| 单词 | counterfactual |
| 例句 | Then there’s counterfactual history drama The Man in the High Castle, which got people talking about its premise of a United States under Nazi rule, but then succumbed to lukewarm reviews. Can Matthew Weiner bring the Mad Men magic to Amazon? 2016-10-27T04:00:00Z Like many works of counterfactual history, this nightmarish fictional world provokes a sense of relief mixed with horror: it didn’t happen here, but it all too easily could have. Philip K. Dick’s Intellectual Vision for Living in a Fascist America 2017-01-17T05:00:00Z Last summer Ben Winters’ counterfactual noir novel, “Underground Airlines,” hit bestseller lists; then came Colson Whitehead's “The Underground Railroad,” the year's National Book Award winner for fiction. A powerful symbol of resistance, the Underground Railroad inspires a wave of books, plays, TV and more 2017-03-16T04:00:00Z The Vietnam war was granted a rousing counterfactual postscript, more gory than most horror films. Rambo and the Terminator: the cold war warriors are back 2019-10-12T04:00:00Z The questions “Commonwealth” raises are ultimately counterfactual, philosophical: Who might we be if our parents hadn’t made catastrophic choices, and we hadn’t responded catastrophically to them? In Ann Patchett’s ‘Commonwealth,’ Knotting and Unknotting the Ties That Bind 2016-09-07T04:00:00Z Like Movie Fights, its "who would win?" counterfactual franchise mashup that imagines smackdowns between the likes of Aladdin, The Lion King and The Little Mermaid. The 15 Best YouTube Channels to Watch Right Now 2017-08-14T04:00:00Z To Victorians this would look like a Lewis Carroll fantasy – a steampunk counterfactual that can only end in exploding boilers and squashed top hats and the mirror crack'd from side to side. Cameron and Clegg: the improbable coalition 2010-05-12T15:22:00Z The Philharmonic counterfactual is too far from the truth even to ask. A Conductor’s Career, Cut Short, Still Blazes on Recordings 2022-07-05T04:00:00Z “It’s bad karma, for one thing, but it’s also counterfactual. There hasn’t been a big attack here since 9/11, and positing one happening just felt wrong.” It’s Home Sweet ‘Homeland’ for Season 6 2017-01-03T05:00:00Z At other times, “culture” is used in an aspirational way that’s obviously counterfactual: institutions that drone on about their “culture of transparency” or “culture of accountability” often have neither. The Meaning of “Culture” 2014-12-26T05:00:00Z And a less momentous counterfactual: Would I — or any tourist — be here now? In the heart of Europe, Habsburg family homes offer a haunting glimpse into history 2018-02-01T05:00:00Z Kelly’s resume is basically a catalog of her contributions to a culture of white racial resentment, fear of the other, counterfactual thinking, and right-wing paranoia that inevitably gives rise to a character like Jones. Megyn Kelly and Alex Jones: Two peas in a pod 2017-06-16T04:00:00Z One of them was “The Graduate,” and addicts of counterfactual history will lap up Harris’s disclosure that Nichols’s early choices, for the roles of Mr. and Mrs. Robinson, were Ronald Reagan and Doris Day. Postscript: Mike Nichols (1931-2014) 2014-11-21T05:00:00Z That inner world, a ceaselessly seething caldron of past and future, actual and counterfactual, is the theater for our most intense pleasures and our keenest pains. A Poet Maps the Landscapes of Memory 2019-11-04T05:00:00Z “Aristotle’s Way” is blazed by a counterfactual that Hall and Aristotle routinely employ: Is a life of vice a truly happy one? Need a New Self-Help Guru? Try Aristotle 2019-01-23T05:00:00Z It is a counterfactual, but recall what I said about the Palestinian Christians, Tibetans, Native Americans, and so forth. Sam Harris talks Islam, ISIS, atheism, GOP madness: “We are confronting people, in dozens of countries, who despise more or less everything that we value” 2015-11-25T05:00:00Z His unifying perspective in “True Stories” is the virtue of imagination, and the search for alternate worlds or possibilities raised by counterfactual questions. An Essayist Searching for Alternate Worlds 2017-11-22T05:00:00Z Given the man’s penchant for autobiography, writers of historical fiction would seem to be stuck between creating a pale version of Roosevelt’s own work or a counterfactual burlesque. Review | Teddy Roosevelt and his pet cougar leap into action 2019-01-01T05:00:00Z Like Philip Roth’s “The Plot Against America,” this is a mighty work of counterfactual history. ‘Biography of X’ Rewrites a Life Story and an American Century 2023-03-20T04:00:00Z Part murder mystery and part counterfactual yarn, with generous helpings of sitcom and social drama thrown in, it doesn’t hold together in the largely naturalistic framework provided by Taylor Reynolds’s production. Review: In ‘This Land Was Made,’ Huey Newton Walks Into a Bar 2023-06-07T04:00:00Z “The Last Days of New Paris” is something of a departure, then: it is set not only across the Channel but in the past—albeit a wildly counterfactual one. China Miéville and the Politics of Surrealism 2016-08-11T04:00:00Z Let’s acknowledge up front that this whole death-for-the-holidays trend is counterfactual. Perspective | It’s Christmas. Let the murder begin. 2017-12-19T05:00:00Z What he invented, in “A Modest Proposal,” was not just that fatuously self-satisfied narrative voice, but the whole idea of a counterfactual work of nonfiction. The joy of literary destruction: Writers who broke all the rules 2014-01-19T15:00:00Z Although this question is, of course, totally counterfactual, the answer is obvious: the United States Constitution and the Bill of Rights. Elaine Pagels: By the Book 2018-11-01T04:00:00Z The brash counterfactual around which it’s built plays mostly as a bass note in an otherwise familiar Roth song. A Different Kind of Dystopian Novel 2017-02-19T05:00:00Z The scenario may not be “true” per se, but with “Hollywood,” Murphy aims to offer an appealing counterfactual. The Best Movies and TV Shows Coming to Netflix, Amazon and More in May 2020-05-01T04:00:00Z But "Riot Baby" goes far beyond the counterfactual and the speculative premise of, "What if black people gained superpowers, and then what happens?" "Riot Baby" author