| 单词 | disinflation |
| 例句 | Retail sales proved strong while producer prices inflation, coming soon after the below-forecast core inflation, reinforced the disinflation theme and supported views of a peak in U.S. rates. Asia stocks waver, expectations of Fed pause intact after data 2023-11-16T05:00:00Z It's unlikely to be all smooth sailing from here and disinflation may not always be so 'immaculate'. Boom at last for 'Big Long' in bonds: Mike Dolan 2023-11-15T05:00:00Z "The biggest contributors to October disinflation, falling energy, core goods prices and decelerating shelter inflation are all the outer layers of the Fed's 'inflation onion' that won't contribute to disinflation forever." Slowing US inflation boosts hopes Fed done with rate hikes 2023-11-14T05:00:00Z “If you want to use any term, ‘disinflation’ would be my preference, but what we are seeing today is mainly the result of a supply excess, rather than a collapse in demand,” he said. Stock market today: Asian shares mostly higher after China reports that prices fell in October 2023-11-08T05:00:00Z "By encouraging disinflation, strong productivity and labour supply gains might allow for job growth and low inflation to coexist," he added. Asia shares rise as markets look for early rate cuts 2023-11-06T05:00:00Z But "if real growth continues apace, disinflation runs its course and enough inflation eventually returns to pull the Fed back into a tightening cycle." Productivity adds the anesthetic to Powell's pain-free disinflation 2023-11-03T04:00:00Z ECB board member Isabel Schnabel said on Thursday the "last mile" of disinflation may be the toughest, and the central bank cannot yet close the door on further rate rises. Dollar slips as traders bet Fed done with rate hikes 2023-11-03T04:00:00Z Globally, "markets continue to hope for disinflation to continue smoothly, but don't take disinflation for granted," they wrote in a note on Friday. US tech stocks gain in mixed global moves as inflation lingers 2023-10-27T04:00:00Z In a note Friday they wrote that globally "markets continue to hope for disinflation to continue smoothly, but don't take disinflation for granted." Global shares mixed as U.S. inflation declines 2023-10-27T04:00:00Z "There's a lot of evidence of disinflation really kicking in throughout the economy," said David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation. Nasdaq, S&P 500 edge higher as Amazon, Intel lift megacaps 2023-10-27T04:00:00Z The bank said its Monetary Policy Committee “decided to continue the monetary tightening process in order to establish the disinflation course as soon as possible.” Turkey’s central bank opts for another interest rate hike in efforts to curb inflation 2023-10-26T04:00:00Z Powell will have to say if that has shaken his faith in continued "disinflation." Fed's Powell faces 'what, me worry?' moment of spiking bond yields, war, political stalemate 2023-10-16T04:00:00Z The currency hit a 16-year low, investors have dumped the country's stocks and bonds, the property sector is imploding and disinflation is threatening to morph into outright deflation. Morning Bid: After US, inflation focus turns to China 2023-10-12T04:00:00Z Some analysts feel by then the shelter disinflation Powell and his colleagues have anticipated will be in full swing. Housing remains a puzzle in Fed's inflation fight 2023-10-12T04:00:00Z This bodes well for goods disinflation, but the striking auto workers could boost prices of motor vehicles. US manufacturing sector nears recovery; construction spending solid 2023-10-02T04:00:00Z A key inflation measure fell in August, adding to what many economists feel is likely to be a steady disinflation. Explainer: Charting the Fed's data flow 2023-09-29T04:00:00Z The disinflation process is underway, but it still requires tight monetary policy, he added. Brazil's central bank chief says tight policy needed despite inflation easing 2023-09-27T04:00:00Z “The disinflation we’re seeing,” he wrote in his study, “is therefore broad and could continue.” Why the US job market has defied rising interest rates and expectations of high unemployment 2023-09-25T04:00:00Z Chief among the irritants for the central banks has been the rebound in crude oil price and the fading annual base effects that have flattered headline disinflation progress this year. Morning Bid: Dot plots, oil blots and auto strikes 2023-09-18T04:00:00Z Konczal tries to resolve the issue by comparing disinflation across different goods and services. On inflation, score one for optimists | Paul Krugman 2023-09-12T04:00:00Z "Overall, the disinflation story in Mexico is continuing, despite a resilient labor market and solid wage growth," said Pantheon Macroeconomics' Chief Latin America Economist Andres Abadia. Mexican core inflation slows more than expected to 20-month low 2023-09-07T04:00:00Z "Whether regarding the disinflation programme or fiscal policies, the support of our president is full. We not only feel it, but also see it, it is tangible," he told journalists. Turkey's economic programme has Erdogan's full support, Simsek says 2023-09-07T04:00:00Z "Overall, the disinflation story in Mexico is continuing, despite a resilient labour market and solid wage growth," said Pantheon Macroeconomics' Chief Latin America Economist Andres Abadia. Mexican inflation slows for seventh consecutive month in August 2023-09-07T04:00:00Z Roiled by an oil price spike and dour August business soundings, world markets struggled again on Wednesday as they assessed a messy disinflation picture that complicates prospects hopes for peak interest rates. AMERICAS Restive markets simmer after oil sideswipe 2023-09-06T04:00:00Z August global business soundings continue to make a grating noise in Europe and China while disinflation hopes have been sideswiped by a rebounding oil price - leaving the U.S. dollar to surge anew. AMERICAS Global business splutters, dollar surges 2023-09-05T04:00:00Z The end of China's economic boom will likely hurt commodity exporters and export disinflation around the world. Analysis: Part of China's economic miracle was a mirage. Reality check is next 2023-09-03T04:00:00Z "The Fed has to see substantial disinflation in core services before it can consider letting its guard down on inflation," said Conrad DeQuadros, senior economic advisor at Brean Capital in New York. US consumer spending accelerates; declining savings a red flag 2023-08-31T04:00:00Z "We are seeing disinflation trend persist in the U.S. alongside indicators that suggest that the Fed is likely near the end of their hiking cycle." US equal-weighted funds shine as investors look beyond Big Tech 2023-08-30T04:00:00Z That's a moment in the whole disinflation story as it virtually wipes out the negative annual base effect so powerful this year in helping drag headline inflation rates back down. AMERICAS Restive markets simmer after oil sideswipe 2023-09-06T04:00:00Z Federal Reserve is unlikely to provide clear signals on whether it will pause interest rate hikes or consider cutting rates, barring severe economic weakness or disinflation, former central bankers said on Tuesday. S&P 500 ends sharply higher, jobs data fuels interest rate optimism 2023-08-29T04:00:00Z Federal Reserve is unlikely to provide clear signals on whether it will pause interest rate hikes or consider cutting rates, barring severe economic weakness or disinflation, former central bankers said on Tuesday. Dollar drops on jobs data, yen rises from 10-month low 2023-08-29T04:00:00Z Federal Reserve is unlikely to provide clear signals on whether it will pause interest rate hikes or consider cutting rates, barring severe economic weakness or disinflation, former central bankers said on Tuesday. Key US jobs data boost Fed's 'soft-landing' hopes 2023-08-29T04:00:00Z "The rest of the world has to make sure that they are ready for the potential risk that we're not there yet in terms of the U.S. disinflation." Analysis: U.S. growth, a puzzle to policymakers, could pose global risks 2023-08-27T04:00:00Z At the very least, it suggest the low-hanging fruit on the disinflation path may already have been picked, and central banks may have to battle harder from here to get inflation down to 2% goals. AMERICAS Restive markets simmer after oil sideswipe 2023-09-06T04:00:00Z August's 20% surge in European gas prices suggests disinflation could be slow. Take Five: Farewell to