04:00:00Z His overconfidence was his undoing, agents have said in interviews. Comey Often Thought He Knew Best. That May Have Hurt the F.B.I. 2018-06-14T04:00:00Z There was no overconfidence, bullishness or arrogance, just a subtle self-belief and determination that suggests this squad – unburdened of expectation – will play without the fear which has crippled Three Lions’ teams previously. Influence of Guardiola, Klopp and Pochettino is a big plus for England | Liam Rosenior 2018-06-14T04:00:00Z The only thing that can stop us is... overconfidence. World Cup 2018: 32 fans from 32 countries preview the tournament 2018-06-12T04:00:00Z Tesla’s “misleading” marketing, he said, has had the dangerous effect of “providing overconfidence and building you up to thinking it’s safer than it actually is.” As Elon Musk promises ‘full self-driving,’ experts worry Tesla is ‘using consumers as guinea pigs’ 2018-06-11T04:00:00Z For the entirety of this postseason, that has meant warding off feelings in the areas of contentment and overconfidence. After an uncharacteristic playoff performance, Braden Holtby takes stock — and moves on 2018-05-16T04:00:00Z The same shot immunized the Caps against overconfidence as they enjoy being on top. Capitals can’t afford to be presumptuous even with a 2-0 advantage 2018-05-14T04:00:00Z Ms. Varsava also tested the swagger of Justice Gorsuch’s appeals court opinions in light of what she called “his reputation for self-assuredness and overconfidence” by counting “terms of certainty” like “clearly,” “surely” and “decidedly.” #GorsuchStyle Garners a Gusher of Groans. But Is His Writing Really That Bad? 2018-04-30T04:00:00Z Nunes wasted lots of taxpayers' money on wild goose chases, most due to his overconfidence in his own discernment. How Devin Nunes Turned the House Intelligence Committee Inside Out 2018-04-24T04:00:00Z Despite the demand, Richardson warns that sellers should avoid overconfidence about the value of their homes. Region’s short housing supply takes its toll in Northern Virginia 2018-04-15T04:00:00Z On the other hand, none of these Western characters is very admirable by design, and the movie warns against intelligence-community overconfidence and the meddling that arises from it. ‘Beirut’: Stakes are raised in slick thriller starring Jon Hamm 2018-04-11T04:00:00Z Enlightenment overconfidence has gone badly wrong often enough to warrant serious doubts about claims made in the name of reason—just as doubt is valuable in approaching other systems of dogma. The Dark Side of the Enlightenment 2018-04-06T04:00:00Z Avoidable professional disasters frequently stem from three major cognitive biases: the overconfidence effect, optimism bias and the planning fallacy. How to Avoid Business Disasters with Behavioral Science 2018-04-06T04:00:00Z Sanchez was on the bridge at the time, but the Navy found that the collision occurred “primarily from complacency, overconfidence and lack of procedural compliance.” Navy courts-martial are possible in fatal ship collisions. History shows results are mixed. 2018-01-17T05:00:00Z Typically that is a sign of overconfidence and the market tends to fall. Why Oil Is About to Hit Troubled Waters 2018-01-17T05:00:00Z “While all concerned seek to avoid an accidental escalation leading to conflict, the risk is being multiplied by misplaced overconfidence, dangerous narratives and rhetoric, and the lack of communication channels,” he said. Tillerson, in Apparent U-Turn, Says North Korea Must ‘Earn’ Its Way to Talks 2017-12-15T05:00:00Z What do I mean by “overconfidence”? I mean that in nearly every corner of the country we have expanded our metropolitan regions into the path of, instead of away from, risk. The Year In Review: Entertainment 2017-12-15T05:00:00Z The investigation found that the McCain collision “resulted primarily from complacency, overconfidence and lack of procedural compliance.” ‘Multiple failures’ by ship crews standing watch contributed to deadly collisions, Navy finds 2017-11-01T04:00:00Z Ideology aside, most party leaders seemed bent on avoiding in Virginia the kind of overconfidence they say settled in near the end in 2016, when many Democrats assumed that Clinton would win the presidency. National Democrats are jittery about Va. governor’s race 2017-10-22T04:00:00Z But Virginia is another matter, and it offers a warning for Democratic overconfidence outside reliably blue areas. Opinion | A Very Encouraging Health Care Deal 2017-10-18T04:00:00Z Quotable: “I think the challenge will be a little overconfidence.” Facts and figures for the 12th Presidents Cup 2017-09-23T04:00:00Z Kennedy’s intellectual arrogance and Johnson’s cowboy bravado were two versions of the same typical American overconfidence. A powerful new documentary series on the Vietnam war 2017-09-14T04:00:00Z What Murray exhibited that day was hubris, what the Greeks thought of as “defying the gods” with overconfidence or vanity. Just as the Greeks told it: Hubris brought the Seattle mayor down 2017-09-15T04:00:00Z On Friday, she cautioned several times against overconfidence in the health of the financial system. Yellen Warns Against Erasing Regulations Made After the Financial Crisis 2017-08-25T04:00:00Z Many studies support this idea, showing that testosterone-laden men are prone to overconfidence in trading. Are men more irrationally exuberant than women? 2017-08-24T04:00:00Z But Naomi’s overconfidence about the moral rightness of her goal is a curse that she is too self-involved to recognize. An excellent tale of deadly intrigue on a Greek island 2017-08-06T04:00:00Z Could it be that our real problem is not an excess of pessimism, as the New Optimists maintain, but a dangerous degree of overconfidence? Is the world really better than ever? 2017-07-28T04:00:00Z A supermajority of the council has signed on as sponsors, but previous attempts at public financing have foundered, so proponents are right to guard against overconfidence. Opinion | The District should make this needed campaign finance reform a reality 2017-07-06T04:00:00Z "Certainly too much confidence, or overconfidence, leads to lazy shots. You just assume you're going to play well all the time," Ogilvy says. Confidence Kills: What If Everything You've Been Told To Think Is Wrong? - Golf Digest 2017-06-26T04:00:00Z In one study, he found that CEOs who heard more flattery also tended to be more overconfident in their strategy — and that that overconfidence led to fewer changes in strategy following poor performance. Analysis | Why a Cabinet of kiss-ups is a big problem for Trump 2017-06-13T04:00:00Z But the Wizards — young, prone to overconfidence and always preferring the hard way — couldn’t muster the appropriate intensity. Perspective | The Wizards gave a lackluster effort, and it may cost them the series 2017-05-10T04:00:00Z More confounding than the existence of investor overconfidence is its persistence: As markets teach us costly lessons, we should grow humble. Why We Think We’re Better Investors Than We Are 2016-03-25T04:00:00Z Liberal overconfidence, willful blindness and rampant wish-casting are what got us into this mess, to a large extent. Not so fast, Trump-haters! We’re a long way from Watergate, and Michael Flynn’s offer is clearly a trap 2017-04-01T04:00:00Z The mass protests of the past four weekends and Trump’s sagging popularity have added to their overconfidence that they’ll easily win again in 2020. The Daily 202: DNC chair candidates say Clinton lost because she talked too much about Trump 2017-02-13T05:00:00Z He described it this way: “The erratic tendencies and overconfidence in his own wisdom and judgment