on his novel of black superpowers: "I don't want justice. I want vengeance" 2020-03-07T05:00:00Z Reducing Rhimes — and those of her characters that are black women — to one-dimensional “anger” isn’t just counterfactual, it plays into legitimately offensive stereotypes of which Stanley is aware. NYT: Shonda Rhimes should write autobiography called “How to Get Away With Being an Angry Black Woman” 2014-09-19T04:00:00Z So is “But first, YOU,” and the counterfactual “I can’t give you a cup to drink from if mine is empty.” The Politics of Conspicuous Displays of Self-Care 2017-03-14T04:00:00Z There is no allegory crude enough to create and capture the counterfactual universe we are living in right now, with Trump and how we got here. Novelist Jonathan Lethem: "There is no allegory crude enough" to capture Trump's America 2019-06-04T04:00:00Z He must exist purely as a fantasy, a counterfactual, a metaphor. Pregnant Men Were a Movie Punchline. Now They’re Horror Villains. 2022-08-05T04:00:00Z But so what if the show’s view of the wives is counterfactual? Review: In ‘Six,’ All the Tudor Ladies Got Talent 2021-10-03T04:00:00Z Others, like “Dickinson” and to a lesser extent “The Great,” take a deliberately freewheeling approach to history, inventing counterfactual privileges and possibilities for their heroines. Catherine Was Great. But Was She a Girl Boss? 2021-12-26T05:00:00Z In any event, Stone and Kuznick's more intriguing task is to do counterfactual history. Oliver Stone: how America went wrong 2013-04-15T17:07:33Z Remember, the PPP survey deals not with the simple spread of faith, but with the desire of one part of the population to force its antiquated way of life and counterfactual worldview on the other. They really want a theocracy: The GOP candidates who want to make you bow to their lord 2015-10-25T04:00:00Z It’s a counterfactual continuum, existing alongside the dominant 2136 world, produced by intervention in the shared past. Review | An ‘app whisperer’ teams up with time travelers in William Gibson’s ‘Agency’ 2020-01-16T05:00:00Z Dying turns many of us into counterfactual historians. ‘Dying: A Memoir’ Is a Bracing Illumination of Terminal Illness 2017-07-26T04:00:00Z The video would be the counterfactual that might save his life. The Videos That Rocked America. The Song That Knows Our Rage. 2020-06-03T04:00:00Z For projects claiming to avoid emissions, it's difficult to prove the counterfactual: Would a given forest really have been cut down without the offset project? Inside climate activists’ uneasy relationship with ‘net-zero’ 2023-04-12T04:00:00Z However, the counterfactual estimates do not include the economic effects associated with the war in Ukraine. Covid support measures 'saved 40,000 jobs' 2023-01-31T05:00:00Z But it does invite some “what if?” counterfactual history. Imagining a Seattle if Amazon had never nested here 2023-01-06T05:00:00Z House Republicans released a “report” on the Jan. 6 insurrection this week with a counterfactual narrative in which Trump merely encouraged his supporters to march “peacefully” on the Capitol. Opinion | For Republicans, it’s going to be a fabulist year 2022-12-22T05:00:00Z Freedman also ponders counterfactual scenarios about the Ukraine war. Putin's massive mistake: Lawrence Freedman on Ukraine and the lessons of history 2022-11-21T05:00:00Z Ford O’Connell, a strategist, said those criticizing Mr. Trump’s picks must confront the counterfactual that there weren’t other clearly better options for Republicans in many of the races where Mr. Trump is drawing scrutiny. What-ifs plague GOP after midterms temper party’s outlook, prompt criticism of Trump 2022-11-09T05:00:00Z Mr. DePape’s equipment — and his demand to know “Where’s Nancy?” — suggested a premeditated assault, which would undercut the counterfactual versions being spread online. Republicans Continue to Spread Baseless Claims About Pelosi Attack 2022-10-31T04:00:00Z As someone who intended to escape journalism and get my Ph.D. in history, I know the dangers of counterfactual thinking. Imagining a Seattle if Amazon had never nested here 2023-01-06T05:00:00Z He’s stepped back to focus on other endeavors, like “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story,” a hilariously counterfactual sendup of the prestige-biopic genre, which premieres on the Roku Channel on Nov. 4. The Great American Novelty 2022-10-26T04:00:00Z Catholic Action League Executive Director C. J. Doyle said Ms. Warren’s “unfounded assertions imputing deception and predation to pro-life pregnancy centers are recklessly counterfactual.” Elizabeth Warren calls for federal crackdown on pro-life pregnancy centers 2022-07-01T04:00:00Z “They believed the counterfactual points that were never supported by data from Dr. Atlas,” she said in Thursday’s hearing. Birx, Trump’s Covid coordinator, has told congressional investigators that the White House asked her to water down guidance to states. 2022-06-23T04:00:00Z In a third method, researchers force models to re-create the actual atmospheric conditions recorded in the few years leading up to an event, then see how they unfold in counterfactual worlds with less warming. Record-shattering events spur advances in tying climate change to extreme weather 2022-06-15T04:00:00Z Anyway, pining for the past violates the rule of counterfactual history. Imagining a Seattle if Amazon had never nested here 2023-01-06T05:00:00Z “We can’t observe the counterfactual, but the counterfactual is really ugly,” Harris said. Biden’s challenge: Inflation overshadows robust job gains 2022-06-03T04:00:00Z There are continuing studies aimed at answering such questions broadly, but in any given case, determining a definitive counterfactual is impossible. Opinion | We May Be Able to Prevent Some Mass Shootings 2022-04-07T04:00:00Z It’s a counterfactual, you can’t know, but you can figure out a lot just by paying careful attention to how well — or coldly, dismissively, contemptuously — you’re treated at home. Perspective | Carolyn Hax: Fiance ‘does everything’ for her except erase her relationship doubts 2022-03-13T05:00:00Z Its underpinnings — as a hodgepodge of people suffused in counterfactual belief systems, conspiracy theories and barely