a bruising August 2023-08-25T04:00:00Z This is a paradox since historically, significant disinflation has always come with a rise in unemployment. Momentum growing for ECB rate hike pause as growth falters -sources 2023-08-25T04:00:00Z Treasury note pulled back from near 16-year highs after weak business activity data from the United States and the euro zone hinted at global disinflation. Wall St gains in run up to Nvidia's high-stakes results 2023-08-23T04:00:00Z European bourses were higher too, helped by disinflation hopes as annual German producer prices fell for the first time in two-and-a-half years. Morning Bid: Bonds burn on as China rate cut underwhelms 2023-08-21T04:00:00Z "Surging energy prices are officially the new elephant in the China shop, threatening to break the disinflation/soft landing narrative," Sycamore wrote in a client note. Dollar in holding pattern as US inflation test looms; PBOC supports yuan 2023-08-10T04:00:00Z “I would say though that there’s a pathway….We’ve seen so far the beginnings of disinflation without any real costs in the labor market. And that’s a really good thing.” US inflation has steadily cooled. Getting it down to the Fed’s target rate will be the toughest mile 2023-08-08T04:00:00Z That could either mean the labour market is behaving differently than in the past or that disinflation will eventually hit a wall. Momentum growing for ECB rate hike pause as growth falters -sources 2023-08-25T04:00:00Z CPI report for signs that disinflation has really set in after June’s report showed the smallest annual increases in consumer prices for two years. Marketmind: Wall St set for rebound after worst week since March 2023-08-07T04:00:00Z China is expected to report outright disinflation, with analysts looking for an annual CPI drop of around 0.5% and producer prices down about 4%. Morning Bid: Caution the watchword for inflation tests 2023-08-07T04:00:00Z The 17% climb in Brent combined with upward pressure on food prices from the war in Ukraine and global warming, is a threat to hopes for continued disinflation across the developed world. Asia shares wary ahead of U.S., China inflation data 2023-08-07T04:00:00Z But the El Nino impact on agricultural production and electricity generation could complicate disinflation, and lead to higher-for-longer rates. How El Nino threatens emerging market economies 2023-08-04T04:00:00Z And those metrics suggest, Goolsbee said, that the Fed is on the "golden path" of disinflation without a recession. Fed's Goolsbee says he is a 'closet' inflation optimist 2023-08-01T04:00:00Z Goods disinflation is helping to dampen price pressures in the economy, with annual inflation decelerating sharply in June. US manufacturing shows signs of stabilizing at lower levels in July, ISM says 2023-08-01T04:00:00Z “The overall resilience of the economy — the fact that we’ve been able to achieve disinflation so far” is “a good thing,” Jerome H. Powell, the Fed chair, said during a news conference this week. The Fed’s Preferred Inflation Measure Cooled in June 2023-07-28T04:00:00Z "The key question going forward is how disinflation and an economic slowdown will impact spending, along with the risk of price wars developing," Pinon said. European earnings face a low bar, but investor patience wears thin 2023-07-28T04:00:00Z Economists and financial traders have grown more optimistic that what some call “immaculate disinflation” — a steady easing of inflation pressures without an economic downturn — can be achieved. Key question as Federal Reserve meets: Can the central bank pull off a difficult ‘soft landing’? 2023-07-24T04:00:00Z Traders in the stock market don’t seem to care what’s behind the recent disinflation. The Markets Are Counting on the Fed to Solve a Tricky Puzzle 2023-07-21T04:00:00Z That has sobered up the Treasury market a touch after a couple of weeks of disinflation relief. Morning Bid: Dollar flexes into Fed week, calm returns 2023-07-21T04:00:00Z Much of the recent disinflation has come as unusual shifts that took place during and after the pandemic have slowly faded. The Fed’s Preferred Inflation Measure Cooled in June 2023-07-28T04:00:00Z Elsewhere, European shares advanced again - encouraged by disinflation signals in Britain and around the region. Morning Bid: Tesla, Netflix underwhelm 2023-07-20T04:00:00Z The current debate is whether more rate increases might be needed to ensure "disinflation" continues or if doing more could cause unnecessary damage to the economy. Fed's last rate hike coming at July meeting, economists say 2023-07-19T04:00:00Z In short, we have been experiencing a remarkably benign reduction in inflation — what is sometimes being called “immaculate disinflation” — and it is a wonderful thing. The Markets Are Counting on the Fed to Solve a Tricky Puzzle 2023-07-21T04:00:00Z "While there is progress, the job is not yet done — monetary policy must stay the course. A premature celebration can reverse the hard-won gains made so far in the disinflation process." IMF chief: Prospects for medium-term global growth weak 2023-07-18T04:00:00Z But they have risen in recent days amid a major refinery shutdown, a trend that could slow future disinflation if it persists into August. The Fed’s Preferred Inflation Measure Cooled in June 2023-07-28T04:00:00Z China's spluttering recovery set the tone for world markets on Monday after a bumper week of U.S. disinflation news was capped with impressive bank results and rising consumer confidence. Morning Bid: China falls short and oil ebbs but banks impress 2023-07-17T04:00:00Z G20 countries also need to tighten fiscal policy to ensure debt sustainability, create fiscal space and to help support disinflation by reducing aggregate demand, the Fund said. IMF sees 'pockets of resilience,' slowing momentum in global economy 2023-07-13T04:00:00Z "Today's PPI numbers for June are expected to reinforce the disinflation trends being seen rippling out through the global economy," Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets wrote in a note. Futures point to more gains on Wall St as inflation eases 2023-07-13T04:00:00Z Significantly, two-year inflation expectations embedded in pricing of inflation-protected Treasury securities dropped as low as 1.93% - riffing not only on the CPI report, but a slew of other positive disinflation signals this week. AMERICAS Markets bet July 2023 is 'peak Fed' 2023-07-13T04:00:00Z Still, encouraged by a screed of other positive disinflation signals this week, U.S. markets are relatively buoyant going into the release and still feel the end of the Fed rate rise campaign is nigh. Morning Bid: Dollar swoons in upbeat inflation vigil 2023-07-12T04:00:00Z Even though falling import and export prices in June reinforced the disinflation picture, two-year Treasury yields recouped some of the week's steep declines. Morning Bid: China falls short and oil ebbs but banks impress 2023-07-17T04:00:00Z A volte face in Treasury yields has improved investors' mood considerably this week as excitement about U.S. disinflation builds despite conflicting signals from around the world. Morning Bid: Bond yields recoil on disinflation buzz 2023-07-11T04:00:00Z Last week’s bond market storm calmed somewhat on Monday, but the interest rate horizon now relies heavily on evidence of more disinflation given economic activity and the labor market are holding up so well. Marketmind: Bruised bonds relying on disinflation 2023-07-10T04:00:00Z Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said last Thursday that he believes no more rate increases are needed, noting “the data, survey results, and on-the-ground intelligence constitute a reasonable case that gradual disinflation will continue.” Fed meeting minutes to offer clues on future rate hike appetite 2023-07-05T04:00:00Z After more encouraging data on disinflation during May, a Fed research paper released on Friday showed financial conditions were at their tightest since the banking crash more than a decade ago. Morning Bid: Minutes meted, China crunch 2023-07-05T04:00:00Z "We do think the current level of policy rates isn't high enough given the data backdrop and the size of the disinflation task for the RBA," said Taylor Nugent, economist at NAB. POLL RBA to raise rates to 4.35% on July 4 but decision on a knife edge 2023-06-30T04:00:00Z Earlier in the day, Brazil's central bank did confirm that a