that Donald Trump has demonstrated to date are inconsistent with strong leadership and sound decision-making.” A Quiet Giant of Investing Weighs In on Trump 2017-02-06T05:00:00Z They exhibit all the symptoms of narcissistic personality disorder: a desire to dominate, overconfidence, a sense of entitlement, an inability to listen to others or allow others to speak and a passion for glory. Trump’s lies are not the problem. It’s the millions who swallow them who really matter | Nick Cohen 2017-02-04T05:00:00Z “Once one entertains the idea that ‘this seems like a good investment,’ the processing of relevant information narrows considerably — and in a direction that leads to overconfidence.” Why We Think We’re Better Investors Than We Are 2016-03-25T04:00:00Z “I don’t think there’s any sense of overconfidence,” Steelers offensive coordinator Todd Haley said. Healthy Steelers facing depleted Dolphins in rematch 2017-01-07T05:00:00Z I hung on and made a little money, but my gluttony and overconfidence amaze me to this day. The Motley Fool: Useful tips on investing 2017-01-07T05:00:00Z But the public-health bureaucracy demonstrated no such humility, and its overconfidence showed how unprepared the world is to respond to biological threats. The Burial of Ebola 2016-12-26T05:00:00Z They must guard against overconfidence, and the slip-ups that come with that. As they disprove pundits, Lakers guard against overconfidence 2016-11-07T05:00:00Z That most people do not default to such broad ranges reflects a trait that behavioral economists call overconfidence. Why We Think We’re Better Investors Than We Are 2016-03-25T04:00:00Z Most likely, it was overconfidence in a Clinton victory, along with a selfish effort to continue exploiting what the Obama administration sees as one of its major foreign-policy triumphs. Shift among Cuban American voters could deliver Florida to Donald Trump 2016-11-05T04:00:00Z Luck insists past success will not lead to overconfidence. Titans’ climb up AFC South rests on ending skid to Colts 2016-10-21T04:00:00Z That one was enamored with thoughts of stardom and his overconfidence never let nerves seep in before games. Tight end Gesicki becoming key cog for Penn State’s offense 2016-10-19T04:00:00Z Their memories might be the best guard against overconfidence. As they disprove pundits, Lakers guard against overconfidence 2016-11-07T05:00:00Z Chafkin cautions against allowing emotions, such as fear, greed or overconfidence to take the wheel. 3 Reasons to Stop Trying to Beat the Market 2016-10-14T04:00:00Z Like Brennan and others, Davis identifies overconfidence as a key issue. Wingsuit flying's most deadly summer leads to soul searching 2016-09-02T04:00:00Z Mr. Trump suffers the overconfidence of the successful businessman whose core belief is that anyone less wealthy than he is a loser. What a Revoltin’ Development 2016-08-31T04:00:00Z Another contributing factor needs attention: the overconfidence of parents or guardians. Recent editorials from Texas newspapers 2016-08-09T04:00:00Z Residents may fail to ask for help due to overconfidence, lack of knowledge or fear of seeming incompetent, studies show. A Better Safety Net for Young Doctors 2016-08-08T04:00:00Z The lesson about overconfidence came in his first season as a starter on a team that advanced to the Super Bowl. Newcomer Boone brings needed edge to Vikings offensive line 2016-08-05T04:00:00Z Others wonder if her celebrity status has fueled her own ego, leading to overconfidence. A most unusual feud: Justice Ginsburg vs. Donald Trump 2016-07-13T04:00:00Z Elite arrogance and overconfidence may not lie at the root of this cultural shift, but they haven’t helped. Lessons of Britquake 2016: A history-shaping crisis, and a moment of danger and opportunity 2016-06-25T04:00:00Z "Blair had foreign affairs successes in Northern Ireland, Sierra Leone, Kosovo — and then Iraq was the manifestation of his overconfidence. I suppose people might say this is Cameron's." Referendum gamble will define legacy of UK's David Cameron 2016-06-19T04:00:00Z “Blair had foreign affairs successes in Northern Ireland, Sierra Leone, Kosovo — and then Iraq was the manifestation of his overconfidence. I suppose people might say this is Cameron’s.” Referendum gamble will define legacy of UK's David Cameron 2016-06-19T04:00:00Z There was little reason for overconfidence among Democrats, who've never seen that powerful coalition of minorities, young people and women reliably show up for candidates not named Obama. Clinton endorsement imminent, Obama to sit down with Sanders 2016-06-09T04:00:00Z The photo, Foreman says, is a testament to overconfidence, the danger of not remaining humble and, finally, to the greatness of Foreman’s delayed but strong friendship with Ali. Underestimating Muhammad Ali was the mistake of a lifetime, George Foreman says 2016-06-04T04:00:00Z This week Xi Jinping, China’s president, fell into the opposite trap, of overconfidence. Schrödinger’s panda 2016-06-02T04:00:00Z Listening to FiveThirtyEight’s Election Podcast the message you’ll hear Silver and his crew repeat the most is a warning against overconfidence in polls. Nate Silver has a Donald Trump problem: Where does data journalism go now? 2016-05-15T04:00:00Z “All the incentives push us toward overconfidence and to ignore humility—to ignore the buts and the what-ifs and the caveats,” Mr. Roberts says. When All Economics Is Political 2016-05-14T04:00:00Z She's seen people who fall prey to overconfidence after that first big payday learn to be more conservative the next time it happens. 3 Money Management Tips for Creative Professionals 2016-05-11T04:00:00Z The only way I could get people to tell me I had problems was by just asking them face-forward, and, given my overconfidence, I can't trust myself to evaluate how well I am doing. How to be human: how can I stop making everything about me? 2016-04-30T04:00:00Z Unfortunately, it appears that the industry’s hubris and overconfidence may also be reaching record highs. Rep. Raul Grijalva: How to Prevent the Next Oil Spill 2016-03-31T04:00:00Z While this is certainly a progressive viewpoint, it does perpetuate a certain overconfidence in what we believe to be true now. Atheism is in fact a religion 2016-03-23T04:00:00Z Yet even many who applaud that record suggest that Mr. Brown should guard against overconfidence. California Gas Leak Threatens Jerry Brown’s Image as a Climate Change Hero 2016-03-04T05:00:00Z It was in those moments, when everything was going so well and a three-point halftime lead had ballooned to 11, when overconfidence set in and the trouble began. Overconfidence dooms Severn in IAAM Conference B Championship 2016-02-14T05:00:00Z Investors are, however, prone to overconfidence in technology trends. Alphabet Close to Overtaking Apple as Most Valuable Company 2016-01-22T05:00:00Z Like politicians trying to downplay their chances in an election, officials repeatedly warned against overconfidence, but it was hard to resist. Following Start of Gulf War, No All Quiet on the Western Front 2016-01-17T05:00:00Z Savvy increases with age, though so does overconfidence. Anti-choice 2016-01-14T05:00:00Z The infrastructure serves a practical and symbolic function, flooding the state with organizing muscle to turn out committed supporters Feb. 1 and demonstrating that Clinton learned the lessons of overconfidence and hubris. Hillary Clinton could win Iowa but still lose the battle of expectations 2016-01-05T05:00:00Z That may be, as some of his allies fret privately, a sign of overconfidence in his own abilities. Strategic or overconfident? Rubio plays hard-to-get with voters. 