bridled rage at anything seen as contrary to their mission — frequently erupt through the official veneer. Behind the Fractious Collaboration Steering the Canada Protests 2022-02-15T05:00:00Z Our counterfactual history depends on Allen not being a civic steward who invested in Seattle rather than the Eastside or elsewhere. Imagining a Seattle if Amazon had never nested here 2023-01-06T05:00:00Z Crucial to this development was an algorithm called counterfactual regret minimization. How A.I. Conquered Poker 2022-01-18T05:00:00Z Forget the nonexistence of the counterfactual because it actually does exist, at least as a concept: In that other life, I would have accepted the loss of control and turned myself fully toward my children. The Abortion I Didn’t Have 2021-12-02T05:00:00Z It is not part of some thought experiment or counterfactual. "Trump World" is no joke — and it wants to devour American democracy 2021-10-20T04:00:00Z Like many engrossing games, counterfactual history is a bit disreputable. Opinion | What if Colin Powell had run for president in 1996? 2021-10-19T04:00:00Z As it turns out, the counterfactual outcome is being decided for us. Imagining a Seattle if Amazon had never nested here 2023-01-06T05:00:00Z "It's hard to know the counterfactual, perhaps without the pandemic it would have been a lot more extraordinary," Bolinger said. Not even a pandemic can stop solar’s epic growth 2021-10-12T04:00:00Z And I can’t imagine life without him because the counterfactual does not exist. The Abortion I Didn’t Have 2021-12-02T05:00:00Z In that sense we’ve already run a version of Hayes’s counterfactual. Opinion | What if Covid Were 10 Times Deadlier? 2021-09-18T04:00:00Z With members of the select committee hinting that they could subpoena Trump aides, allies on Capitol Hill and perhaps Mr. Trump himself, the counterfactual counterattack could pre-emptively undercut an investigation of the riot. Already Distorting Jan. 6, G.O.P. Now Concocts Entire Counternarrative 2021-07-31T04:00:00Z They look at the change; they compare things to the previous quarter, not the previous decade, or to a counterfactual scenario in which no stimulus packages were passed. Analysis | What happens to the economy when $5.2 trillion in stimulus wears off? 2021-07-12T04:00:00Z “There’s a lot of things that get said that are counterfactual, that it’s more dangerous,” Manfred said. M.L.B. Commissioner: ‘We’re Moving the Game in the Right Direction’ 2021-06-23T04:00:00Z If I imagine the counterfactual, I can say I have strong and loving relationships with both of my children now in large part because I didn’t have those other children. The Abortion I Didn’t Have 2021-12-02T05:00:00Z It’s an interesting counterfactual to imagine if the federal government had simply paid subsidies to the private railroads to maintain their passenger trains as a public good — every other form of transportation is subsidized. At 50, Amtrak could get the transformational makeover it needs 2021-04-23T04:00:00Z The deeply held spiritual convictions or counterfactual arguments may vary. White Evangelical Resistance Is Obstacle in Vaccination Effort 2021-04-05T04:00:00Z The result, he said, is a surge of extremism on the right and the left, including widespread embrace of counterfactual versions of current events. Eroding trust, spreading fear: The historical ties between pandemics and extremism 2021-02-14T05:00:00Z But of course, Trump was far too motivated by the fate of his personal finances and his counterfactual brags about "the greatest economy ever." What would a "successful" Trump presidency have looked like? An alternate universe 2020-12-01T05:00:00Z “It’s hard to prove a counterfactual, but I believe that Ron Klain is the reason we did not have an Ebola epidemic in the United States,” said Valerie Jarrett, a former senior adviser to Obama. Chief of staff pick signals end of Trump-era chaos 2020-11-11T05:00:00Z Waymo’s engineers then simulate what would have happened had the driver not disengaged the vehicle’s self-driving system to generate a counterfactual, or “what if,” scenario. Waymo pulls back the curtain on 6.1 million miles of self-driving car data in Phoenix 2020-10-30T04:00:00Z But at no place is the tension higher than at Fox, which has served as platform, megaphone and cheerleading squad for Mr. Trump and his counterfactual claims for the better part of four years. Trump Wants to Discredit the Election. This Nerd Could Stop Him. 2020-09-27T04:00:00Z On June 8, Nature published two more counterfactual studies. Counterfactual Experiments Are Crucial, but Easy to Misunderstand 2020-07-10T04:00:00Z Barr has also sought to make counterfactual claims about the degree of force used. More than 1,250 former Justice workers want probe of Barr’s role at Lafayette Square protest 2020-06-10T04:00:00Z Psychologists call it counterfactual thinking — imagining that you’re in a different set of circumstances today. To Build Resilience in Isolation, Master the Art of Time Travel 2020-05-15T04:00:00Z Ultimately, these counterfactual simulations can be “significantly more realistic” than simulated events that are generated “synthetically,” Waymo says. Waymo pulls back the curtain on 6.1 million miles of self-driving car data in Phoenix 2020-10-30T04:00:00Z With mitigation, we never see the so-called counterfactual case. Prediction Tools Can Save Lives in the COVID-19 Crisis 2020-05-13T04:00:00Z In climate world, the first act involved doing the science and conducting counterfactual experiments similar to those produced for the virus. Counterfactual Experiments Are Crucial, but Easy to Misunderstand 2020-07-10T04:00:00Z “The counterfactual will be much more hardship and a greater hit to the economy.” Modi Announces $260 Billion Coronavirus Rescue Package for India 2020-05-12T04:00:00Z Most of it would collapse if the counterfactual analysis were outlawed. Everything exists in a vacuum in the month that never was | Barney Ronay 2020-04-10T04:00:00Z And if the vaccine really did prevent a swine flu epidemic, there was no way to know; the counterfactual – no vaccination, a ravaging pandemic – was hidden from view. 