majority of its monetary policy committee see a rate cut in August as possible if the ongoing disinflation process continues. Brazil inflation slows as central bank foresees August rate cut 2023-06-27T04:00:00Z In the minutes, the bank pointed out that some members still support the need to observe a further decrease in long-term inflation expectations and more evidence of disinflation in the more cyclically sensitive components. Brazil central bank signals possibility of rate cut in August by majority view 2023-06-27T04:00:00Z While those comments are likely more directed at European policymakers, where disinflation is lagging, markets also still expect the Fed to push ahead with at least one more interest rate rise next month. Morning Bid: China supports, peak rate haze 2023-06-27T04:00:00Z "Central banks will be looking for signs of disinflation consolidation and macro rebalancing before starting to credibly reduce the level of monetary policy restrictiveness," he said. Analysis: Latin America, after record tightening, could lead way on rate cuts 2023-06-26T04:00:00Z What happens next depends on how quickly inflation falls, and “the pace of disinflation has been so uncertain so far,” she said. Stock Market Rally on Pause as Investors Take Cue from the Fed 2023-06-23T04:00:00Z A statement from the bank’s Monetary Policy Committee said it had decided to begin “the monetary tightening process in order to establish the disinflation course as soon as possible.” Turkey’s central bank sharply raises interest rates. That could signal an economic turnaround 2023-06-21T04:00:00Z But even as U.S. investors welcome the domestic disinflation picture more generally, overseas anxieties persist - most obviously in Britain. Marketmind: Powell patter, UK shock, FedEx warning 2023-06-21T04:00:00Z That’s partly because most of the factors that have helped inflation to fall so far have been widely anticipated, sort of the low-hanging fruit of disinflation. Is the Inflation Battle Won? Not Yet. 2023-06-21T04:00:00Z “Core inflation dynamics have turned, but the disinflation process is likely to be unusually slow and bumpy,” he said in a research note. The Fed has paused. How long will Europe’s central bank keep raising rates in a shaky economy? 2023-06-15T04:00:00Z An outlier among its global peers, the People's Bank of China is battling disinflation - perhaps even deflation soon - and an under-performing economy that has significantly soured investors' outlook on the country's financial assets. Morning Bid: Can risk appetite resist Fed's hawkish skip? 2023-06-14T04:00:00Z As S&P500 stocks clock their highest close of the year, marking a technical 20% 'bull market' from October's low, disinflation signals around the world may help calm G3 central bankers meeting next week. Morning Bid: Wall St 'bull', China deflation 2023-06-09T04:00:00Z At the same time, thanks to this year's bumper crops, additional disinflation is coming from the food industry, with unexpected moderation of price markups in supermarkets giving consumers more relief at the check out. Brazil's May inflation seen at eight-month low, opening window for rate cuts 2023-06-06T04:00:00Z “As disappointment kicks in, we see a rising risk of a downward spiral, resulting in weaker activity data, rising unemployment, persistent disinflation, falling market interest rates and a weaker currency.” Investors Have Soured on China’s Stocks, Renewing Fears About Economy 2023-06-02T04:00:00Z Some Fed economists and policymakers feel a point of steady "disinflation" may be close, and hinges only on families and businesses spending final doses of pandemic-era cash. Ex-Fed chief Bernanke says labor costs becoming more prominent in inflation 2023-05-23T04:00:00Z But more hikes are likely as it could be 2025 before inflation is back at target and the "last mile" of disinflation, getting from 3% to 2%, could be especially difficult, taking nearly 2 years. Euro zone inflation ticks up in April 2023-05-17T04:00:00Z Accordingly, he said, "the prospects for continued disinflation are good but not guaranteed." Fed's Bullard: disinflation prospects 'good' but not guaranteed 2023-05-13T04:00:00Z "Has the current disinflation been uneven and slower than any of us would like? Yes. But my reading of this evidence is that we are 'doing what is necessary or expected' of us." Fed's Jefferson, Biden's vice chair pick, says Fed 'on track' 2023-05-13T04:00:00Z Against all that, markets have also been absorbing fresh signs of U.S. disinflation, a decent corporate earnings season and a spur to Big Tech stocks from artificial intelligence breakthroughs. AMERICAS Debt cap tick-tock leaves eerie calm 2023-05-12T04:00:00Z Investor relief that ongoing U.S. disinflation takes pressure off the Federal Reserve to resume its 14-month interest rate rise campaign remains tempered by debt ceiling anxiety. Morning Bid: Disinflation cheer, debt cap fear 2023-05-11T04:00:00Z “The evidence of disinflation is slowly but surely mounting. Certainly, inflation is not accelerating down, but it's crawling its way down. So, I think the Federal continues to be data dependent.” Instant View: Fed hikes another 25 basis points, hints it may be the last increase 2023-05-03T04:00:00Z Her comments were echoed by others who feel the narrative shared by three top central banks of relatively cost-free disinflation rests on shaky ground. Analysis: Central banks have yet to script final act of inflation fight as risks rise 2023-04-17T04:00:00Z World markets have surged this week on renewed hopes of disinflation, peak interest rates and a soft economic landing - and earnings from Wall Street's biggest banks now test the thesis. AMERICAS Banks to test soft landing thesis 2023-04-14T04:00:00Z Part of the disconnect, economists say, stems from the nature of recent disinflation: Energy costs, which have fallen 6.4 percent in the past year, have led much of the cool-down. Inflation is falling. Why aren’t people noticing? 2023-04-12T04:00:00Z "While disinflation trends continue and broadened across headline, core and supercore measures, the CPI report is hardly an all clear on inflation," strategists at Saxo Markets said. Dollar eases as US inflation cools 2023-04-13T04:00:00Z Nevertheless, the disinflation road is likely to be bumpy, with pressure coming from the cost of services away from housing. US consumer prices rise moderately in March; underlying inflation still hot 2023-04-12T04:00:00Z Recent inflation readings "show that disinflation is proceeding slowly - which is disappointing, to say the least," Harker said. Fed's Harker wants interest rates to get above 5%, then sit 2023-04-11T04:00:00Z And with disinflation and rate cuts expected to proceed faster in the United States than in Europe, the U.S.-Germany two -year bond yield premium hit its lowest since late 2021. AMERICAS Banks to test soft landing thesis 2023-04-14T04:00:00Z The disinflation picture was encouraged around the world on Tuesday as Chinese consumer price inflation hit an 18-month low last month and the annual decline in factory prices sped up. Morning Bid: Glass half full on disinflation 2023-04-11T04:00:00Z Even getting it positive would have to assume further significant disinflation while the Fed at least holds rates high for months - all of which is slightly at odds with market pricing. Morning Bid: Markets labor under recession cloud 2023-04-05T04:00:00Z An aggravating jump in crude oil prices greets the start of the second quarter as investors try to figure out whether OPEC's surprise weekend output cut frustrates disinflation or just reflects weakening world demand. Morning Bid: Crude cut complicates Q2 2023-04-03T04:00:00Z "On the other hand, if data show continued strength in the economy and slower disinflation, we may have more work to do." Fed's Cook to weigh financial conditions in setting policy 2023-03-31T04:00:00Z It is now well off its multi-decade highs, and while disinflation is likely to be bumpy, with continued pressure from wages on both sides of the Atlantic, the slope is clearly downwards. Analysis: End of central bank rate hikes now firmly on the horizon 2023-03-23T04:00:00Z But world markets now bet their interest rate rise campaigns are over amid fears that an unfolding credit crunch resulting from increasingly stressed banks just hastens recession and disinflation on its own. Morning Bid: Fed halt being priced as