2015-12-20T05:00:00Z A seasoned candidate on the debate stage, she seemed to stumble in the last one, perhaps out of overconfidence. Acrimony and uncertainty at Democratic debate 2015-12-19T05:00:00Z It is a pool of overconfidence and ego, where money is the single measure of a man’s worth. Creatures Like Martin Shkreli Only Thrive In a Swamp 2015-12-18T05:00:00Z Han Solo ... has reverted to being Han Solo, the rakish smuggler whose mouth and overconfidence keep getting him into trouble. Star Wars: The Force Awakens and the limits of nostalgia 2015-12-18T05:00:00Z Full of insecurity and fear but also cockiness and overconfidence. Q&A: Chris Hemsworth on fame, Thor and ‘Heart of the Sea’ 2015-12-07T05:00:00Z As he puts it: “Decision-makers have been betrayed by a flaw that has been documented in hundreds of studies: overconfidence.” Would you let a mystic manage your investment portfolio? 2015-11-25T05:00:00Z Many analysts faulted Rousey for what they saw as fighting with overconfidence, engaging Holm with punches rather than focusing on going for a takedown. Where Ronda Rousey Goes From Here 2015-11-16T05:00:00Z The overconfidence we saw in our heavily financialized housing sector a decade ago merely migrated to healthcare. Creatures Like Martin Shkreli Only Thrive In a Swamp 2015-12-18T05:00:00Z Popular opinion counts here, and she might’ve done herself more harm than good by that display of overconfidence. 'Dancing With the Stars' recap: 'Immunity Night' wasn't safe for Andy Grammer 2015-11-03T05:00:00Z Now instead of the questions last year about whether the Raiders would even win a game, the focus is on whether Oakland needs to guard against overconfidence. Playoffs? Why not, say the rapidly improving Raiders 2015-11-02T05:00:00Z Cartoonists draw him — arrows protruding from his torso — to signify overconfidence, incompetence and plain bad judgment. From brilliant battlefield commander to punch line 2015-10-28T04:00:00Z On Thursday, at Citi Field, Kelly Johnson, the Mets’ veteran infielder, said that the upside of what some might call youthful overconfidence is the ability to forget yesterday and focus on today. Mets Look to Game 3 to Stem Tide of Disappointment 2015-10-30T04:00:00Z I’ve come to refer to this gap between how people believe they would behave and how they actually behave as “moral overconfidence.” You’re not as virtuous as you think 2015-10-15T04:00:00Z But there’s a risk of overconfidence for Clinton. Clinton and Sanders camps look to capitalize on strong debate 2015-10-14T04:00:00Z Joris reckons that treating economics like a physical science, ruled by fundamental laws which can be derived from data, leads to overconfidence, complacency, excess, and ultimately financial disaster. Nobel prize in economics won by Angus Deaton - as it happened 2015-10-12T04:00:00Z Coach Jeff Fisher was cautious on Monday, perhaps an attempt to guard against overconfidence with a team that’s been known to follow up good games with duds. Defense steps up in both of Rams victories 2015-10-05T04:00:00Z Perhaps that is why, in early September, as the Mets and their strong pitching staff were positioned for a playoff run, General Manager Sandy Alderson warned of overconfidence. The Mysteries of Pitching, and All That ‘Stuff’ 2015-10-03T04:00:00Z Moral overconfidence is in line with what studies find to be our generally inflated view of ourselves. You’re not as virtuous as you think 2015-10-15T04:00:00Z Early successes in Cambodia, Namibia, Mozambique and El Salvador generated an overconfidence in the ability of UN soldiers to keep the peace. What's the point of peacekeepers when they don't keep the peace? 2015-09-17T04:00:00Z Joris reckons that treating economics like a physical science, ruled by fundamental laws which can be derived from data, leads to overconfidence, complacency, excess, and ultimately financial disaster. Nobel prize in economics won by Angus Deaton - as it happened 2015-10-12T04:00:00Z Paraphrasing the study, Sussman says the authors found that "men trade more excessively than women, which they attribute to overconfidence, and that this hurts portfolio returns relative to a lower level of active trading." Are Women Better Investors Than Men? 2015-09-15T04:00:00Z Given the bird’s roller-coaster history, overconfidence is not a trap that Mr. Rossignol and his team are likely to fall into. The Fight to Save a Prairie Chicken 2015-09-04T04:00:00Z Moral overconfidence is on display in politics, in business, in sports — really, in all aspects of life. You’re not as virtuous as you think 2015-10-15T04:00:00Z Right now problems are not overconfidence or investors oblivious to risk, so no need for Fed to send shock across investors’ bow. Wall Street Rebounds After China Stock Slump 2015-08-25T04:00:00Z “The government is at risk of overconfidence, and increasing the suffering,” Ms. Alley said. Yemeni Government Faces Choice Between a Truce and Fighting On 2015-08-14T04:00:00Z Men show more overconfidence than women in investing, Dayton says. Are Women Better Investors Than Men? 2015-09-15T04:00:00Z These include overconfidence and succumbing to herding mentality. 10 Blunders Investors Make With Their Money 2015-07-22T04:00:00Z We would see fewer headlines about scandal and malfeasance, and we could get our actions to better match our expectations, if we tempered our moral overconfidence with some moral humility. You’re not as virtuous as you think 2015-10-15T04:00:00Z Moreover, those with high self-control were less likely to learn from negative feedback and more prone to overconfidence. When Strengths Are Weaknesses And Weaknesses Are Strengths 2015-06-14T04:00:00Z Their shallowness, overconfidence and selfishness are widely denounced. The Millennial Myth: Why Generational Labels Don't Work For Hiring 2015-05-21T04:00:00Z A combination of factors put Mr. Netanyahu in this position, according to Israeli critics: bad negotiating tactics; overconfidence and arrogance; and animosity between the prime minister and some other party leaders. Benjamin Netanyahu’s Last-Minute Government Puts Him in Tenuous Position 2015-05-07T04:00:00Z The Wizards were back in chilly Verizon Center, fighting overconfidence that could come from turning the catbird seat into a full recliner. Wizards expect series with Raptors to become more difficult, even up 2-0 2015-04-23T04:00:00Z And finally, the last section on behavior like optimism, pessimism, arrogance, humility, overconfidence, risk-taking, and ending with herd behavior and team spirit. What Were They Thinking? The Logic Behind Emotional Decisions 2015-04-02T04:00:00Z Perhaps most surprisingly of all, positive emotional experience was associated with greater overconfidence and poorer decision-making among those with high self-control. When Strengths Are Weaknesses And Weaknesses Are Strengths 2015-06-14T04:00:00Z All kinds of forces conspire to push stocks higher: investor overconfidence, corporate puffery, and Wall Street’s inherent bullish bias. In Praise of Short Sellers 2015-03-16T04:00:00Z One threat to the Hawks may be overconfidence, but the players do not look capable of complacency. Hawks Merrily Roll Past Nets to Their 17th Straight Win 2015-01-29T05:00:00Z Some in the W.H.O. along with Guinean officials played down the threat, leading to overconfidence and inattention. How Ebola Roared Back 2014-12-29T05:00:00Z The researchers found, among other things, that overconfidence regarding financial knowledge puts a person at greater risk of being victimized by financial fraud. How to Handle the Investments of Aging Parents 2014-12-29T05:00:00Z The study