Natural-disaster reinsurance is typically based on models incorporating the latest science rather than historical statistics, since extreme events are by definition rare.

自然灾害再保险的模型通常包含最新科学，而不是历史统计数据，因为极端事件本质上是罕见的。

But if you zoom out and take a look at the Bureau of Transportation's historical statistics and adjust for inflation, you can see that compared to 1993, domestic flights have actually gotten less expensive.

但如果你缩小范围，看看运输局的历史统计数据，并根据通货膨胀进行调整，你会发现，与 1993 年相比，国内航班实际上变得更便宜了。