As Nobelist Daniel Kahneman notes in Thinking, Fast and Slow, when we arrive at conclusions in this way, the outcomes also feel true, regardless of whether they are.

正如诺贝尔奖得主丹尼尔·卡尼曼在《思考，快与慢》中指出的那样，当我们以这种方式得出结论时，结果也会感觉真实，不管它们是否真实。