concludes, "Individual investors who ignore the prescriptive advice to buy and hold low-fee, well-diversified portfolios, generally do so to their detriment." Whether you call it overconfidence or hubris, the result is the same. The Personality Trait That Dooms Your Investments 2014-12-03T05:00:00Z This new approach “will act as another bulwark against hubris, overconfidence and groupthink”. Thinking outside the Bank 2014-11-20T05:00:00Z The military chief also cautioned against overconfidence, however, and said success against the terror group depended on Iraq’s ability to bridge the Sunni-Shiite divide, Reuters said. Martin Dempsey: Islamic State terrorists are ‘a bunch of midgets’ 2014-11-17T05:00:00Z That Republicans are not more confident of victory can be explained by their overconfidence in 2012. Democrats Reach for the Panic Button in 2014 Elections 2014-10-22T04:00:00Z The authors also cite earlier studies that show overconfidence to be a factor in poor investment decisions. How to Handle the Investments of Aging Parents 2014-12-29T05:00:00Z That’s what happens in the overconfidence effect: We tend to overestimate our own abilities, thinking we know more than we actually do. 7 Brain Biases That Could Affect Your Investing Strategy -- And How To Outsmart Them 2014-10-22T04:00:00Z Michael Osterholm, an outspoken University of Minnesota epidemiologist, this week criticized the overconfidence coming from U.S. public health experts, saying they should be more up front about the unknowns and uncertainties. CDC director’s challenge: Deadly Ebola virus and outbreak of criticism The delta: rather than remaining stuck in entitlement and overconfidence, Mr. Clinton always goes forward with gritty determination. How to Win after Losing: Bill Clinton, Peyton Manning, and the San Francisco Giants 2014-10-15T04:00:00Z As much as there’s a danger in being overly fearful, there’s a danger in overconfidence. How Ordinary People and Public Health Officials Might Counter The Spread of Ebola 2014-10-08T04:00:00Z Additional information does, however, lead the analyst to become more confident in his judgment, to the point of overconfidence. A 15 Year Tour of Economic Analysis 2014-10-06T04:00:00Z People who are prone to overconfidence should also do a gut check on their risk tolerance because they may find that they’re more scared of the possibility of failure than they realize. 7 Brain Biases That Could Affect Your Investing Strategy -- And How To Outsmart Them 2014-10-22T04:00:00Z It’s also served as a teaching point for the coaching staff, with Bielema saying he needs to work as a “humbler” this week to temper any potential overconfidence. Razorbacks aim to snap SEC streak against Aggies 2014-09-23T04:00:00Z So how do you keep overconfidence in check? The 5 Big Mistakes Older Investors Make 2014-09-19T04:00:00Z The Dodgers, though, hardly seem a team suffering from overconfidence. Dodgers don't figure to suffer from overconfidence despite lead 2014-09-15T04:00:00Z The question gets stranger in light of another study that showed how even rudeness gets a pass if its bearer’s overconfidence has alchemized sufficient status in the room. Understanding The Seductive Power Of Overconfidence 2014-09-07T04:00:00Z Small investors are known to succumb to overconfidence, spurious extrapolation and a preference for the familiar. Black-cat market 2014-08-28T04:00:00Z The most common killers in the world of State of Decay are overconfidence and exhaustion. 'State of Decay: Lifeline' Review - Night of the Glitching Dead 2014-08-25T04:00:00Z Similarly, the policies that fed the economic booms of the 1990s and the early 2000s spawned overconfidence that fostered the financial crisis. Do Dems run the economy better? Nope. The authors chalk up these gender differences to overconfidence, pride, and shame. At U.S. Open, Men Are More Likely To Make Dumb Decisions 2014-08-24T04:00:00Z Those studies circle the question of why we’re prone to falling for the chutzpah of overconfidence, but say little of why the overconfident are so good at pulling it off. Understanding The Seductive Power Of Overconfidence 2014-09-07T04:00:00Z It happens all the time: A rising star, full of talent and potential, begins to believe its own hype, only to fail due to overconfidence. Don't Believe the Hype: How Your Business's Rapid Growth Could Hurt You 2014-08-11T04:00:00Z Valuations in most sectors “remain generally in line with historical norms,” but there is evidence of overconfidence in sectors including junk bonds, she said. Yellen Tells Congress That Fed Will Continue to Help Economy 2014-07-15T04:00:00Z Slow and steady, the tortoise teaches the hare a lesson in overconfidence. Ecuador's Pricey PR Fuels Fight Against Chevron in Pollution Case 2014-07-14T04:00:00Z That was logical enough until the late 17th century, when the sighting of black swans in Australia revealed the limits of empiricism and the dangers of overconfidence in the predictability of life. HAYDEN: Sarajevo, black swans and today 2014-06-25T04:00:00Z In the case of overconfidence, the belief in one’s ability—however out of proportion to reality—generates its own infectious energy. Understanding The Seductive Power Of Overconfidence 2014-09-07T04:00:00Z I overlooked his tendency to take bad shots by assuming that his overconfidence was responsible for his bad judgment. Clayton Kershaw's no-hitter is the greatest game they never saw 2014-06-20T04:00:00Z “For the high-pay CEOs, with high overconfidence and high tenure, the effects are just crazy,” he says. The Highest-Paid CEOs Are The Worst Performers, New Study Says 2014-06-16T04:00:00Z While fear is propelling people to hoard cash on one end of the spectrum, overconfidence is driving the investments people are making on the other end, the State Street study found. Fear of Equities Drives More Investors to Cash 2014-06-06T04:00:00Z It's better than the overconfidence of previous tournaments. How to be an England fan 2014-05-31T04:00:00Z The study added the wrinkle of gauging the participants’ level of self-deception about their abilities, and found a strong correlation between the social sway of overconfidence and depth of self-deception. Understanding The Seductive Power Of Overconfidence 2014-09-07T04:00:00Z Some said overconfidence in a Sisi victory led some voters to bypass the election. Lagging turnout threatens to make election win in Egypt bittersweet 2014-05-27T04:00:00Z An underlying truth, however, may help explain the “why” of men’s overconfidence and help women come into their own: the power of thoughts. Women in the workplace Even Starbucks, which churns out customers’ morning coffee orders with precision, has fallen prey to overconfidence at times. Seeking Rapid Growth? Follow Warren Buffett's Advice: 'Don't Swing For The Fences' 2014-05-23T04:00:00Z In fact, the illusion of control is so powerful that overconfidence is an asset, not a liability, during disaster scenarios. Fearlessness: 3 Things You Can Learn From Special Ops and Navy SEALS 2014-05-03T04:01:38Z And though that doesn’t make the topic any less infuriating, it does throw some light on what makes overconfidence effective despite its reputation. Understanding The Seductive Power Of Overconfidence 2014-09-07T04:00:00Z DiCarprio mesmerizes as Cobb, mixing lost love, boyish intrigue, and overconfidence in a performance a notch or two better than the genre requires. The Top 10 Tech Movies of the Millennium 2014-04-03T15:20:35Z Filled with overconfidence, many participants lack the skills and training for these stunts. Personal Health: With the Thrills Come Extreme Risks 2014-03-31T16:10:31Z Of course