bank blaze smoulders 2023-03-20T04:00:00Z Meanwhile projections for underlying inflation, an indicator of the durability of price growth, are set to be raised, suggesting that disinflation will be protracted and monetary policy will have to remain tight for some time. ECB rate hike plans clouded by financial turmoil 2023-03-15T04:00:00Z Powell gave that impression to some investors last month, when, during his press conference after February's monetary policy meeting, he repeatedly spoke about signs of "disinflation" that had begun to emerge. Analysis: Awaiting key data, some investors fear Fed will overdo tightening 2023-03-10T05:00:00Z "A 50 bps hike in the next meeting is possible, but it is going to be dependent on the payrolls not slowing down and CPI numbers showing that the disinflation progress we've made is stalling. " Hawkish Powell puts 50 bp Fed rate hikes back on table 2023-03-07T05:00:00Z "A return to the disinflation and weaker dollar narrative will have to wait." Dollar subdued ahead of Powell testimony 2023-03-07T05:00:00Z At a news conference last month, Powell said that the long-awaited “disinflation” process — a broad and steady slowdown in inflation — had finally begun. Inflation pressures put Powell in spotlight before Congress 2023-03-06T05:00:00Z "But it's always possible that a word like 'disinflation' slips out of his mouth, and that we get a boost on risk." Futures subdued after strong week on Wall Street 2023-03-06T05:00:00Z The acceleration of inflation in January "suggests that the disinflation momentum we need is far from certain," Daly said in remarks prepared for delivery to the Princeton Economic Policy Symposium. Fed's Daly: tighter policy, for a longer time, 'likely' needed 2023-03-04T05:00:00Z "The disinflation trend is looking surprising good in Asia now for example where services inflation has already turned a corner." Major central banks return to inflation fight in February 2023-03-02T05:00:00Z But Lagarde argued that disinflation will pick up speed from next month as surging gas prices at the onset of Russia's war in Ukraine get knocked out of base figures. Euro zone inflation eases in February but core prices surge 2023-03-02T05:00:00Z “The disinflation momentum we need is far from certain,” Mary Daly, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, said in a speech Saturday. Inflation pressures put Powell in spotlight before Congress 2023-03-06T05:00:00Z As investors mull what looks like a new year re-acceleration of the world economy, the narrative of steady disinflation has been ripped up and interest rate markets are still scrambling to re-price. Morning Bid: Irksome inflation won't die down 2023-02-28T05:00:00Z Revisions to prior data showed that previous disinflation was milder than previously reported, and that data added to financial market fears that the Federal Reserve could continue raising interest rates into summer. Yellen says U.S. inflation fight 'not a straight line' after price rise data 2023-02-25T05:00:00Z Not according to a new research paper that concludes that such an “immaculate disinflation” has never happened before. Fed’s rate hikes likely to cause a recession, research says 2023-02-24T05:00:00Z That left some economists to expect that the road to disinflation would be slow and bumpy. U.S. consumer spending surges in January; inflation heats up 2023-02-24T05:00:00Z Markets currently price longer-term inflation at just over 2.4% and ECB board member Isabel Schnabel has already said that markets may still be underestimating the persistence of inflation as "broad disinflation" has not yet started. Euro zone inflation marginally higher in Jan; core also lifted 2023-02-23T05:00:00Z Bullard said he felt businesses would drive "disinflation" by soon competing aggressively for market share, while Barkin said important industries including food, health care and still seemed to have pricing power. Analysis: Fed's quandary: Can the economy keep motoring and inflation fall? 2023-02-21T05:00:00Z "I think this report showed that it's not going to be a straight line - disinflation is not a straight line," Yellen said, adding that inflation "remains a problem." Yellen says U.S. inflation fight 'not a straight line' after price rise data 2023-02-25T05:00:00Z “There is no post-1950 precedent for a sizable … disinflation that does not entail substantial economic sacrifice or recession,” the paper concluded. Fed’s rate hikes likely to cause a recession, research says 2023-02-24T05:00:00Z At that meeting, the central bank raised interest rates by 25 basis points and said disinflation was underway. Morning Bid: Cast away 2023-02-21T05:00:00Z Financial markets seem to be hoping for some sort of “immaculate disinflation.” The Uneasy Dance Between the Markets and the Fed 2023-02-17T05:00:00Z Thursday's report showed goods and services prices increased, raising questions about the goods disinflation narrative, according to strategists from Saxo Markets. Morning Bid: When doves cry 2023-02-17T05:00:00Z They said both goods and services prices increased in January, raising doubts over the goods disinflation narrative and continues to support the thesis that services inflation is sticky. Asia shares skid as rate-hike fears unnerve investors 2023-02-17T05:00:00Z “This idea that we can get continued disinflation without a material slowdown in the economy has been the narrative the market has run with,” said Priya Misra, an interest rate strategist at TD Securities. Markets slip as inflation story gets more complicated for investors. 2023-02-14T05:00:00Z The report from the Labor Department on Tuesday also showed the pace of disinflation in the annual consumer price measures slowing last month. Rents boost U.S. consumer prices; inflation gradually slowing 2023-02-14T05:00:00Z With Wall Street stocks rallying sharply again on Monday, it appears investors are going into the number leaning on hopes of another positive surprise on disinflation. Morning Bid: Wings of a Dove 2023-02-14T05:00:00Z "Now we're in this sweet spot where you're seeing signs of disinflation, you're seeing risk appetite improve. All we need is one or two biotech IPOs to get good interest and the floodgates will open." Analysis: Biotech IPOs to bloom with spotlight on startups with human trial data 2023-02-13T05:00:00Z It tends to be lower when inflation is coming down from high levels and usually increases in the "last mile" of disinflation, as price growth is approaching the target. ECB must keep raising rate despite public sacrifice, Vujcic says 2023-02-10T05:00:00Z CPI data due on Tuesday will shed light on whether disinflation is well and truly underway. Morning bid: The waiting game 2023-02-10T05:00:00Z "The broad picture is the Fed doing policy calibration... but for the near term there is caution given recent Fed speakers and how disinflation trend may be bumpy." Dollar defensive as investors remain cautious ahead of inflation data 2023-02-10T05:00:00Z That disinflation drum continued to beat in Germany, where consumer prices inflation fell more than anticipated last month, easing back below the 10% expected to 9.2% on the year. AMERICAS Corporate scatter 2023-02-09T05:00:00Z Williams's comments followed Chair Jerome Powell's sticking by his interest rate outlook on Tuesday, when he reiterated that a process of "disinflation" was underway. Dollar flat after Fed official comments; focus on CPI data next week 2023-02-09T05:00:00Z Asked if he regretted using "disinflation" 11 times in his media conference last week, he said no, he would do the same again. Morning Bid: The Powell Put 2023-02-08T05:00:00Z “It is a good thing that the disinflation that we have seen so far has not come at the expense of a weaker labor market,” Powell said last week. Fed chair: Hot jobs report shows fighting inflation will take time 2023-02-07T05:00:00Z Last week, the Fed raised interest rates by 25 basis points and said it was seeing signs of disinflation but a blockbuster jobs report rattled investors as they feared policymakers may remain hawkish for longer. Dollar defensive as investors remain cautious ahead of inflation data 2023-02-10T05:00:00Z A recent slowdown in price increases was “the very early stages of disinflation,” he said. Your Wednesday Briefing 2023-02-08T05:00:00Z While inflation pressures are easing, the Fed chair cautioned that “these are the very early stages of disinflation. It has a long way to go.” Fed Chair Powell sees ‘significant’ inflation drop in 2023 2023-02-07T05:00:00Z Mr. Powell called getting inflation back down “the biggest challenge” facing the Fed, and noted that in the services sector of the economy — which includes restaurants, travel and health care — “we’re not seeing disinflation yet.” As Biden Prepares to Tout Economy, Fed Chair Takes a Cautious Tone 2023-02-07T05:00:00Z “It’s the first data point, for some time, that has come in pretty clearly against the ‘rapid cooling’ disinflation story,” said Krishna Guha, vice chairman of Evercore ISI. Employers added 517,000 jobs in January, astonishing labor market growth 2023-02-03T05:00:00Z Fed Chair Powell in his speech this week reiterated his belief that disinflation was underway. Dollar defensive as investors remain cautious ahead of inflation data 2023-02-10T05:00:00Z But what, exactly, is disinflation, and why is it welcome? Explainer: The Fed says disinflation is welcome. What is that, exactly? 