'It’s a razor’s edge we’re walking': inside the race to develop a coronavirus vaccine 2020-03-27T04:00:00Z Still, Republicans have had a field day basking in a counterfactual narrative about outflanking Democrats from the left. Have Trump and the GOP outflanked Dems on coronavirus relief plans? Not yet 2020-03-18T04:00:00Z This conclusion results from a well-defined set of counterfactual exercises, wherein ensembles of climate models were run with and without greenhouse gas emissions. Counterfactual Experiments Are Crucial, but Easy to Misunderstand 2020-07-10T04:00:00Z For example, if the algorithm used just work and not country of origin or religion, it would satisfy counterfactual fairness. The long road to fairer algorithms 2020-02-03T05:00:00Z What is a revisionist colour sidebar take on the managerial achievements of José Mourinho, but the kind of counterfactual “parlour game” EH Carr, chronicler of the early Soviet Union, would have raged against? Everything exists in a vacuum in the month that never was | Barney Ronay 2020-04-10T04:00:00Z It’s a worthwhile counterfactual to consider, especially as Fox’s morning show and prime-time hosts stayed almost unflappably loyal no matter how bad the news. Analysis | The Daily 202: Five reasons Trump is poised to get acquitted — but Watergate brought down Nixon 2020-01-28T05:00:00Z The Swansea University historian said while any counterfactual history involves "a huge degree of speculation", he believes Wales would be "radically different". 'Without coal Wales would be part of England' 2020-01-03T05:00:00Z This understanding of the role of science is why we argue that these particular counterfactual studies are so important. Counterfactual Experiments Are Crucial, but Easy to Misunderstand 2020-07-10T04:00:00Z It also reveals the NRA’s central strategy for achieving more universal gun ownership: Normalize and promote firearms through a toxic and counterfactual combination of fearmongering, sentimentalities and manipulation of history. Opinion | ‘A Child’s Room’ at the NRA’s National Firearms Museum is an utterly gross display 2019-10-18T04:00:00Z In counterfactual April 2020 more than 300 unplayed professional men’s and women’s football fixtures have been played in the last four weeks. Everything exists in a vacuum in the month that never was | Barney Ronay 2020-04-10T04:00:00Z By then, Trump was so invested in the counterfactual narrative that he was demanding that Ukraine’s new President provide confirmation of it, as the whistle-blower’s complaint relates. The Invention of the Conspiracy Theory on Biden and Ukraine 2019-10-04T04:00:00Z It seems counterfactual, and the reason is what mattered was turnout. Does anyone understand the 2020 race? This scholar nailed the blue wave — here's her forecast 2019-08-17T04:00:00Z Indeed, it’s a fun counterfactual to consider as a thought experiment. Twenty candidates, two debates, four hours, and a few happy campaigns 2019-06-28T04:00:00Z Microsoft's credibility with the press was no higher, hurt by constant counterfactual statements and spin. Microsoft’s past antitrust missteps offer lessons for today’s tech giants 2019-06-20T04:00:00Z The press is sure to report it with plenty of infuriatingly counterfactual both-siderisms. Trump's plan to destroy Joe Biden is almost here — and it could get really ugly 2019-05-07T04:00:00Z The Beatles' presence is a tiny diversion in a counterfactual novel by the author of books including “The Innocent,” “Amsterdam,” and “Atonement.” Q&A: Ian McEwan on how ‘Machines Like Me’ reveals the dark side of artificial intelligence 2019-04-25T04:00:00Z More disturbing were their counterfactual theories claiming some other, unknown variable might cause Latinos not to answer the census. Opinion | Now playing at the Supreme Court: How to preserve white power in four easy steps 2019-04-23T04:00:00Z McEwan’s key counterfactual is that Turing chose prison over castration, refusing to treat his body as a dispensable appendage of his intellect. Man, Woman, and Robot in Ian McEwan’s New Novel 2019-04-15T04:00:00Z This involves hypotheses that are built on a nonexistent, counterfactual state of the world, despite the availability of knowledge about the true state of the world. It's all a conspiracy! Have liberals succumbed to paranoid thinking on Trump, Russia and Mueller? 2019-04-05T04:00:00Z Trump and his Red Hats, not to mention horseshoe leftists like Glenn Greenwald and Matt Taibbi, have fully embraced Trump’s counterfactual “exoneration” take. How far will Trump go to suppress the Mueller report? Probably all the way 2019-04-03T04:00:00Z Charlie is a reliable narrator, but your counterfactual details create an unreliable world. Q&A: Ian McEwan on how ‘Machines Like Me’ reveals the dark side of artificial intelligence 2019-04-25T04:00:00Z The belated success of “Stoner,” then, prompts a cultural counterfactual. John Williams and the Canon That Might Have Been 2019-03-11T04:00:00Z “At least one possible counterfactual is that defaults are actually welfare-enhancing because the borrower gets to keep the loan principal and collection efforts are largely ineffective,” the email said. How a payday-lending insider tilted academic research in the industry’s favor 2019-02-25T05:00:00Z Indulging in a counterfactual, they suggest that a less steeply rising increase in exposure to robots would have tipped both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin toward voting for Hillary Clinton. Are Robots Competing for Your Job? 2019-02-25T05:00:00Z But baselines are a poor choice of counterfactual. Statistical pitfalls of personalized medicine 2018-11-26T05:00:00Z But we are also tempted into a strange historical vanity, with a touch of counterfactual compassion. Why Do Filmmakers Love van Gogh? 2018-11-12T05:00:00Z But since that is a counterfactual, who cares? Philosophy Has Made Plenty of Progress 2018-11-04T04:00:00Z So in this full-turnout counterfactual, Mrs. Clinton doesn’t overcome Mr. Trump’s narrow victories in Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania. What if Everyone Voted? 