they'll start as huge favourites, but those long accrued memories AND what happened against Wigan in will guard against overconfidence in most. Manchester City v Sunderland 2014-02-28T12:49:42Z That may sound like overconfidence for a brand new and untested series, but I’m not sure it’s unwarranted. Activision Has High Hopes For Destiny, Hearthstone And Heroes of the Storm 2014-02-07T15:26:00Z If you had to isolate why, it seems to come down to a matter of status—a commodity that overconfidence is expert at creating and nurturing. Understanding The Seductive Power Of Overconfidence 2014-09-07T04:00:00Z By most measures, overconfidence trumps under confidence every time. How Lack of Confidence Could Make You Rich 2014-01-23T14:06:17Z He emphasized mathematical models that contain elements of rationality but also take into account features like animal spirits, beliefs about rare events, and overconfidence, all of which I view as being more or less irrational. Economic View: The Rationality Debate, Simmering in Stockholm 2014-01-18T15:31:04Z In a fit of overconfidence, in other words, businesses bought more goods than there was demand for. GDP Growth Soars to 3.6% in Third Quarter: Will it Last? 2013-12-05T15:10:05Z In experiments social scientists have shown, by giving random subjects power over others, that even in small doses it produces overconfidence, insensitivity and an urge to associate with other people with power. Schumpeter: Going off the rails 2013-11-28T15:58:36Z When managed well, the social status conferred by overconfidence is an aura just shy of magical, capable of keeping our attention diverted from measurable results. Understanding The Seductive Power Of Overconfidence 2014-09-07T04:00:00Z Four of the most common are excessive optimism, overconfidence, aversion to a sure loss, and confirmation bias. Psychological Traps Snare BlackBerry Decision Makers 2013-11-07T19:10:00Z Similar studies on reading scores linked overconfidence to lower test scores and under-confidence with higher scores. Thinking You Did Great After the SAT is a Sign You Bombed 2013-11-05T12:14:14Z Their familiarity with the market led to overconfidence, while their industry colleagues and competitors provided an echo chamber that encouraged their bullishness. Weigh Job Security When Investing 2013-07-07T21:57:03Z People increasingly get rewarded for being confident and decisive, "even if sometimes it's really overconfidence," Sibony says. 4 Ways to Make Smarter Decisions 2013-06-17T14:15:00Z “There was a general overconfidence, and there was never a move to get something passed short of the ideal, so in the end, nothing got passed.” The ‘World’s Longest Labor Strike’ Ends in a Whimper 2013-05-31T09:45:41Z Two recent studies enlighten the perils of overconfidence, both with respect to the bearer of overconfidence and to those he or she influences. The Dark Side Of Confidence 2013-05-22T15:20:34Z But one could make a more plausible argument for the opposite: that we have developed a dangerous overconfidence in forensic science. Trials and error in Canada 2013-05-08T16:33:00Z For weeks, he toyed with Robert Guerrero, made him angry, made him jumpy, drew him right into the usual vortex of opponent overconfidence. Floyd Mayweather Beats Robert Guerrero to Retain World Boxing Council Welterweight Title 2013-05-05T05:00:42Z Empowered people are not only more confident that those with less power, they in fact exhibit hubristic overconfidence, both about events within their control and about events that are clearly outside their control. How to Ace an Interview: Feel Powerful 2013-03-26T10:45:00.380Z But had the success of the 1990s not bred so much military, economic, and ideological overconfidence on both sides of the aisle, it’s unlikely they would have tried. Hubris Landed Us in Iraq 2013-03-18T08:45:00Z Other research indicates that overconfidence backfires the moment inaccuracies are discovered, and consequently the advisor’s credibility is toast. The Dark Side Of Confidence 2013-05-22T15:20:34Z It started with the overconfidence of traders after a lucky bet made about $400m on the bankruptcy of American Airlines. JP Morgan hid mistakes as trade losses grew, Senate investigation finds 2013-03-14T23:24:31Z To detect overconfidence, Gino recommends asking candidates how they would handle difficult scenarios on the job. Why You Get Things Wrong (And What You Can Do About It) 2013-03-04T16:34:16Z Of course, the long-term demographic trends that, combined with a killer turnout game helped re-elect the president — despite Republicans’ innumerate overconfidence — still exist. Don’t count out angry white guys quite yet 2012-12-06T19:51:00Z Then, with the confluence of the trailer's determination and the front-runner's overconfidence, amazing occurs out of nowhere. Sounders trying to pull off a predictable shock 2012-11-18T03:08:03Z Throw in overconfidence and a habit of walking on people and you get self destructive behavior. Why Powerful Men Cheat 2012-11-16T10:55:00Z Hence the repeated message from Mike Catt, England's skills coach, that England need to keep calm and make the correct decisions at the right times rather than lapse into overconfidence. Mike Catt warns England of being overconfident against Australia 2012-11-13T22:00:03Z But overconfidence is a recipe for being surpassed -- just like as tortoise will do -- when you kick back and stare at that World Series ring too long. Opinionator: The Long Walk Home 2012-11-10T02:00:18Z One of the advantages to all the close calls is there's no danger of overconfidence. Titans' Jake Locker out with shoulder injury, Matt Hasselbeck stepping in | NFL notebook 2012-10-04T04:00:05Z His comfort with his environment and his distaste for displays of security, some quietly suggest, may have led to a touch of overconfidence that cost him his life. U.S. Ambassador to Libya Knew the Ways of the Arab Street 2012-09-15T16:30:38Z It’s much easier to hawk overconfidence, no matter if it’s any good. The Weatherman Is Not a Moron 2012-09-07T21:02:28Z Taken together with the results of the study on overconfidence, it would seem that jerks are inherently quite good at putting one over on us. Why Jerks Get Ahead 2012-08-19T03:42:48Z In a paper bristling with equations, Schanbacher shows that such overconfidence can actually be a rational choice – especially when people have no idea what the answer is. Overconfidence Can (Sometimes) Be Good for You 2012-07-13T13:35:33Z We also tend to exaggerate our ability to forecast the future, which fosters overconfidence.” Why Didn't More Of Us Call The Facebook IPO for What It Was? 2012-06-28T11:16:00Z Maybe a mix of heavy legs and overconfidence hindered Montreal in its quest for 2 consecutive wins. MLS Week 15: fan previews 2012-06-22T13:00:00Z Although drug-resistant strains were obviously anticipated under drug pressure, these experiences serve as a warning against overconfidence in predicting the timing and direction of influenza evolution. [Special Issue Policy Forum] Evolution, Safety, and Highly Pathogenic Influenza Viruses 2012-06-21T18:26:35.197Z United Coach Ben Olsen tried to temper any overconfidence following his team’s 3-2 win over the New England Revolution on May 26. United vs. Philadelphia: D.C. hopes to re-establish momentum after long layoff 2012-06-16T02:07:43Z This sort of confidence is contagious: The charismatic Steve Jobs’ was said to generate a “reality distortion field” that enabled him to infect all those around him with his own brand of overconfidence. Overconfidence Can (Sometimes) Be Good for You 2012-07-13T13:35:33Z “There’s no doubt that there was a