2023-02-02T05:00:00Z "It's going to take some time" for disinflation to spread through the economy, Powell said in a news conference following the Fed's latest quarter-point interest rate increase. Fed's Powell says no rate cuts this year, and markets hear it differently 2023-02-02T05:00:00Z Mr. Powell, speaking in a question-and-answer session at the Economic Club of Washington D.C., called a recent slowdown in price increases “the very early stages of disinflation.” As Biden Prepares to Tout Economy, Fed Chair Takes a Cautious Tone 2023-02-07T05:00:00Z “It is a good thing that the disinflation that we have seen so far has not come at the expense of a weaker labor market,” Powell said. Fed hikes rates by 0.25 percentage points, with inflation easing 2023-02-01T05:00:00Z "If you do see disinflation trend in the U.S. showing any signs of slowing even if it is temporary, then risk sentiment could come under pressure and the dollar may find further support." Dollar defensive as investors remain cautious ahead of inflation data 2023-02-10T05:00:00Z To understand disinflation, it is helpful to first understand what central bankers mean by inflation: increases in prices across a broad range of goods and services. Explainer: The Fed says disinflation is welcome. What is that, exactly? 2023-02-02T05:00:00Z Also encouraging for investors was Powell's repeated references to disinflation - a falling rate of inflation. Analysis: Fed feeds Wall Street's soft landing hopes, though recession fears still loom 2023-02-02T05:00:00Z But even then he was blase about another "couple of hikes", and spent more time trying out his new favourite word "disinflation". Morning bid: Markets go all in for disinflation 2023-02-02T05:00:00Z U.S. markets were also enthused by disinflation signals on Tuesday as data showed U.S. labor costs increasing at their slowest pace in a year in the fourth quarter while wage growth slowed. Morning Bid: A quart and two halves 2023-02-01T05:00:00Z However, Wong cautioned, that if the disinflation trend proves to be entrenched then softness in the dollar will likely resume. Dollar defensive as investors remain cautious ahead of inflation data 2023-02-10T05:00:00Z Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell called "most welcome" disinflation, betting it signals the central bank's war on high inflation is nearing an end. Explainer: The Fed says disinflation is welcome. What is that, exactly? 2023-02-02T05:00:00Z "We have a huge change in the Fed's willingness to look at both sides of the inflation data and this time recognize that disinflation is happening," he said. Analysis: Fed feeds Wall Street's soft landing hopes, though recession fears still loom 2023-02-02T05:00:00Z A pdf search of the conference shows disinflation or disinflationary was used 13 times, compared to twice at his December event. Morning bid: Markets go all in for disinflation 2023-02-02T05:00:00Z Efforts by European governments to shield consumers and businesses from higher energy bills “will aid in disinflation as well,” the group said. Eurozone Inflation Slows Sharply as Energy Costs Continue to Ease 2023-02-01T05:00:00Z “Housing is starting to bottom out, so they won’t get as much shelter disinflation. All of those things harden the Fed’s resolve to stay the course.” Fed’s inflation fight begins yet another tricky chapter 2023-01-31T05:00:00Z A drop in the rate of inflation like that is called disinflation. Explainer: The Fed says disinflation is welcome. What is that, exactly? 2023-02-02T05:00:00Z "This will actually also allow them to make the case that rates need to go higher and stay there for a while, as a stronger demand environment inhibits core disinflation which is what matters most." Staying the course: Five questions for the ECB 2023-01-30T05:00:00Z The hope is that if disinflation is well underway, the other major central banks will hit their 'terminal rates' in the first half of this year too. Morning bid: Parsing the peak, sidestepping a slump 2023-01-26T05:00:00Z Bullard, acknowledging the cooling off of money supply, said this downshift in money "bodes well for disinflation," which means the Fed is likely to face an enduring trend of lower price pressures. U.S. inflation roller coaster prompts fresh look at long-ignored money supply 2023-01-26T05:00:00Z "Recent data suggests slightly better prospects that we could see continued disinflation in the context of moderate growth," Brainard said. Fed 'probing' for right rate level as prospects rise for 'soft landing' 2023-01-19T05:00:00Z Economists expect those softer new leases to start showing up in official measures in coming months - another part of the "good story" of disinflation, Powell said. Explainer: The Fed says disinflation is welcome. What is that, exactly? 2023-02-02T05:00:00Z A range of yield curves in the United States and elsewhere shows investors are clearly anticipating economic slowdown, disinflation or outright recession. Morning Bid: Finally, bad news is bad news 2023-01-18T05:00:00Z "So far, so good. My bottom line for 2023 is that it will be a year of disinflation." Fed's Bullard says latest inflation data step in right direction 2023-01-12T05:00:00Z While goods disinflation has set in, services prices remain solid, underpinned by sticky rents. U.S. consumer prices fall in December; weekly jobless claims edge down 2023-01-12T05:00:00Z Whether the Federal Reserve policymakers will publicly chime with the disinflation narrative or not, many acknowledge their policy stance is now 'data dependent' from here. Morning Bid: Disinflation elation 2023-01-12T05:00:00Z "It is a good thing that the disinflation that we have seen so far has not come at the expense of a weaker labor market." Explainer: The Fed says disinflation is welcome. What is that, exactly? 2023-02-02T05:00:00Z But the process of disinflation involved a huge, sustained bulge in unemployment. Can we really have a soft landing? 2023-01-11T05:00:00Z Developments like declining rents have given a hint of disinflation in the pipeline. Too good to be bad, too risky to be good, Fed managing 'unloved' economy 2022-12-12T05:00:00Z The latest turn lower may be affirming what Fed officials hope will be a new trend towards disinflation as prices for goods either stop rising or even fall. U.S. Online goods prices fall in positive sign for Fed - Adobe 2022-12-08T05:00:00Z Although UK bond yields and sterling skidded lower on Wednesday in mix of recession concerns and energy price disinflation hopes, there was better news on the retail front today. Morning Bid: Disinflation elation 2023-01-12T05:00:00Z "It’s most welcome to be able to say that we are now in disinflation." Explainer: The Fed says disinflation is welcome. What is that, exactly? 2023-02-02T05:00:00Z At least until a few months ago, Summers was laying out 1980s-type scenarios for disinflation, saying that unemployment would need to rise to close to 6% to get inflation under control. Can we really have a soft landing? 