2018-10-29T04:00:00Z So in this full-turnout counterfactual, Clinton does not overcome Trump’s narrow victories in Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania. What happened to the goal of getting everyone to vote? Depends on your party 2018-10-29T04:00:00Z His eyes went wide at the horrifying counterfactual, the “Sliding Doors” of it all. Gary Keith and Ron, the Magi of Mets Nation 2018-09-25T04:00:00Z Put another way, in a counterfactual history of the Great Recession, President Obama avoids health care. Guaranteed jobs may not solve the Democrats’ bigger problem with many voters 2018-05-25T04:00:00Z A counterfactual: If the St. Kildans had had more help with communication services, presence of health care personnel on the island and other support with infrastructure, would the island still be inhabited today? A Veritable No Man’s Land, Off the Coast of Scotland 2018-05-07T04:00:00Z What is notable to Andress is the counterfactual – the periods in history not marked by fury. Why are we living in an age of anger – is it because of the 50-year rage cycle? 2018-05-16T04:00:00Z Epidemiologically, we do need to un-confound selection bias, to consider the counterfactual. Opinion | Your Kid’s Phone Is Not Like a Cigarette 2018-03-03T05:00:00Z Post facto arguments – especially negative ones – might be the currency of pundits, but are impossible to prove, and offer no solid ground for evaluating a counterfactual claim, conjecturing why something has not happened. Nuclear deterrence is a myth. And a lethal one at that 2018-01-14T05:00:00Z This sort of counterfactual argument suffers from not being falsifiable, and in any case, it’s a long way from a position of straightforward positivity about the direction in which the world is moving. Is the world really better than ever? 2017-07-28T04:00:00Z In all cases their policies are counterfactual and counterproductive. The greatest story too rarely told: America is an oligarchy 2017-07-17T04:00:00Z The notion that Americans simply abandoned their own interests for Japan’s, Germany’s or South Korea’s — to select a few obvious countries — is counterfactual. Opinion | Trump’s trade trap 2017-07-09T04:00:00Z Pan and colleagues attribute the mystery of counterfactual communication to the wave/particle duality. Nil Communication: How to Send a Message Without Sending Anything at All 2017-06-27T04:00:00Z Finally, many Americans, not just the broader world, recoil in anxiety and confusion when a U.S. administration fosters counterfactual assertions and projects unpredictability. Opinion | Susan Rice: When the White House twists the truth, we are all less safe 2017-03-21T04:00:00Z There is also the problem that some bubbles are more counterfactual than others. How the First Amendment Applies to Trump’s Presidency 2017-03-21T04:00:00Z These are the stories we call “counterfactual”, the what-ifs that might have emerged had historical forces twisted in different directions. 'It will be called Americanism': the US writers who imagined a fascist future 2017-02-03T05:00:00Z “It’s hard for people to sometimes visualize the counterfactual, but there are decisions that a president makes every week about whether to escalate.” President Obama, who hoped to sow peace, instead led the nation in war 2017-01-13T05:00:00Z The counterfactual communication would occur across 50 centimeters, inside a lab in Shanghai. Nil Communication: How to Send a Message Without Sending Anything at All 2017-06-27T04:00:00Z The counterfactual case would be to assert that if there were less inequality there would be less ethnic nationalism. What’s Behind a Rise in Ethnic Nationalism? Maybe the Economy 2016-10-14T04:00:00Z This is a counterfactual election, its basis is irrationality not rationality. Obama’s Trickle-Up Economics 2016-09-16T04:00:00Z Consoling tales about defeating nazism remain perennially popular, but darker counterfactual stories have gradually been reclaiming our attention. 'It will be called Americanism': the US writers who imagined a fascist future 2017-02-03T05:00:00Z Nonetheless, implying that arming “a moderate opposition” earlier in this conflict would have resulted in a different outcome is not only counterfactual but also defies recent historical experience. Syria’s tragedy and the United States 2016-10-07T04:00:00Z When I asked Vaidman what would convince him that no particles were ever transmitted, he replied, tautologically: “If an object was found in a counterfactual way, there should be zero trace near it.” Nil Communication: How to Send a Message Without Sending Anything at All 2017-06-27T04:00:00Z Which raises an interesting question of counterfactual history: If George Bush had endorsed the Democratic nominee 28 years ago, would Michael Dukakis have ended up 50 points ahead? Labor of Lovitz 2016-09-22T04:00:00Z But given Trump’s larger-than-life demonstration of the counterfactual, are these efforts for naught? How to Teach Students About Character When Donald Trump Changes the Rules 2016-08-19T04:00:00Z But “Underground Airlines” also belongs to the tradition of counterfactual secession stories, à la Harry Turtledove’s “The Guns of the South” and MacKinlay Kantor’s “If the South Had Won the Civil War.” The Underground Railroad’s Troubling Allure 2016-08-15T04:00:00Z The matrimonial facts, already far-fetched, have been overtaken by events so unlikely as to feel counterfactual. Memories of Trump’s Wedding 2016-08-01T04:00:00Z The protagonist of this surreal meld of counterfactual history and Jewish lore is a young woman modelled on the Biblical Esther. Briefly Noted Book Reviews 2016-07-25T04:00:00Z A counterfactual: what if the situation was reversed? The Cruz-Trump brawl: The whole drama smells like a rigged scene right out of WWE wrestling 2016-07-22T04:00:00Z Imagine a counterfactual scenario in which Trump gives a tepid speech urging his backers to support GOP nominee Jeb Bush. Catch Fire and Halt 2016-07-13T04:00:00Z The main difficulty for academics studying the link between guns and gun crime, however, is the lack of a true counterfactual. A history of violence 2016-06-15T04:00:00Z And the Trumpian content can at times be contradictory or even counterfactual, as in false. Can Trump Productions’ Content Be a Kingmaker? 