sense of overconfidence there,” said Michael Greenberger, a professor of law at the University of Maryland and a former regulator with the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission. JPMorgan Ignored Warning on Risk Control 2012-06-04T00:59:06Z With that list of positives England have no cause for overconfidence, which makes a weirdly refreshing change. Euro 2012: How refreshing ? England for once does not expect 2012-05-19T22:00:01Z If not for the Lakers' game effort in Game 2, overconfidence would appear to be Oklahoma City's toughest opponent so far in the playoffs. Lakers prepare for back-to-back blitz vs. Thunder 2012-05-17T21:38:41Z To quote, Odean and Barber: “We believe there is a simple and powerful explanation for high levels of trading on financial markets: overconfidence.” Why We Need More Female Traders On Wall Street 2012-05-15T14:00:51Z But are there times when overconfidence can be a good thing – a seemingly unreasonable but in fact highly rational strategy that improves your odds for success? Overconfidence Can (Sometimes) Be Good for You 2012-07-13T13:35:33Z They also will speculate whether we were guilty of overconfidence. Sen. Richard Lugar?s searing concession statement ? read it here 2012-05-09T15:00:27Z A spirit of confidence at this time, indeed, of overconfidence, as later events proved, possessed the soldiers. The Young Sharpshooter at Antietam 2012-04-19T02:00:29.860Z This raises the level of confidence almost to overconfidence that nothing's going to happen because nothing has happened, which is not logical, of course. Is It Possible to Build an "Unsinkable" Ship? 2012-04-02T21:45:42.333Z By lulling her into overconfidence some day she will naturally grow careless, and then we'll have them all. The Million Dollar Mystery Novelized from the Scenario of F. Lonergan 2012-03-15T02:00:21.153Z In the real world, there’s considerable evidence that in certain situations overconfidence can be a very good thing indeed. Overconfidence Can (Sometimes) Be Good for You 2012-07-13T13:35:33Z Sadly, in the political world of educational policymakers and experts, there is no vaccine for overconfidence. Why it matters that ?experts? are poor predictors in education 2012-03-02T09:00:00Z “I would call it good confidence, not overconfidence,” he said. Mark Fields Is Ford?s Mr. Inside, and Its Heir Apparent 2012-02-18T20:02:51Z This work suggests that overconfidence, rather than skill, drives the proliferation of multitasking. Top Multitaskers Help Explain How Brain Juggles Thoughts 2012-02-16T16:45:00.243Z But in the South a woman's name is so secure that what in colder regions might be a film is here a sheet of steel; and overconfidence might seem a want of due consideration. Bolanyo 2012-02-12T03:00:14.503Z You wonder, though, whether a sense of entitlement had filtered through to the players, whether confidence became overconfidence. Africa Cup of Nations 2012: Zambia book date with destiny 2012-02-09T14:47:35Z "In the case of the banking industry, I think there was both overconfidence and, with the benefit of hindsight, over-rewards." RBS boss: I considered resigning 2012-02-08T16:00:11Z Perhaps overconfidence inspired in part by a strong stock market also played a role in American military history. Off the Charts: A Historical Cycle Bodes Ill for the Markets 2012-01-06T18:39:59Z Romney sought to dampen that overconfidence, telling a crowd of about 400, "Sure, I want to win Iowa but everybody wants to win Iowa." Romney looks more confident in Iowa vote run-up 2011-12-30T01:41:50Z This feeling of overconfidence in mankind breeds carelessness, and during the open season for tourists many of them are laid low. In Pastures New 2011-12-23T03:00:12.717Z Others, however, warn against overconfidence, noting that many Democrats were sure their party would retake City Hall in 2001. In New York City Mayor?s Race, Search for Dream Candidate 2011-12-12T02:27:03Z Are you sure all this isn't overconfidence and vanity? Contemporary One-Act Plays 2011-11-12T03:00:36.860Z The benefits of winning ourweigh the cost of losing, so overconfidence is warranted. The Evolution of Overconfidence, as explained by a shot of Jager and the boys from Jersey Shore 2011-11-01T16:15:03.907Z But overconfidence may have been part of the problem. Where Rick Perry's Campaign Went Wrong 2011-10-28T09:25:00Z The lack of success was due to Israel’s bombing of the Gaza Strip that began in late 2008, which angered the Turkish public, as much as to Ankara’s overconfidence in its diplomatic overtures. Letter from Europe: The Hazards in Turkey's New Strategy 2011-10-24T11:50:09Z It doesn’t seem like a doubtful chuckle, more like a “this guy’s the missing son of Jim Zorn” sort of chuckle, but that doesn’t reek of overconfidence either. Redskins vs. Panthers: A statement game for Washington 2011-10-21T21:15:21Z While he appears to be the clear front-runner there, there is the danger of overconfidence. New Hampshire?s Contrarian History of Primary Votes 2011-10-12T00:00:57Z Maybe, in this case, we just learn from our peers that overconfidence gets you places. The Evolution of Overconfidence, as explained by a shot of Jager and the boys from Jersey Shore 2011-11-01T16:15:03.907Z Lists efficiently overcame staff forgetfulness, haste and overconfidence, and rates of intravenous catheter infections, pneumonias and a variety of medical errors plummeted. Essay: Small Fixes: The Simplest Health Solutions? It?s Complicated 2011-09-26T22:14:50Z But relations remain good with the United States, even if American officials accuse Mr. Erdogan of overconfidence. In Mideast Riddle, Turkey Offers Itself as an Answer 2011-09-26T17:55:12Z In the Hound of the Baskervilles, he relies on the so-called Mr. Stapleton’s overconfidence in setting the trap for his eventual capture. Lessons from Sherlock Holmes: Confidence Is Good; Overconfidence, Not So Much 2011-09-06T22:45:00.237Z I'm always that little, quiet pessimist that's always a little bit worried of overconfidence. Sounders FC quote sheet: Schmid, Parke, Fucito, Keller 2011-08-30T23:16:04Z Recent studies show that overconfidence is a significant factor in increasing productivity. You?re the Boss Blog: This Week in Small Business: Downgrades, Upgrades and Doing Business in the U.K. 2011-08-15T11:00:24Z The Spartans tied for the Big Ten title last year and return several key offensive players, but there’s little sense of overconfidence as they begin practice. Michigan State confident but humble after tying for Big Ten title and being blown out in bowl 2011-08-08T18:48:00Z But the captain is also aware that another barrier to victory is overconfidence, warning that England expect a backlash from India. Strauss calls on England to live up to the hype at Trent Bridge 2011-07-28T21:00:06Z Only, overconfidence can blind us to the facts and make our reasoning go along very different lines: I am skilled enough that I can beat the environment as easily as I have been doing. Lessons from Sherlock Holmes: Confidence Is Good; Overconfidence, Not So Much 2011-09-06T22:45:00.237Z I find it strange that it's seen as overconfidence or an outlandish goal. Why shouldn't England aspire to be the world's No1, says Andy Flower 2011-07-18T14:56:21Z On the other hand, sometimes such overconfidence prevails and forces a re-examination of assumed premises. Federal Judge Holds Financial Fate of Wilpon and Katz 2011-07-07T02:21:23Z “It’s a fact that there was an unreasonable overconfidence in the technology of Japan’s nuclear power generation.” ?Safety Myth? Left Japan Ripe for Nuclear Crisis 2011-06-25T01:29:36Z Two of the Christian prisoners