2023-01-11T05:00:00Z Inflation hit a record high 10.6% in October and dropped to 10% last month but its decline in early 2023 is expected to be slow before disinflation accelerates in the second half of the year. ECB survey shows rising inflation expectations for year ahead 2022-12-07T05:00:00Z If disinflation proves too slow, firms and consumers may lose confidence in the ECB's commitment and adjust their wage- and price-setting behaviour to reflect higher inflation, perpetuating rapid price growth. Analysis: Europe's inflation problem will linger for years to come 2022-12-06T05:00:00Z It will likely take a big surprise in Thursday's critical U.S. inflation update to knock markets off their assumption that 2023 is a year of disinflation and peaking interest rates. Morning Bid: Disinflation elation 2023-01-12T05:00:00Z The gist of most 2023 outlooks is for a year of contracting activity at some point, disinflation and peaking interest rates. Column-Dodging recession could whiplash markets: Mike Dolan 2022-12-02T05:00:00Z Recession across the developed world in 2023 appears to be consensus thinking among economists parsing the year ahead - and with it, they assume, disinflation and peak interest rates. Morning Bid: Gloomy enough? 2022-11-25T05:00:00Z Federal Reserve officials have been adamant all week that encouraging signs of disinflation in October would not be enough to deflect them from further monetary tightening - especially if markets loosen financial conditions prematurely. Cat, mouse and 5% 2022-11-18T05:00:00Z The jolt to world markets from Tuesday's explosion in Poland reminded otherwise buoyant investors that geopolitics remain a major risk factor, even amid hopes of U.S. disinflation. Shot across the bow 2022-11-16T05:00:00Z "It's a process that you would expect at this point in the cycle. I'm certainly looking at that closely. And of course, that would contribute to disinflation." Slowed producer prices another plus for Fed's inflation fight 2022-11-15T05:00:00Z St. Louis Fed President James Bullard on Monday said recession is not inevitable and suspected that expected disinflation was instead responsible for inverting the yield curve. Column-Dodging recession could whiplash markets: Mike Dolan 2022-12-02T05:00:00Z This supports economists' views that goods disinflation was underway, helping to curb inflation. U.S. producer prices slow in October in boost to inflation outlook 2022-11-15T05:00:00Z Globally too, the peak in inflation should come in the current quarter, the analysts said, "with disinflation driving the narrative next year". U.S. may skirt recession in 2023, Europe not so lucky-Morgan Stanley 2022-11-14T05:00:00Z October inflation reading probably says as much about the prevailing gloom and uber bearish positioning in investment portfolios as any new found faith in disinflation. Disinflation stations 2022-11-11T05:00:00Z That came courtesy of disinflation in goods prices led by second-hand cars and clothing, helped by slowing rents, airfares and some statistical voodoo on health insurance. Morning Bid: $ to the power of 0.228 2022-11-11T05:00:00Z "There is always the hope of painless, immaculate disinflation," said economist Willem Buiter, a former member of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England who is now an independent economic advisor. US interest rates rise to fresh 14-year high 2022-11-02T04:00:00Z “We’re already seeing it to some degree: disinflation, if not outright deflation, in some areas where companies just have to work down their inventories.” Retailers’ stockpiles mean deep holiday discounts starting now 2022-10-10T04:00:00Z But the central bank again emphasized it could resume hiking if disinflation did not turn out as expected. Brazil central bank says a final interest hike was widely debated 2022-09-27T04:00:00Z Ironically for a sector that was sold as an inflation hedge, battered crypto assets - teetering in another existential crisis this week - got some relief from the euphoric U.S. disinflation hopes. Disinflation stations 2022-11-11T05:00:00Z “In spite of the global crisis, Brazil reached the end of 2022 with an economy in full recovery,” Bolsonaro said, stressing a falling unemployment rate and disinflation in Latin America’s largest nation. Brazil’s Bolsonaro calls for negotiations to end Ukraine war 2022-09-20T04:00:00Z Bolsonaro also stressed a falling unemployment rate and disinflation in Latin America’s largest nation. Live updates: UN General Assembly 2022-09-20T04:00:00Z It repeated that disinflation should begin thanks to steps the bank and other authorities have taken to cool some forms of credit, along with an eventual end to the war. Turkey's cenbank shocks with 100 basis point rate cut despite soaring inflation 2022-08-18T04:00:00Z Still, the blockbuster jobs data adds to the possibility of a central-bank-induced slowing next year as surging labor costs limit disinflation while flattening profit margins, JPMorgan's economists said. Morning Bid: Just an illusion 2022-08-08T04:00:00Z The deceleration, which economists also call disinflation, is characterized by a slowing of the rise of overall prices and likely would be a welcome respite for financial markets reeling from inflation's impact. Inflation fatigue? Bond investors latch on to disinflation 2022-07-11T04:00:00Z Prominent academic economist Robert Gordon reckons the Fed’s task today requires about half the amount of disinflation that Volcker had to put the economy through. Long, moderate and painful: What next U.S. recession may look like 2022-07-05T04:00:00Z "The experience of history indicates that disinflation often carries meaningful costs for growth, and we see the aggregate probability of recession as now approaching 50%," the analysts said. Citigroup sees chances of global recession nearing 50% 2022-06-23T04:00:00Z The bank set its expectation for disinflation to begin following measures for price stability and the resolution of an ongoing regional conflict, an apparent reference to Russia’s war in Ukraine. Turkish central banks keeps rate at 14% despite inflation 2022-05-26T04:00:00Z While the effect should wane over time, Herzum said that the green transformation will reinforce a "40 year period of disinflation has come to an end". Analysis: Shoots of greenflation spring new challenges on portfolio managers 2021-08-11T04:00:00Z Analysts said disinflation has dovetailed with recession fears and the decline in yields has had a positive impact on equities. Inflation fatigue? Bond investors latch on to disinflation 2022-07-11T04:00:00Z “The rebound marks a turning point for inflation across the advanced world following more than a decade of disinflation.” UK inflation spikes as retailers respond to lockdown easing 2021-05-19T04:00:00Z The cost of the disinflation was a recession in 1982, at the time the deepest economic downturn since the Great Depression of the 1930s. The Biden Economy Risks a Speeding Ticket 2021-02-26T05:00:00Z A bank statement said the hike was enacted “to implement a strong monetary tightening, in order to eliminate risks to the inflation outlook, contain inflation expectations and restore the disinflation process as soon as possible.” Turkey’s central bank raises interest rate to 17% 2020-12-24T05:00:00Z The central bank said it took the action to “guarantee the process of disinflation and is ready to act again if necessary.” Argentine Markets Tumble as Emergency Rate Rises Jolt Investors 2018-05-03T04:00:00Z “If you do the fiscal reforms, that helps me in my disinflation process,” Mr. Goldfajn said in an interview earlier this month. Brazil Central Bank Cuts Selic Rate for the First Time in Four Years 2016-10-19T04:00:00Z Despite concerns about disinflation, Dudley said he expects the U.S. economy to grow slightly above 2 percent in 2016 with a bit more tightening in the labor market. As world markets drop, Fed officials try to shake it off 2016-01-15T05:00:00Z Falling oil prices are also undermining investor confidence and fueling fears of disinflation. U.S., world stock markets slide as panic in China spreads 2016-01-07T05:00:00Z The global background is also one of disinflation given the weakness in oil and other commodity prices and the mounting spare capacity in major exporters such as China. Asian stocks subdued, oil makes fresh low 2015-12-20T05:00:00Z Like Europe and Japan, China is dealing with disinflation in producer prices and weak increases in consumer prices. China Cuts Interest Rates for Sixth Time Since November 2015-10-23T04:00:00Z "Those economies that are at less advanced paths of the recovery cycle -- the key example is the euro zone, where we're looking at more disinflation -- may well find more stimulus is in order." Global economy loses steam as Chinese, European factories