2016-06-05T04:00:00Z The course of history is surely contingent on the roles of influential individuals, which is why counterfactual tales of thwarted plots succeeding and dictators killed as infants seem so poorly anchored to reality. Second thoughts 2016-05-16T04:00:00Z For instance, consider a counterfactual situation in which Ted Cruz, Mr. Trump’s chief rival, became the nominee. Voters’ Fears About Trump May Outweigh Wish for Change 2016-05-10T04:00:00Z There is an unknowable counterfactual nature to the exercise. What Japan Needs to Make Yen Intervention Work 2016-05-10T04:00:00Z Nonetheless, some events can come close to offering an informative counterfactual. A history of violence 2016-06-15T04:00:00Z People who see themselves as lucky might also engage in counterfactual thinking of a different sort. Having a Bad Week? Tricks for Turning It Around 2016-04-26T04:00:00Z Most of these counterfactual thought experiments tend to focus on changes to the lives of historical figures — what would have happened had Hitler never been born, for instance. Second thoughts 2016-05-16T04:00:00Z The Isis attack on Palmyra was not a counterfactual fantasy. Palmyra must not be fixed. History would never forgive us 2016-04-11T04:00:00Z The missing counterfactual is even more problematic in assessing the economic effects of Brexit. The economic consequences 2016-04-07T04:00:00Z This fanciful counterfactual was inspired by another bit of news: Mitt Romney’s speech this morning denouncing Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump. You Had One Job 2016-03-03T05:00:00Z This, in essence, is the counterfactual, alternative history question to which Simmons’s professional career promises some kind of answer. Ben Simmons: how to get the best out of this special but fragile talent? 2016-02-26T05:00:00Z It is impossible to prove that counterfactual proposition, but I’m sure you face that question pretty consistently. “More than a trillion dollars has been misspent”: Politicians and the media have botched the war on terror, but are great at terrifying us 2016-01-17T05:00:00Z Instead, it exposed the shallow and counterfactual thinking behind his position. Ted Cruz would leave a strongman alone and let terrorism fester 2015-12-30T05:00:00Z In a word, Denmark; but also America with a counterfactual history of the last forty years. Bernie Sanders’s New Deal Socialism 2015-11-20T05:00:00Z But she wouldn’t have made the absurdly counterfactual statement that Muslims “have nothing whatsoever to do with terrorism” if she didn’t think it politically necessary to do so. More Hillary Than Hitler 2015-11-20T05:00:00Z Scientists will agree that the counterfactual rate is indeed not known for this group of Utah children. Why Social Impact Bonds Still Have Promise 2015-11-13T05:00:00Z Why we engage in what cognitive scientists call “counterfactual” thinking is the question our article explores, drawing on research about the distinct logic of such musings and the impact on memory, emotion and motivation. A World of What-ifs 2015-10-15T04:00:00Z Using the empirically observed effect of each intervention, it was possible to generate counterfactual maps estimating contemporary PfPR under hypothetical scenarios without interventions. The effect of malaria control on Plasmodium falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015 : Nature : Nature Publishing Group 2015-09-15T04:00:00Z But, for all the criticism, the counterfactual is rarely stated. China's impossible trinity - BBC News 2015-09-07T04:00:00Z It’s true that the re-engineered Republican Party, with its counterfactual and frequently contradictory worldview, appeals most strongly to a shrinking minority of Americans, most of them white and male and rural or Southern. The Republican prison experiment: How the right-wing conquest of the GOP altered political reality 2015-07-18T04:00:00Z That may be the case in Utah with the lack of a precise counterfactual to measure impact. Why Social Impact Bonds Still Have Promise 2015-11-13T05:00:00Z Pick one of the multitude that didn’t become real, and you might have the plot for a good counterfactual novel. Humankind’s Existentially Lucky Numbers 2015-06-22T04:00:00Z We chose to evaluate this ‘no intervention’ counterfactual to allow estimation of the total effect of interventions. The effect of malaria control on Plasmodium falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015 : Nature : Nature Publishing Group 2015-09-15T04:00:00Z Missing the counterfactual to austerity In Greece’s case, the only real alternative to austerity was for the Eurozone to provide direct transfers. Missing The Point -- Austerity Was Not The Biggest Mistake In Greece 2015-06-10T04:00:00Z “Valla used historical, linguistic and philological evidence, including counterfactual reasoning, to rebut the document,” Bod explained. The Humanities and Science Share the Virtues of Empiricism and Skepticism 2015-06-04T04:00:00Z The question is what counterfactual scenarios they should be presented with, and what counterfactual scenarios are speculative, personal or misleading enough to be out of bounds. Why Presidential Candidates Must Answer Hypotheticals 2015-05-14T04:00:00Z So, in principle, I don’t think historians and social scientists should tremble at the sight of counterfactual scenarios. What the U.S. Can Learn From a Century of War 2015-05-05T04:00:00Z The ensemble model was then combined with the PfPR cube and underlying population surfaces23 to predict clinical incidence by country and year for both the real and counterfactual scenarios. The effect of malaria control on Plasmodium falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015 : Nature : Nature Publishing Group 2015-09-15T04:00:00Z But given how important spillovers are, the specifics of the “devoid-of-improvements” counterfactual matter. The Problem With 100% Land Value Taxes 2015-03-29T04:00:00Z There are compelling reasons to believe the answer to this counterfactual question is, in fact, yes. The Eurozone Crisis Is The ECB's Fault 2015-02-27T05:00:00Z Data on the “counterfactual” of Brady with a different coach doesn’t exist. Patriots Success Due To Bill Brady and Tom Belichick 2015-01-22T05:00:00Z The rub is to do counterfactual analysis well. What the U.S. Can Learn From a Century of War 2015-05-05T04:00:00Z The red line shows the actual prediction and the black line a ‘counterfactual’ prediction