| 单词 | conditional probability |
| 例句 | To find out why, let’s look at the conditional probability of your having cancer, given that you’ve tested positive. Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z The conditional probability that someone is an American citizen, given that he or she speaks English, is, let’s assume, about Vs. Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z However, if it’s known somehow that the person chosen is over six feet four inches tall, then the conditional probability that he or she also weighs more than 250 pounds is considerably higher. Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z The conditional probability of getting a 12 when you know you have gotten at least an 11 is Vs. Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z Many mundane mistakes in reasoning can be traced to a shaky grasp of the notion of conditional probability. Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z An interesting elaboration on the concept of conditional probability is known as Bayes’ theorem, first proved by Thomas Bayes in the eighteenth century. Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z The probability of red on the next spin is 18/38, the same as the conditional probability of red on the next spin given that there have been five consecutive reds. Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z A simple example: the conditional probability of having chosen a king card when it’s known that the card is a face card—a king, queen, or jack— is Vs. Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z Before I get to a serious application, I’d like to mention another con game which works because of confusion about conditional probability. Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z However, the conditional probability that the card is a face card given that it’s a king is 1, or 100 percent. Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z In any case, given that a family has at least one daughter, what is the conditional probability that it also has a son? Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z The conditional probability that someone speaks English, given that he or she is an American citizen, on the other hand, is probably about 19Ao or .95. Innumeracy: Mathematical Illiteracy and Its Consequences 1988-01-01T00:00:00Z The probability of picking the three of diamonds is called a conditional probability because it is conditioned on what was picked first. Introductory Business Statistics 2017-11-29T00:00:00Z Because this is a conditional probability, we restrict the sample space to consider only those outcomes that have a blue marble in the first draw. High School Statistics 2020-03-27T00:00:00Z Write your answer as a conditional probability statement. Introductory Statistics 2013-09-19T00:00:00Z Bayes’ theorem is a statement about conditional probability—the probability of an event given other known conditions. The Bayes Appreciation Society 2019-12-15T05:00:00Z This conclusion is based on a faulty understanding of life expectancy, which is a conditional probability of surviving to a given age. Opinion | Don’t forget these pivotal pieces on life expectancy 2019-12-05T05:00:00Z In order to solve Example 3.30 we had to draw upon the concept of conditional probability from the previous section. Introductory Business Statistics 2017-11-29T00:00:00Z This is a conditional probability, so consider only probabilities in the row labeled "Caught." High School Statistics 2020-03-27T00:00:00Z We model each conditional probability distribution as follows: The impact of rare variation on gene expression across tissues : Nature : Nature Research 2017-10-10T04:00:00Z The reader analyzed the problem using conditional probability, which enables you to answer questions of the type "what are the odds of event A happening given that event B has happened?" Let's make a deal: Revisiting the Monty Hall problem 2011-04-15T22:15:00.300Z Independent events are defined as a situation where the conditional probability is simply the probability of the event of interest. Introductory Business Statistics 2017-11-29T00:00:00Z In short, conditional probability is the chance that something will happen given that some other event has already happened. Introductory Business Statistics 2017-11-29T00:00:00Z The second method is to test if the conditional probability of A given B is equal to the probability of A. Again for simplicity, we can use an already calculated value from above. Introductory Business Statistics 2017-11-29T00:00:00Z "Paulos shows a strange lack of understanding of basic conditional probability," wrote one reader, "and as a result his article is nonsense." Let's make a deal: Revisiting the Monty Hall problem 2011-04-15T22:15:00.300Z Either C would be pardoned or himself, so by all the laws of conditional probability, his chances of survival had gone up from 1/3 to 1/2. Let's make a deal: Revisiting the Monty Hall problem 2011-04-15T22:15:00.300Z |
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