escaped, on the pretext of having to attend to a necessity, and also because of the negligence or overconfidence of the sentinel. Colonial Expeditions to the Interior of California Central Valley, 1800-1820 Anthropological Records 16(6):239-292, 1958 2011-06-13T02:00:22.167Z To prevent complacency and overconfidence, he said Danish pilots will rotate every six weeks, “to keep their edge.” News Analysis: Obama Subtly Shifts War Aims in Libya 2011-05-26T20:34:03Z The fatal overconfidence in the backwoods county was settled upon as the cause of the disaster. Sons and Fathers 2011-05-16T02:00:19.893Z Others may call it overconfidence in the correctness of one’s views. Federal Judge Holds Financial Fate of Wilpon and Katz 2011-07-07T02:21:23Z The critics may be right to criticize excessive overconfidence, but they are wrong to suggest that the fault lies in either formal models or statistical work. Economix: The Role of Economics in an Imperfect World 2011-05-10T10:00:06Z "One flaw that I worry about is that of overconfidence." Nuclear safety: Reactors, residents and risk 2011-04-27T17:20:24.820Z It’s between no price for carbon and any price…” If you agree this was a problem, was climate campaigners’ unwillingness to compromise the result of overconfidence or something else? Dot Earth: Two Views of Climate Cause and Effect 2011-04-25T22:14:53Z Yet overconfidence also develops as a result of the brain’s natural tendency to find shortcuts — and to quickly forget that it used them. Mind: Come on, I Thought I Knew That! 2011-04-18T21:03:47Z Similar overconfidence ruled parts of the seismological community in Japan. This is not a drill 2011-04-13T17:20:09.030Z Even they suffered a little, at first, from overconfidence. Seeing Things at Night 2011-04-10T02:00:05.360Z Kenneth had lost his vaunting air of self-assertion and overconfidence, and was very quiet. The Hills of Refuge A Novel 2011-04-09T02:00:10.530Z In each case, overconfidence born of experience led to increased risks once a disaster unfolded. High & Low Finance: Japan?s Meltdown and the Global Economy?s 2011-03-17T18:39:23Z Katsuhiko Ishibashi, a seismology professor at Kobe University, has said Japan’s history of nuclear accidents stems from an overconfidence in plant engineering. Japan Nuclear Disaster Caps Decades of Faked Reports, Accidents 2011-03-17T15:22:44Z Ultimately, healthy entrepreneurial leadership exists in a balanced place between narcissistic overconfidence and an immobilizing despair at our inevitable insufficiencies. Lessons From "The Kings Speech" 2011-03-03T14:33:00Z And then Lavin received a question from a reporter about how to manage expectations and diminish overconfidence. Villanova Is Merely Another Milestone for St. John?s 2011-02-27T02:12:53Z Take the wrong options against powerful but unpredictable opposition and they will be back in a frustrating cul-de-sac, cursing their overconfidence and still no closer to their preferred destination. Six Nations 2011: Mike Tindall warns England about Dimitri Yachvili 2011-02-25T20:56:14Z Wasn't it consumer overconfidence that led so many people to become so deep in debt in the first place? When it comes to credit cards, the good news only goes so far 2011-02-24T02:21:01Z After losing to Stanford by 44 points last month, the Women of Troy were hoping a touch of overconfidence would creep into the minds of Cardinal players. No. 3 Stanford women prevail at USC | College basketball 2011-02-19T06:27:03Z One threat is overconfidence, a key ingredient in the technology and housing bubbles that plagued the global economy during the past decade and in the financial excesses in Asia in the 1990s. Uneven Global Growth Bedevils CEOs 2011-01-26T02:09:17Z "I don't think overconfidence is going to be one of our problems right now," Van Gundy said, chuckling. Celtics, Magic rematch with a Christmas Day twist 2010-12-24T18:58:08Z An antidote to overconfidence and self-focus in business leaders may lie in building more focused cultures in our business schools. For Business Schools, Culture Matters 2010-12-23T18:20:00Z Even though Republican optimism is high in the closing days, party leaders have ordered lawmakers and candidates to avoid overconfidence. G.O.P. Is Poised To Seize House, If Not Senate 2010-10-23T23:10:00Z "We're not in that mode of fearing overconfidence," Carroll said, laughing. Bears' Cutler ready for Seahawks 2010-10-17T07:16:00Z Consistent with that hypothesis, long-term partners in the new study expressed more overconfidence in their knowledge about each others’ preferences than people in short relationships did. Getting to Not Know You 2010-10-14T15:19:00Z "There's still room for improvement," Mageo said, dismissing concerns about overconfidence. NC State Gets Stiff Test to No. 23 Ranking 2010-09-27T20:42:00Z What's more important is to recognize that it's human nature to fall prey to our biases, which include overconfidence, short-term thinking and inertia. How to outsmart your biases 2010-09-25T23:18:00Z It’s a place where foolish overconfidence is a badge of honor — search the city seal, it’s probably in there somewhere — and its teams always seem to make the perfect trash-talking, umpire-duping, controversy-a-day foils. Leading Off: Home of Overconfidence? 2010-09-16T16:50:00Z These decision-makers may have been betrayed by a flaw that has been documented in hundreds of studies: overconfidence. Economic View: The Overconfidence Problem in Forecasting 2010-08-21T21:56:00Z The Netherlands reached the 1974 and '78 finals with some of soccer's greatest players, but each time the host nation - West Germany and then Argentina - beat Oranje teams with a reputation for overconfidence. Final focus: Dutch ready to play smart game 2010-07-07T15:49:00Z What we've done in the last two years, though, is to try and eradicate that complacency and overconfidence. World Cup 2010: Bert van Marwijk urges Holland to erase complacency 2010-07-06T22:54:00Z Dutch courage, maybe Brazilian overconfidence and certainly a foul that resulted in a red card for Felipe Melo of Brazil turned things around. On Soccer: Just When World Cup Had a Theme, the Story Line Takes a Turn 2010-07-05T00:52:00Z Which means they should bring it to New York for some foolish overconfidence. Leading Off: Home of Overconfidence? 2010-09-16T16:50:00Z Just like C.F.O.’s, chief executives often suffer from overconfidence, which can cause them to act unwisely. Economic View: The Overconfidence Problem in Forecasting 2010-08-21T21:56:00Z His thesis is not new, but it is indefatigably rendered: America’s shortcomings flow entirely from hubris or overconfidence, much as the mythical Icarus perished because he flew too near the sun. Book Review - The Icarus Syndrome - By Peter Beinart 2010-06-11T16:38:00Z It's not just the usual case of overconfidence. The World Cup Doesn't Need Us 2010-06-10T03:36:00Z In truth, though, the Blackhawks most dangerous adversary might be overconfidence. Chicago punches way to 2-0 series lead 2010-06-01T07:06:00Z Flower is guarding against overconfidence, aware that success in the semi-finals would count for little if their imperious form evaporates away under the heat and pressure of tomorrow's match. Kevin Pietersen is flying but England must improve, says Andy Flower 2010-05-14T23:36:00Z First, we shouldn’t expect that the competition to become a top manager will weed out overconfidence. Economic View: The Overconfidence Problem in Forecasting 2010-08-21T21:56:00Z Stock pros are watching individual investors carefully for overconfidence, which could be a sign the rally is ending. Why Rising Bullishness Could Derail Stocks 2010-04-26T01:29:00Z The IMF is worried about overconfidence among the world's leading economic. Greece races for rescue plan, meets finance chiefs 2010-04-24T17:31:00Z Economic reality quickly catches up with the pervasive overconfidence that first set the bubble aloft, and it bursts. Magazine Preview: The Tiger Woods' Bubble 2010-03-24T16:50:00Z While the Fed noted pockets of improvement in business spending and the return of some stability to the labor market, the overall tone was not one of overconfidence. The Fed: Still Inching Toward a Policy Exit 2010-03-17T01:30:00Z One route to the corner office is to combine overconfidence with luck, which can be hard to distinguish from skill. Economic View: The Overconfidence Problem in Forecasting 2010-08-21T21:56:00Z But overconfidence may have tripped up the government as it sought to project its newly minted membership in the league of developed nations. Chile Earthquake: Government Needs to Build Social Trust 2010-03-04T22:50:00Z And Mr. Mulally has to be wary of overconfidence after his recent success. 