in a scenario without coverage by ITNs, ACTs or IRS. The effect of malaria control on Plasmodium falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015 : Nature : Nature Publishing Group 2015-09-15T04:00:00Z “I think the counterfactual regret algorithm is the major advance,” says computer scientist Jonathan Shapiro at the University of Manchester, UK. Game theorists crack poker 2015-01-07T05:00:00Z Economists describe such a move as “making counterfactual assumptions”; the rest of us call it “making stuff up.” A Republican Ruse to Make Tax Cuts Look Good 2015-01-02T05:00:00Z Other than the obvious reason of wanting to win an election, he is basing his claim on an imaginary counterfactual. Washington-Speak Comes To Georgia 2014-11-03T05:00:00Z What about counterfactual scenarios are illuminating for this particular type of study? What the U.S. Can Learn From a Century of War 2015-05-05T04:00:00Z The red line shows the actual prediction and the black line a ‘counterfactual’ prediction in a scenario without coverage by ITNs, ACTs or IRS. The effect of malaria control on Plasmodium falciparum in Africa between 2000 and 2015 : Nature : Nature Publishing Group 2015-09-15T04:00:00Z But proving any counterfactual in the complex system that is the global economy is well nigh impossible. End of QE is whimper not bang 2014-10-29T04:00:00Z It’s a serious argument, but one that begs a counterfactual. The A.I.G. Trial Is A Comedy 2014-09-30T04:00:00Z The problem is that so much of the story's energy goes into the elaborate mechanics and metaphysics of its counterfactual plot that the actual animus against Thatcher, when it comes out, seems rote and under-imagined. The Assassination of Margaret Thatcher review – Hilary Mantel's new collection 2014-09-24T04:00:00Z The value of counterfactual thinking has been contested among historians and social scientists. What the U.S. Can Learn From a Century of War 2015-05-05T04:00:00Z But the hard truth is Manchin and Landrieu are outliers among the Democrats, while the counterfactual voices are among the loudest within Republican ranks. Republicans and Science: A Relationship Gone Bad 2014-07-27T04:00:00Z An “upward counterfactual” is great for learning but over time it’s what creates that nagging ache of regret. How to Overcome Regret and Seize the Day — Scientifically 2014-07-05T04:00:00Z Such assessments are done by comparing the health impact of existing household pollution levels with those of a hypothetical counterfactual level, since zero pollution is not feasible. The Petroleum Product That Can Save Millions Of Lives Each Year 2014-05-27T04:00:00Z The interesting historical counterfactual is whether they could have done more to lessen the pain and to counter the sense that Wall Street got away with murder. Tim Geithner and the paradox behind the government’s crisis response This makes his argument something of a counterfactual one, a hypothesis that will always be open to interpretation. What Timothy Geithner Really Thinks 2014-05-08T17:00:02Z However, a third group of subjects in both experiments were offered what the researchers called a counterfactual. Why Being Charitable Could Mean You're Bad 2014-01-26T00:05:24Z This is where we need what researchers call a “downward counterfactual.” How to Overcome Regret and Seize the Day — Scientifically 2014-07-05T04:00:00Z For the GBD, the pollution level equivalent to cooking with ventilated LPG was taken as the feasible counterfactual because it is usually first clean fuel that people use when moving away from biomass. The Petroleum Product That Can Save Millions Of Lives Each Year 2014-05-27T04:00:00Z The counterfactual estimates at the heart of the Columbia study thus mask a good deal of uncertainty. Anti-poverty programmes: Are we helping the poor? 2013-12-18T16:52:59Z And for some, that is direct proof of another counterfactual argument. What Timothy Geithner Really Thinks 2014-05-08T17:00:02Z When I got there, I was confronted with a counterfactual:The challenges were very real, yet there was growth and vitality pretty much everywhere. How the Revolution in Connectivity Is Remaking the Middle East--and the World 2013-12-05T15:49:00Z The counterfactual argument goes something like this: If only the government had rescued Lehman, things would never have gotten so bad. Lehman didn’t cause the financial crisis, no matter what the partisans say 2013-09-20T14:34:03Z That’s because of the elusive “counterfactual” of what another president might have done. Political Memo: Fed Chairman Change Casts New Light on Bush Era 2013-07-26T15:20:14Z His use of counterfactual arguments and cost-benefit analysis made him an innovator of economic historical methodology. Robert W. Fogel, an innovative and Nobel Prize-winning economic historian, dies at 86 2013-06-13T22:59:18Z The counterfactual needs to be made explicit and assessed carefully and in context. Austerity v growth 2013-05-20T13:51:44Z Instead, counterfactual speculation has tended to focus on what happened after the dictator was removed. A Decade After the Iraq War: Could Saddam Have Survived the Arab Spring? 2013-03-19T11:05:26Z The problem with studying the effects of the bailout on Chrysler is there’s no alternative to compare it with — a counterfactual, in academic terms. Chrysler Might Have Done Better Without Bailout, Study Says 2012-10-19T12:37:48Z “It all depends on the counterfactual,” said Justin Wolfers, an economist at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, referring to how bad things might have been without the president’s emergency measures. The economy: Asking the experts 2012-10-03T15:15:29Z “Railroads and American Economic Growth” used what became a hallmark of Dr. Fogel’s technique — counterfactual historiography, or the building of a hypothetical alternative and then comparing it to the actual history. Robert W. Fogel, an innovative and Nobel Prize-winning economic historian, dies at 86 2013-06-13T22:59:18Z The best counterfactual argument to that is Germany. Q&A: Peter Navarro on America's Death by China 2012-08-22T20:24:32Z The most obvious counterfactual thought for the silver medalist might be to focus on almost winning gold. Why Bronze Medalists Are Happier Than Silver Winners 2012-08-09T13:45:45.263Z But in essence what we would anticipate doing, would be to look at a counterfactual. Did anyone lose out when Libor was fixed? 