falter 2015-10-01T04:00:00Z The International Monetary Fund this year urged the Fed to defer rate increases until next year as “insurance against the risks from disinflation, policy reversal, and ending back at a zero funds rate.” Fed Rate Decision Keeps Monetary Debate Raging 2015-09-18T04:00:00Z It is important to distinguish between disinflation - a slowdown in the rate of inflation; and deflation – a persistent and ongoing fall in prices. UK inflation rate hits zero; Greek election and Fed loom - as it happened 2015-09-15T04:00:00Z "However, a mix of disinflation and deflation forces, a tightening in global monetary conditions and deteriorating profits in emerging markets are much greater factors." Asia down as China woes unnerve markets, safe-haven yen rallies 2015-08-23T04:00:00Z Trading in money markets showed investors are reducing expectations for a Fed interest rate increase in September due to concerns about global disinflation pressures resulting from China's moves. China lets yuan fall further, fuels fears of 'currency war' 2015-08-12T04:00:00Z Mr Carney said that the Bank would be able to raise rates due to "consistent growth above trend, a firming in domestic costs, counter-balanced by disinflation imported from abroad". Pound jumps as Mark Carney says rate rise moving closer - BBC News 2015-07-14T04:00:00Z Despite expectations for a U.S. rate hike this year, disinflation risks would keep major sovereign bond yields from rising significantly, a separate Reuters poll showed last week. Reuters Poll: Market uncertainty tempers forecasts for equities' gains this year 2015-03-31T04:00:00Z It is important to distinguish between disinflation - a slowdown in the rate of inflation; and deflation – a persistent and ongoing fall in prices. UK inflation rate hits zero; Greek election and Fed loom - as it happened 2015-09-15T04:00:00Z Mr Ramsey said the disinflation and deflation which is evident in the UK and Eurozone economies was also reflected in February's survey. Survey suggests weakening NI economy 2015-03-09T04:00:00Z There is a big difference between deflation and disinflation, or the declining rate of inflation. A Prediction Market for Inflation—or Deflation 2015-03-06T05:00:00Z For now, disinflation remains the prevailing force globally with only a few exceptions. For first time in years, euro economy starts surprising on upside 2015-03-04T05:00:00Z This removes some of what economists believe is an in-built bias towards disinflation in the Euro's design. Reasons for optimism over Eurozone economy 2015-02-24T05:00:00Z The logical beneficiaries of disinflation or deflation are companies with the ability to raise prices despite the economic backdrop. How key investments could fare if deflation fears worsen 2015-01-11T05:00:00Z Third, disinflation—that is, policies introduced to reduce the inflation rate—is costly. The Coming Fight Over Inflation: Economic Talk, Political Purpose 2015-01-05T05:00:00Z But a halving of fuel costs is also a force for disinflation in a world where the supply of goods already exceeds demand. Investors take cover amid Russia crisis, oil slide 2014-12-17T05:00:00Z This would be the mirror image of “opportunistic disinflation”, the strategy the Fed pursued in the early 1990s. Opportunistic overheating 2014-12-11T05:00:00Z If inflation "goes completely sideways or begins to indicate a decline, disinflation, then I think it will raise some concerns." Fed's Lockhart says no rush to remove 'considerable time' from statement 2014-12-08T05:00:00Z In trying to arrest disinflation, central banks are embarking on the most colossal experiment in world history and putting us all at risk along the way. Will the Republican Majority Stop the Japanization of America? 2014-11-06T05:00:00Z The combination of low growth and low inflation perfectly illustrates why the ECB needs to be more aggressive with its stimulus measures lest disinflation spirals into crushing deflation. Euro Wobbles While U.S. Midterm Election Results Boosts The Buck 2014-11-05T05:00:00Z That would be taken as a step toward raising interest rates, even as growth in the rest of the world sputters and falling commodity prices add to the danger of disinflation. Investors take cover amid Russia crisis, oil slide 2014-12-17T05:00:00Z At the same time, many of Asia's major trading partners in the West are grappling with disinflation and weak demand, making it difficult for central banks there to move away from aggressive monetary stimulus. Asia economic growth to languish as China slows: poll 2014-10-24T04:00:00Z "They don’t know when inflation will pick up and when disinflation pressures will stop." Specter of no-inflation world looms over Fed's return to normal 2014-10-24T04:00:00Z Some are pointing to weakness in oil as worrisome, meaning potential disinflation and potential for a recession. Financial Markets 'Dramatically' Scale Back Expectations For Future Fed Tightening 2014-10-16T04:00:00Z "Or that domestic inflation might be held down by persistent disinflation among U.S. trading partners and further appreciation of the dollar," they added. Fed debate on changing interest rate guidance heats up: minutes 2014-10-08T04:00:00Z "It's the best antidote to disinflation known to man." ECB quietly pins its hopes on falling euro 2014-10-07T04:00:00Z The lackluster performance helped lift the U.S. dollar above 110.00 yen for the first time since mid-2008 while punishing commodity prices globally, a positive for consumers but also a force for disinflation. Asian factories slow in September, push inflation ever lower 2014-10-01T04:00:00Z But at present the case for further monetary easing does not appear to be made on disinflation grounds alone. Without German Support, QE In The Euro Area Remains A Distant Dream 2014-09-03T04:00:00Z One thing looks certain – that the risk of disinflation is ceding quickly and that the Fed Reserve is readying itself to eventually meet factual or perceived inflation on the battle field of monetary policy. Smart Equities For Creeping US Inflation 2014-07-03T04:00:00Z The Fed was thought to be aiming for an inflation rate of around 2% to keep disinflation from hurting the economy. Gold Eases From Recent Highs On Profit-Taking Ahead Of Fed, Iraq Developments 2014-06-17T04:00:00Z The principal cause of Eurozone disinflation appears to be falling energy costs. Why Negative Rates Won't Work In The Eurozone 2014-06-04T04:00:00Z Price rises remained muted, although the survey showed a slight acceleration in input cost rises which, coupled with the accelerating recovery, may ease concerns about disinflation. Euro zone businesses off to bumper start in second quarter: PMI 2014-05-06T08:02:34Z “More needs to be done to support growth and guard against further disinflation in the euro area.” Finance Officials Push for Bold Action to Sustain Economic Growth 2014-04-12T19:41:32Z Nowotny said there was no need to act immediately to counter euro zone disinflation, while Mersch said that while the central bank was drawing up plans for large-scale asset purchases, action remained some way off. Asian shares slump, yen gains as investors await BOJ 2014-04-08T03:32:46Z The gradually strengthening recovery still faces downside risks, mainly from turmoil in financial markets, disinflation and the slow pace of implementation of structural reforms. Euro zone recovery accelerates more than expected in fourth quarter 2014-02-14T10:18:26Z I think it is about German disinflation and the exchange value of the Euro. Why Negative Rates Won't Work In The Eurozone 2014-06-04T04:00:00Z The flip side is that developed markets are being threatened by imported disinflation from cheaper imports and their exporters risk becoming uncompetitive. Here comes the euro zone growth data 2014-02-09T19:08:09Z This disinflation exerts debt-deflation dynamics, which are of the same nature as those analysed by Irving Fisher. Deflation in the euro zone: Should we worry about deflation? 