2010-01-09T21:32:00Z It may be the function of Contingency to correct the overconfidence of the evolutionist. The Ifs of History Harvard overconfidence was a byword when he was in college, and it was overconfidence which he feared now. The Bachelors A Novel For example, in a 1986 paper, the economist Richard Roll of the , suggested that overconfidence, or what he called hubris, could explain why companies pay large premiums to take over other businesses. Economic View: The Overconfidence Problem in Forecasting 2010-08-21T21:56:00Z Cain was the kind who would try such a crazy stunt, alone, with such supreme overconfidence in his own muscle power. The Women-Stealers of Thrayx For he knew that the Doctor never lost a fight through overconfidence. In the Heart of a Fool Develop confidence in yourself—not overconfidence that depends upon yourself, but that true confidence that depends upon God helping you and that arms you with courage and trust in God and in yourself. Heart Talks "If it would not be a case of overconfidence," he said quietly to his companions, "I should say that Harvard was going to win!" The Bachelors A Novel Avoiding overconfidence, therefore, which so often leads to failure, each man must put his shoulder to the wheel, and contribute his best efforts to the one great end, regardless of private sacrifices. Blackwood's Edinburgh Magazine, Volume 62, Number 361, November, 1845. We got to the border line without any trouble whatever, but were caught through overconfidence, due to a mistake in the map. World's War Events, Vol. II “I just wanted to take some of that overconfidence out of your system, that’s all!” Boy Scouts in the North Sea The Mystery of a Sub But that gentleman spoiled it all by his own overconfidence. Duffels I am not ashamed to confess that I cried over the loss of this poor little victim of overconfidence in human beings. Bidwell's Travels, from Wall Street to London Prison Fifteen Years in Solitude And the Terran read into that the overconfidence which he believed would be part of the enemy's character. Storm Over Warlock Confidence is a necessary thing in billiards, but overconfidence is bad. Chapters from My Autobiography I held back the triumph, however, wary of overconfidence. The Door Through Space There, too, he perforce delayed his jubilation until the lapse of some eighteen months after the date provisionally and prematurely fixed in the first ebullition of overconfidence, for his triumphal procession through Paris. Raemaekers' Cartoons With Accompanying Notes by Well-known English Writers Although he brought upon his country a bitter humiliation, the fact that he died sword in hand, his last thought for his flag and his service, has atoned for his faults of rashness and overconfidence. The Fight for a Free Sea: A Chronicle of the War of 1812 The Chronicles of America Series, Volume 17 Learn from this never to plan, and always to beware of overconfidence. The Best Short Stories of 1921 and the Yearbook of the American Short Story It might easily have been made so, by cutting a deep gap across it; but here, as at Athlone, his overconfidence proved his destruction. Orange and Green A Tale of the Boyne and Limerick The Americans had good cause to believe the enemy had had enough; but Putnam knew the foe and cautioned them against overconfidence. "Old Put" The Patriot Through apathy, indifference and overconfidence, the Democratic candidate, Dr. Landrum, was elected to fill this vacancy. The Facts of Reconstruction Yes, always—a genuine condemnation of the hated thing as an unrighteous thing, as an unjust usurpation, as an inexcusable privilege, as a sinful overconfidence. Mr. Britling Sees It Through In fact, he weakened so suddenly, that Ivan, believing victory his, released his hold; and this overconfidence almost proved the Cossack's undoing. The Boy Allies in the Balkan Campaign Or, the Struggle to Save a Nation Pride goes before a fall, and overconfidence in his ability to improvise has been the downfall of many a would-be speaker. Toaster's Handbook Jokes, Stories, and Quotations The last time he missed his cast through overconfidence. Red Saunders His Adventures West & East And it all came back to him in sickening memory, the flaunting challenge of this man, the fierce struggle, his own overconfidence, and then his crushing defeat. Through the Wall To dream of being interested in common gossip, you will undergo some humiliating trouble caused by overconfidence in transient friendships. Ten Thousand Dreams Interpreted, or what's in a dream: a scientific and practical exposition His overconfidence led him to strike a false note. The Round-Up A romance of Arizona novelized from Edmund Day's melodrama He shrewdly foresaw that the very magnitude of what the British had done would lull them into overconfidence and inaction, and would stir the Americans to more determined effort. It Can Be Done Poems of Inspiration "Oh, you must tell me all about your old home," he said, with an air of overconfidence to conceal his nervousness; "and we must show you about London a bit; it's a tidy little place." At Love's Cost His overconfidence was so extreme and fatuous that he weakened his army by sending a detachment to lay siege to the town of Jiefan. China Like some mastodon of old, the party floundered deeper into the swamp, eventually to succumb, leaving only its bones as a warning to the danger of overconfidence. The United States of America, Part 1 He's sure he can win, but" —Fresno shook his head, doubtfully—"there's such a thing as overconfidence. Going Some Let no one say he was punished for his overconfidence—for his presumption! Warlock o' Glenwarlock But still I felt so absolutely sure that I should know when I approached the bridge that, perhaps through overconfidence, I was caught napping. Over Prairie Trails His action was certainly precipitate, and marked by overconfidence, for the army of Leaoutung was composed of soldiers of a warlike race accustomed to victory. China The consciousness that knowledge is too difficult, or is positively wanting here and there, destroys overconfidence in the completeness of one's attainments and awakens the need of further study. How to Study and Teaching How to Study "Well, such a thought had occurred to me," Hal admitted, "but I supposed no one was on guard through overconfidence." The Boy Allies with Haig in Flanders Or, the Fighting Canadians of Vimy Ridge —There would be, of course, the danger of overconfidence. Japan: an Attempt at Interpretation |
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