2012-07-14T00:12:22Z The answer lies in understanding what psychologists call "counterfactual thinking"--or what the rest of us call "what if?" What Employees Really Think During Reviews 2012-07-09T18:30:53Z Stephenson uses historical fiction's ability to conjure hypothetical, counterfactual realities to play a great game of "what if" with the Turing legend. Alan Turing lives on in fiction 2012-06-23T23:22:12Z “We have to ask ourselves, What is the counterfactual here?” says Pavoncello. Italy's Mario Monti: Dented Armor But Still the Only Knight to the Rescue 2012-06-21T09:05:22Z The bronze medalist, however, might focus their counterfactual thoughts downward towards fourth place. Why Bronze Medalists Are Happier Than Silver Winners 2012-08-09T13:45:45.263Z Mostly, though, the economist longs for the American public that is “steeped ... in the notion of the counterfactual.” Jon Gruber on Obamacare, premium support and health policy dreams 2012-05-21T17:33:00Z They used a downward counterfactual, which means they judged themselves in comparison to all of the people who didn't win any medal. What Employees Really Think During Reviews 2012-07-09T18:30:53Z When President Obama says, 'Look, we stabilized the financial system, we put in stimulus and the economy walked back from the brink of collapse' ... it's very hard to do the counterfactual. Insight: Swing states: Could Europe decide the U.S. election? 2012-05-17T05:05:23Z He and a co-author have written three counterfactual historical novels, beginning with “Gettysburg,” in which Pickett’s charge succeeds and the Lost Cause is redeemed. Gingrich, a Student of History, Is Determined to Influence It 2011-11-29T03:46:32Z When less is more: counterfactual thinking and satisfaction among Olympic medalists. Why Bronze Medalists Are Happier Than Silver Winners 2012-08-09T13:45:45.263Z One of the things that makes it easy to make such counterfactual arguments is that there are often studies to back them up. Why scientists are smarter than politicians 2011-09-28T10:40:00Z If they resort to a downward counterfactual, that's great, because the result is a bunch of happy workers. What Employees Really Think During Reviews 2012-07-09T18:30:53Z Such evidence doesn’t tell us what will happen in any individual country, but it is a better basis from which to reason than a counterfactual guess. Op-Ed Contributor: Making Tyrants Do Time 2011-09-16T04:29:11Z This avoids the messiness of econometric evaluation, as it allows the creation of a ready, stimulus-less counterfactual with which one can compare the results of the stimulus bill. Did the stimulus work? A review of the nine best studies on the subject 2011-08-24T18:32:00Z This, however, leaves the government trying to sell a tricky counterfactual message: "things are horrible, and worse than we warned, but they would be even nastier if we did anything else". George Osborne does not have a plan B, but there is a plan A+ 2011-07-24T20:00:06Z A counterfactual account of history appeals especially to people who are disappointed in the real thing. What Does Newt Gingrich Know? 2011-06-30T17:19:41Z It's always fun to try to imagine the counterfactual. An annotated guide to the economics of Michele Bachmann 2011-06-28T18:18:00Z Indeed, those arguments rest on proving or disproving a counterfactual. Op-Ed Contributor: Making Tyrants Do Time 2011-09-16T04:29:11Z By comparing the outcomes of the baseline and the counterfactual where the stimulus was not pursued by financial policies, one can determine the impact of the stimulus on growth and employment. Did the stimulus work? A review of the nine best studies on the subject 2011-08-24T18:32:00Z But even if the case for Churchill shows us the importance of this implicit counterfactual, it is still unclear just how to deal with Roberts’s explicit ones. How Hitler Could Have Won 2011-06-17T20:02:48Z He is the counterfactual President, not just on his Libya policy, but on almost all his policies. The Counterfactual President: Obama Averted Disasters, But Getting Credit Is the Hard Part 2011-04-04T10:10:00Z The sheepish bulls seem to be driven by what psychologists call "counterfactual regret"—the haunting sense of what might have been. Look Who's Buying Stocks Now 2011-02-26T00:25:44Z And even if you ignore the historic opposition of unionists to a United Ireland, the idea that the north and the south are on an inevitable path towards unity is counterfactual. Economy, not unity, is Irish priority 2010-12-01T12:46:00Z In my counterfactual history of the Civil War and its aftermath, I’ve manipulated facts and events so that everything would lead us precisely and purposely to where we already are. And if Gen. Lee hadn't surrendered at Appomattox ... 2010-11-21T16:01:00Z Inevitably, the reader of these observations will find himself posing counterfactual questions. How Hitler Could Have Won 2011-06-17T20:02:48Z Some Obama supporters believe the solution to the counterfactual problem is better messaging. The Counterfactual President: Obama Averted Disasters, But Getting Credit Is the Hard Part 2011-04-04T10:10:00Z This is the problem with inheriting a mess, the counterfactual problem. Obama's Next Economic Plan: A Stimulus Except Its Name 2010-09-06T08:10:00Z There's no way to prove such a counterfactual, but it can't hurt to preemptively strike against a policy you oppose, right? Why Are Conservatives Talking About a VAT? 2010-04-28T19:09:00Z It is impossible to do a counterfactual analysis—to hold one factor constant and see the effects on the rest of the economy. Buttonwood: Heat and dust 2010-04-22T10:36:00Z On the same day, Bulgaria received glowing - and counterfactual - reviews from yet another IMF mission, clearing the way for the release of a tranche of $36 million out of a loan of $330 million. The Belgian Curtain Europe after Communism There is no solution to the counterfactual problem. The Counterfactual President: Obama Averted Disasters, But Getting Credit Is the Hard Part 2011-04-04T10:10:00Z |
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