2014-01-16T10:00:00Z As for inflation, Lockhart said it "seems disconnected from the recent growth momentum," and warned that "continued disinflation could pose risks to economic performance." Fed's Lockhart gives cautious backing to more QE cuts 2014-01-13T20:11:55Z The latest PMIs suggest disinflation among manufacturers, at least, may be ending. World manufacturing ends 2013 on a strong note 2014-01-02T12:16:26Z The question is whether this is really the most important driver of Eurozone disinflation. Why Negative Rates Won't Work In The Eurozone 2014-06-04T04:00:00Z Economists said the fall in capacity utilization could stoke fears of disinflation taking hold and make it difficult for the Fed to scale back its massive monthly bond purchasing program. U.S. factory expansion broadens even as autos weigh 2013-11-15T18:44:03Z "Though a few central banks will write off disinflation as a lagged response to output gaps, generally G10 monetary policy will remain easier for longer on a global scale," he said. ECB may soon join the flight of the doves 2013-11-03T18:04:33Z From 2002-3 the American economy was in the grips of a sustained disinflation. Monetary policy: Debt and demand 2013-09-27T15:51:42Z Rather than the hyperinflation that was feared, the global economy is showing disinflation and slow growth. MarksJarvis: Gold prices have precious few ways to break their fall 2013-07-03T05:00:00Z The second is broad disinflation in goods prices. America's economy: The stealth boom 2013-06-13T15:10:48Z With domestic demand lackluster, the euro zone economy mired in a recession and growth in China slowing, disinflation is creeping into the U.S. economy. Factory, wholesale price data flag economy's woes 2013-05-16T00:22:12Z Sarah Hewin, an economist with Standard Chartered Bank in London, agreed that disinflation made the case for a rate cut more compelling. ECB may soon join the flight of the doves 2013-11-03T18:04:33Z With the growth outlook sluggish, disinflation is starting to creep in. Mixed signals for the global economy 2013-05-12T19:15:44Z In the 1980s, disinflation was the explicit goal of monetary tightening. Monetary policy: The mystery of stable prices 2013-04-11T15:29:49Z But given a large enough output gap we would nonetheless disinflation to eventually turn to deflation. Output gaps: When the Fed fights, it wins 2013-03-06T14:34:26Z Steady disinflation from the early 1980s inevitably compressed short rates. Monetary policy: Keeping bubbles in perspective 2013-02-08T18:49:59Z Similarly, unanticipated disinflation could cause a great deal of damage. A brief history of macro: How we got here 2013-01-21T23:19:13Z Volcker is best known for standing tall against the escalating inflation of the 1970s, laying the foundation for some three decades of disinflation and price stability. Why Investors See Low Inflation for the Next 10 Years 2012-08-19T20:31:07Z The Volcker disinflation ushered in what many of us call the Great Moderation. Monetary policy: Rethinking macro 2012-07-26T19:59:10Z Second, however, we do observe decelerating disinflation at low levels of inflation, and this does appear to be due in part to nominal rigidities. Output gaps: When the Fed fights, it wins 2013-03-06T14:34:26Z With plenty of slack remaining in the American economy, this strategy inevitably produces a return to disinflation at the slightest breath of trouble from abroad. Monetary policy: A central-bank failure of epic proportions 2012-06-01T14:59:11Z We should use it only if the economy deteriorates and especially if the inflation numbers start to drift down into disinflation or deflation. Treasury Bonds Rekindle Haven Status, Halt Three-Week Downturn 2012-02-25T17:24:45Z The country may face negative rating action in the case of a balance-of-payments crisis or failure to secure disinflation, possibly triggered by “external shocks or domestic policy mistakes,” it said. Turkey Rating Outlook Cut at Fitch on Economy; Lira Weakens 2011-11-23T14:53:03Z “With the risks skewed toward deflation and disinflation, all central banks are pausing and trying to gauge when it’s going to be time to start cutting rates.” Brazil Cuts Rate as Recession Risks Outweigh Inflation 2011-09-01T00:25:01Z What the record shows is that disinflation below 2% inflation prompts aggressive Fed reactions, which are generally successful at reversing inflation expectations. Output gaps: When the Fed fights, it wins 2013-03-06T14:34:26Z Moreover, many of the tail winds that drove earnings growth in 2010 — like disinflation, low interest rates and aggressive cost-cutting that reduced jobs and bolstered productivity — are either gone or nearing an end. Fundamentally: Beyond the Surge in Corporate Profits 2011-04-23T17:39:41Z With fast-expanding export economies like China becoming price setters instead of price takers, offshore inflation and disinflation are of growing importance. Special report: The revolution in central banking 2011-03-24T09:47:07Z In response to audience questions after his speech, he said disinflation and high unemployment are reasons that “this is not the time” for the Fed to start withdrawing stimulus. Fed’s Kocherlakota Says Growth to Accelerate in 2011 2011-01-11T20:18:02Z "This is the beginning of the end of an era -- China as the anchor of global disinflation," Credit Suisse analyst Dong Tao wrote in a recent note to clients. Commodities show ties that bind 2011-01-09T20:01:24Z The first is that we do indeed observe substantial disinflation in the absence of countercyclical policy, all across the rich world—even to the point of deflation in some cases. Output gaps: When the Fed fights, it wins 2013-03-06T14:34:26Z Bullard, considered more of a centrist, said inflation concerns were "legitimate and important" but disinflation was more worrisome right now. QE2 will be regularly reviewed: Fed officials 2010-12-02T21:03:00Z Against that backdrop, the Fed minutes depicted the November policy move as in part an insurance policy against the threat of further disinflation -- and potentially even a corrosive bout of deflation. Divided Fed pondered even heftier monetary easing 2010-11-23T19:34:00Z Far more important was Paul Volcker and the tough monetary policy he initiated that set a three-decade cycle of disinflation in motion. Ireland Shows Supply-Side Shortcomings 2010-11-22T01:56:00Z "In particular, the minutes might provide some hints on the instruments the Fed is analyzing in order to boost the ongoing moderate economic recovery and to reduce the risks of further disinflation." Europe's Markets Drop at Open 2010-10-12T07:08:00Z “The issue at this stage is not whether we have the tools to help support economic activity and guard against disinflation,” he said. What Can Be Done to Cure the Ailing Economy? 2010-08-29T00:38:00Z "The issue at the stage is not whether we have the tools to help support economic activity and guard against disinflation," Bernanke said. Bernanke: Fed to take dramatic steps if economy deteriorates more than expected 2010-08-28T02:01:00Z At this juncture, the risk of either an undesirable rise in inflation or of significant further disinflation seems low. "I was wrong again!" What Ben Bernanke meant to say 2010-08-27T16:45:00Z "The committee will certainly use its tools as needed to maintain price stability – avoiding excessive inflation or further disinflation – and to promote the continuation of the economic recovery." Ben Bernanke promises to step in as US economy veers back towards recession 2010-08-27T15:37:00Z But he added, “At this juncture, the risk of either an undesirable rise in inflation or of significant further disinflation seems low.” Bernanke Signals Fed Is Ready to Prop Up Economy 2010-08-27T14:58:00Z "Should economic developments suggest increased disinflation risk, purchases of Treasury securities in excess of those required to keep the size of the balance sheet constant may be warranted," he said in prepared remarks. Bullard says Fed may need to buy more Treasuries 2010-08-19T18:47:00Z "The market used the solid auction results as evidence that there are growing investor fears about weaker growth and further disinflation," said William O'Donnell, head of U.S. China punctures yuan euphoria, gains to be glacial 2010-06-23T00:27:00Z This potential evolution from disinflation to inflation will likely proceed at different speeds in different parts of the globe. PIMCO's El-Erian sees U.S. inflation in medium term 2010-05-13T13:51:00Z He said he agrees with forecasters who expect disinflation -- a reduction in the rate of inflation -- in the near term. Fed's Rosengren: Ultra-low rates still needed 2010-05-06T00:29:00Z Deflation Bad for Business Deflation is not disinflation, which is when inflation is still present, but at a lower rate. 2010-01-08T17:04:00Z |
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